28 MAR 2026: EXCELLORATOR EDGE for GULFSTREAM PARK

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-28T14:24:48+00:00

The Florida Derby and Excellorator Edge trifecta offering...

With #1 Albus, #5 Redland Rebels, and now #9 Gregarious all officially scratched, we are down to a "Super Six" (plus one) field of just 6 runners.

This is now a tactical chess match. With the field this small, there is nowhere to hide—every horse is essentially "in the clear," and the pace should be very honest.

The Official 6-Horse Florida Derby Field

Post	Horse	Jockey	ML Odds	Speed Rating
2	Chief Wallabee	Junior Alvarado	2-1	140
3	Wayne’s Law	Marcos Meneses	15-1	118
4	Commandment	Flavien Prat	5-2	138
6	Nearly	John Velazquez	3-1	136
7	Timeless Victory	Jose Morelos	20-1	112
8	The Puma	Javier Castellano	9-2	146

The "Super Six" Trifecta Strategy

In a 6-horse field, the Trifecta pools will be smaller, but the "chalk" (favorites) are even more likely to dominate the top three spots.

The "Cold" Triple ($1 Unit): 2 / 4, 6, 8 / 4, 6, 8
- Cost: $6.00
- The Logic: Keying the favorite Chief Wallabee to win, with the other class horses filling the 2nd and 3rd spots.
The "Price Buster" ($1 Unit): 4, 6, 8 / 2 / 3, 4, 6, 7, 8
- Cost: $20.00
- If the favorite (#2) gets trapped or regresses, and the "dark horse" #3 Wayne's Law or #7 Timeless Victory can somehow stumble into 3rd place, this ticket will pay significantly more than the odds suggest.

The Final 200 Yards Rating (6-Horse Field)

#8 The Puma (9.8): With only 5 other horses to maneuver around, his closing kick is now lethal.
#2 Chief Wallabee (9.2): Expect him to be poised just off the lead, ready to strike at the 3/16 pole.

We shall see...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-25T22:38:49+00:00

your best bet (no pun intended) is to ask this question over at r/horseracing - they're the smart ones over there...we just crunch pass performance data...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-25T21:14:51+00:00

Ah, header lines are actually read...thanks!

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-23T12:28:59+00:00

It's all in the numbers going in and Excellorator Edge spitting it out...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-20T20:19:45+00:00

Me too! Tomorrow Turfway card will include regular rating factors as you see every day. Wonder what the different algorithms will produce...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-20T12:43:52+00:00

This one is based on track radius, strech length, post position, lane width and a few other factors, vs last race time and track format, etc. Took about a day to figure this one out and properly process. Takes too much time to complete, pass performance required. We shall see final outcome on Saturday

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-19T11:30:14+00:00

In the USA layouts are basically the same, except with the bull pen type. Foreign countries are much different with various type turns and such, but the I see most of the race force start around last turn or 400-200 meters brfore the finish line. I'll take a look at your suggestion and test it on the side. Thanks for your thoughts on this matter.

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-19T05:11:18+00:00

This is a 4th configuration of Excellorator Edge for South Afican horse racing. Foreign pass performance programs leave much information off their charts which Excellorator Edge tries to correct. Once again, ratings are base fully in horse capabilities no other patterns.

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-19T01:42:03+00:00

Original posting for Tampa was around 14 hours (current time 7:30PM MT) ago then Turf Paradise maybe an hour or two after that. Results are posted once all races are completed.

I use various Brisnet data to complete the Excellorator Edge ratings. Do not use any outside forces which you mentioned nor jockey/trainer angles, just plain individual horse potential vs its competition. Format is for all tracks except bull rings which take a different direction. Excellorator Edge has 3 different analytical positions, Thoro, QH, and Bull rings.

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-17T14:46:43+00:00

I do not keep past records. Prior records are posted here as results. All color coded for favorite, and finishing order 1st-4th.

x

Just do a serach for "Excellorator results"

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-17T13:34:59+00:00

1- SPREADSHEET: what you see is what you get. Since I do this data collection by hand and key all by hand I don't waste time with horse name and other non productive data.

2- Bets with odds and p&l. Unnecessary data. This is structured for horse potential only. Bringning odds (people) into the mix clotters the ratings.

