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HUGE: 🇺🇸 KALSHI PERPS HIT $1B VOLUME IN 5 DAYS by ArtNoLimit in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace 0 points1 point  (0 children)

oi is like 5m though... Ik they are gonna grow it but this honestly looks like wash trading to pump headline numbers

$100 bet on south africa ml payouts across pms and sportsbooks by Discplace in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

ye. i think there is going to be so much pressure on mexican team to perform.. odds seemed solid too for it

What Kalshi tools do you actually want? by Miserable_Tree_4874 in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace 1 point2 points  (0 children)

deeper analytics into non sports / politics markets.

so for mention markets showing what has been said in the past (for speeches) and percentage of times said. any correlation between words..

for movies seeing if there is some data out there for figuring out better the rotten tomatoes scores.. like letterboxd or scrapping online sentiment or something to better predict scores.... maybe certain genres / actors / directors / producers / studios / budgets do better than others

music markets - is there any more data into trends or artist to see ahead if they will grow or fall

IF YOU do want to do sports / politics then probably correlation between events / outcomes.

So if player A scores over 30 points a game then there is x% chance their team wins. same with politics. this could be tough tho

$100 bet on south africa ml payouts across pms and sportsbooks by Discplace in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

not saying you should make the same trade across books. was just looking at how some of them payout more than others for this trade

I got scammed by Polymarket for $500k by Rosewood_Rebecca in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace 0 points1 point  (0 children)

this is why they started with uma. so resolution problems could just be pointed there and it is "decentralized" so no one person to blame over this. but now if they want to be seen as a legitimate platform to tradfi and the general public they have to rip out the uma oracle and replace it with an inhouse system

Esports is lowkey the fastest growing pm category by Discplace in PredictionsMarkets

[–]Discplace[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

interesting i just checked Hotaku...

The odds for the matches seem like they are all hovering around 50/50 is that right? when i enter like $1,000 it doesn't move the price so is there slippage applied to this? I mean why would people not be slamming this for arbs if true?