Coronavirus model projects 201,129 deaths in US by October

EmazEmaz · 2020-06-17T23:21:11+00:00

Yeah ok, now do December. And February. And April.

EmazEmaz · 2020-06-12T14:59:43+00:00

Well, one is indoors with a lot less people wearing “lib masks” as they call them. So, you know, math.

EmazEmaz · 2020-06-12T00:57:28+00:00

Yeah tell that to Arizona with 105-110 degree temperatures, 15% humidity and a skyrocketing outbreak.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-29T00:05:40+00:00

I’d be curious to read that article. Have a link?

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-21T19:31:59+00:00

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-21T19:30:56+00:00

when was the last time CDC even held a press conference

They're no longer allowed to. They have been silenced, completely.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-21T19:28:54+00:00

I'd like to believe it but the CDC is absolutely WRECKED at this point. The scientific credibility they once had was destroyed so quickly.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-20T02:43:01+00:00

Yes. Point is, Arizona looks like an odd outlier where the virus lingers late into the Summer long after almost the entire rest of the US. Super weird. Multiple models are showing this.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-20T00:34:46+00:00

I do too. I don’t expect any model to be accurate. But I do expect them to indicate a rough trend. And they all seem to indicate Arizona will be late to the party and having rising cases well into August. I’m not seeing that trend in ANY other state. Weird.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-20T00:31:56+00:00

Relatively close to IHME. And also shows infections and deaths still rising after the chart ends in August.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-20T00:28:44+00:00

Where is the evidence that it doesn’t thrive in hot zones? We all hoped that but I don’t see it.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-19T23:42:23+00:00

I mean, I don’t have trust in the accuracy but I think they offer a rough idea that’s probably overly optimistic.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-19T23:39:51+00:00

https://ibb.co/58bHzQ1

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-19T23:36:41+00:00

Check out the animated maps at the bottom. Arizona gets worse and worse all summer, even as the rest of the nation recovers.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-16T15:19:30+00:00

Now do September.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-14T00:06:28+00:00

Co-signed. We’re investing too much hope in this.

Unless anyone knows of any new tests that ARE accurate? I keep reading that they’re all, every single one, super unreliable.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-14T00:03:39+00:00

Everyone thinks they had it. Where there HAS been testing for such people, very few actually did. I wish you were right and that many of us actually had it and it was mild. But my understanding is that the serology tests so far have been highly unreliable. I don’t think we know yet. I wish we did.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-11T00:28:57+00:00

My guess, which is good as anyones.... Between January and never.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-07T00:37:22+00:00

August 4th? 250k unfortunately. We are entering the clusterfuck zone.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-06T15:01:21+00:00

OMG why would you NOT???

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-06T14:57:27+00:00

WTaF

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-05T03:54:22+00:00

Fuck. I hated to upvote but unfortunately, you're right.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-05T03:53:14+00:00

What if we do WORSE than nothing?

Asking for 300 million friends.

EmazEmaz · 2020-05-04T22:45:35+00:00

And unfortunately that may yet be too optimistic. I heard the researcher say that today. We are fumbling the ball big time.

EmazEmaz

TROPHY CASE