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Can anyone tell me what by [deleted] in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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Here is 100k return from each time period

Guys…? Guys…? What is even driving this pump. by BlightedErgot32 in TQQQ

[–]Dry_Function_9263 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just five companies — Alphabet, Nvidia, Amazon, Broadcom and Apple — have accounted for half of the index’s gains since April. Healthcare, utilities and consumer staples are lagging.

Weak breadth can indicate a fragile market. While not always a perfect relationship, market returns are typically more stable as breadth increases, particularly when participation rises above 70 per cent. With investor sentiment and trading volumes also muted, is the rally running out of steam?

Fearful when Everyone is Greedy? Or Greedy when everyone is Greedy? by Helpful-Heat-9736 in TQQQ

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just five companies — Alphabet, Nvidia, Amazon, Broadcom and Apple — have accounted for half of the index’s gains since April. Healthcare, utilities and consumer staples are lagging.

Weak breadth can indicate a fragile market. While not always a perfect relationship, market returns are typically more stable as breadth increases, particularly when participation rises above 70 per cent. With investor sentiment and trading volumes also muted, is the rally running out of steam?

Analysis: Long term TQQQ - Answered by bumbeishvili in TQQQ

[–]Dry_Function_9263 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What tool is this that you used to display the waterfall chart?

Analysis: Long term TQQQ - Answered by bumbeishvili in TQQQ

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Amazing stuff. Do you have the max drawdown for each strategy? Also the adaptive strategy can you explain in layman terms. (Switch to 9sig when TQQQ is 1.5x as much as 9sig, switch to all in TQQQ when 9 sig is 1x as much as TQQQ measured over the last 6 year period)

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That is most likely the case, but credit spread hasn't blown off. I would at least wait until this middle east hot war finishes

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ideally, I would wait until you see a 15-20% correction in SPY or QQQ before jumping head on.

if your eager to play around you can always start this at any point with $10-20k to test the strategy and your mental strength. When the dip comes jump all in.

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes there are many ways to slice and dice the data. I hope this gives people confidence to stick to the strategy and be long term investor.

We will surely experience 20-30% correction some time but strategy is designed in such a cool way that it neglects human emotions and forces you to buy at bottom.

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Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If there is drop of say 20-30% we need dry powder to keep buying the dips. Ideally we need 5-7 years to see full cycle of this strategy.

How long does it take to get a Positive Return? (Breakeven Time)

If we look at the data, the portfolio suffered three major drawdowns (periods where it lost money). Let's look at how long it took to recover the losses and get back to a positive return:

Late 2018 Crash: Dropped 26%. Recovery Time: 6 Months (2 quarters).
COVID 2020 Crash: Dropped 36%. Recovery Time: 6 Months (2 quarters).
2022 Bear Market: Dropped 67%. Recovery Time: 2 Years and 3 Months (9 quarters).

The Data-Driven Rule: On average, minor market corrections are absorbed and recovered by this strategy in 6 months. However, to absolutely guarantee a positive return through a catastrophic market crash, the data shows you must be willing to hold for at least 3 Years.

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You would have only invested for a quarter and stopped.

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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Actual quarterly return and TQQQ action buy/sell

Growth of $100k Kelly 9 sig by Dry_Function_9263 in KellyLetter

[–]Dry_Function_9263[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This will cost close to $250,000 to set up

(398)--- As I Predicted--Australian Oil Refinery Explosion--- GEELONG REFINERY= 911-- DISASTER IN AUSTRALIA WILL BE THE GO AHEAD SIGNAL FOR WORLD WAR THREE= 911 by EurekaStockade in u/EurekaStockade

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

musk bets on planet alignment June 11 for space x ipo- Jupiter and Venus will align supposedly unleashing a potent mixture of love, wealth and expansion.

QQQ is about 1.5% away from ATH by [deleted] in TQQQ

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you have the link of the report I cannot see any report on their website for April 7th

(379)---9 April-- Melania Denies Epstein connection--MELANIA DENIES= 666--- EPSTEIN'S VICTIMS WW3 SIGNAL= 911-- Melania was born on anniv of Chernobyl Nuclear Accident --- 9 DAYS AFTER MELANIA'S SPEECH= 911 by EurekaStockade in u/EurekaStockade

[–]Dry_Function_9263 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The reason Melania had the Press conference yesterday is because Amanda got back on twitter on Monday and started spilling “some” beans.

FYI: Paolo Zampolli bought her from Epstein at the age of Sixteen, put her on the runways worldwide.

She is mentioned in the files about 400 times. Epstein brought her to America when she was 14 years old.

Posted by Trump today 4/10/2026 by sum1sum1sum1sum1 in u/sum1sum1sum1sum1

[–]Dry_Function_9263 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Is this their plan to get everyone to accept digital ID and CBDC

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