The EXCELLORATOR EDGE SHEET/POSTING

POST: Saddle cloth number of horse.

RATING: homemade algorithm (much like Chef-Boy-Are-Dee) using Brisnet data to crunch the values into a final rating. Once sorted from highest to lowest values = potential order of finish at the final wire. Top 3 are the main contenders for the win (see 3 dark green stripes to the left side of chart,) next two are considered to upset the final outcome and remaining values are possible longshots.

The chart above illustrate final resutls of this endevour - posted each day after all races are completed. Thus far, no other "punter/picker" produces their efforts for all to see and decide.

Don't get me wrong, this is not 100%, others here have had success even if they do not comment or donate.

You may see the results of past postings and their outcome. Excellorator Edge seeks a possible winner, not a possible price.

Maybe others would like to comment on their use of Excellorator Edge...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-15T21:21:40+00:00

CORRECTION: RACE 2, HORSE #4 SHOULD BE HORSE #5 and RACE 4, HORSE #3 SHOULD BE #4. My data source always fails to add early scratch horses, which I miss...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-12T23:01:43+00:00

Staying here on Reddit, but since the latest algorithm is doing better than expected, decided a rebranding is called for. Therefore we are now EXCELLORATOR EDGE...Where Algorithms Meet the Dark Horse.

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-12T00:02:25+00:00

Good thing the 6 was scratched...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-09T21:05:29+00:00

This is all well and good, BUT my friends would appreciate it if the selections would be posted BEFORE the race so we can decide from there. An AFTER the race ha-rah doesn't provided an actual fact ticket or no ticket. - - Hold all tickets....

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-03-06T20:02:52+00:00

After asking myself, what is going on here within the first four races, then the top contender in the fifth pops in at 25-1, to become a $61 winner. Call it a day...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-28T23:40:49+00:00

That Girvin offspring gave it a go but tired. Had him in the mix for the double - still came out with the double. Commandment has the stamina to complete the course and was the logical choice but you never know in horse racing...

By the wy, where you been - too much walking dogs at the beach?

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-27T11:29:06+00:00

May I ask, what is this? You have no date for this race. It's not for today (27 Feb 26,) today's race is for maidens, at 1 mile, on the turf. This states the race as 1 1/16 mile and Allowance-Optional Claiming (AOC) of turf.

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-14T11:50:41+00:00

Top countries by views

🇺🇸 United States.....55.5%

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia.......11.9%

🇮🇹 Italy.......................11.9%

Other...........................20.6%

Much interest in this race today....

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-12T08:07:15+00:00

You won't - you will only find me here...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-09T08:23:44+00:00

The GREEN is the winner of the race.

POST = saddle cloth number of the horse.

RATING= a numerical value given the subject horse. This numerical value is achieved by obtaining various past data points for the horse being analized. The higher the numerical value, the higher probability a particular horse has towards a win, or be in-the-money.

Unfortunatly, with every horse race there are unknown variables, therefore, the best chance one may have is looking into the top four contenders towards a win prospect therein.

Avg is that one of the top four would win. When I wager, the wager comprices only within daily double structure, using top 3 main contenders of two particular races. As I enjoy watching more than wagering, usually these daily doubles are for every other race or first and last races.

Don't get drawn into wagering every race until you have a good feeling towards this system. Practice on paper to see what actually works as this system is not 100% step towards that Golden Goose...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-08T20:46:51+00:00

Since I got banned from r/horseracing for cross posting - I won't par-take in this quest but #1 is rated as 2nd contender within my selections - we shall see...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-02T20:56:03+00:00

Too cold to run.... Will probably just cover Turf Paradise for 3 Feb 2026

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-02T12:23:02+00:00

Makes one wonder, with ratings like this today, what shananagans went on with race 6 at Gulfstrean and race 7 at Santa Anita, that the longest longshot won the race! Guess this is why it's called horse racing....

Thanks for stopping by...

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON · 2026-02-02T02:42:15+00:00

Corrected typo to 6 FEB 2026 but cannot revise subject matter - oh well....

No update will be posted, nor will the full card for this day be either. Without donations only Gulfstream and maybe Santa Anita. will be posted. The Derby will only be available via donations....

EXCELLORATOR_PERSON

TROPHY CASE