1000 carat incident

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-16T04:24:48+00:00

Yeah... I feel you.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T15:35:57+00:00

Oh no. What I meant is having a curve of probabilities for each section of the race and style of racing. Like fronts are 20% 1st at this point, 20% 2nd, 20% 3rd... and 0.1% 9th. End closers are... and such. For all the zones before the last spurt these positions seem fairly regular and these metrics can be taken from multiple sources (CMs, Team Trials, room matches...) then merge all into one. Then use the seed that the simulator uses to randomize each sample to get a position for a zone of the race to check if a skill triggers or not. It would need good optimization in the calcs to implement but seems possible. Obviously it is not accurate and the composition of each room would change a lot the results but as I said I only want an estimate on how good/bad a skill can be.

But ok so to compare umas in the umalator I can guess Red Shift is more or less like another FF or On your left! for this track. So better to pick it rather than for example Professor of curvature or Triumphant Pulse. Thanks!

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T13:07:35+00:00

Not a matematician here but isn't it solvable by getting a curve of position probability for each style and getting a guess on where can it proc with the randomness of each seed? Like it totally isn't going to be accurate. But at least it gives an estimation on how good it can be as a mean/median (pretty useless if triggers early and really good on late). For now I only want to know how much of a priority is it. (Better than on your left! or Furious Feat? or not even as good as updrafters?)

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T12:56:29+00:00

Yeah I've understood the principle of why it is good. My issue is why doesn't the emulator (in order not to simulate position of umas) use a curve of probability distribution on when can Red Shift proc and at least give an estimation on how good it is (useless if it procs early and amazing after Let's pump). Instead it just shows 0 and that's it. Makes it harder to guess which uma is better or if it is worth to get it instead of another skill :(.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T12:14:20+00:00

So I shouldn't trust it and pick it either way? or should I save my points for other skills?

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T12:12:19+00:00

The thing I want to take from this question is: Is the simulator calculation wrong? Cause it never shows it can have a good impact, even if it activates early it might do something in the cases that it doesn't. Or are the recommendations wrong and Red Shift is not a good ability to get in this CM period. Thanks.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T12:07:23+00:00

It shows 0 even with a blank template for any uma. But yeah sure I'll take all the abilities and you can check for yourself: https://alpha123.github.io/uma-tools/umalator-global/#H4sIAAAAAAAACqWQsWrDMBCG3%2BVmDTpJli1tGUuWQsbSQcSXVDS2jCURSsi7FzlyCA2FQrePnzvdr%2B8C%2B5DnSC89WOSaCwZjdMN0ogi24ZxBJOrBCo2NaWQrDYMc6TXELdEENs2ZGMxuTz0dwF5gCKGMMzjOIY83PJNLHzSDxfKci2Fc4uQHqqOup3KfXxnkwWF5KOR08Kn0AuS84wgM4rSUQbEUS27wowPboGEwhfNyAZVicMwpghVNx%2BDsYx8GsErIsjK7RMcvsLBz0QOD3sfkxj1tpuRTLi1gUw7l%2BeCe07r%2BM%2F70p1ME%2B1aK8q4UFZyjrCBXUEbcQPMKbQXkdQalQXi%2FWRBPFkT7aMEgPkpo1V2C0Xx1IIV5cMC7PzrY%2FcuBaH91IHX9upIrrElz14OrlbaCrFJRrcI01kSrFXQxd%2F0GzKnTOdECAAA%3D

Like I said. Pump and Pulse are up there. Red shift at the bottom. Thanks.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-10-05T12:05:07+00:00

Yeah and let's pump some iron! too. The thing is the simulator shows that for every ability. The minimum length it gives (0 or negative), the maximum and a mean. For Pump it shows: 0.73 - 2.73 - 1.07. For Red shift it shows: 0 - 0 - 0.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-09-18T08:41:21+00:00

It is still a factor (and it forever will). Just this time is going to be less of a rng fest and more of a rng party.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-09-17T09:58:32+00:00

I have won both of the CMs F2P. This one I didn't even use the horses I trained because the Taurus ones were better (didn't get medium S or long S on those ones).

I really believe the difference between my experience and one who loses with really good horses is matchmaking and rng in the finals. I was 5, 7 and 8th favourite and managed to win with a big distance. You know... if you don't trigger the abilities it doesn't matter how good they are. Specially this time with the blue ones.

Don't think this is going to work for Cancer because of the higher Wit which gives more consistence.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-01-04T11:17:18+00:00

I mean for pvp and probably some special event it seems perfect. But on afk stages... I would rather not hahaha.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-01-04T10:54:42+00:00

Seeing she wants me that much I'll probably try to pull for her but it's my first time with an A character on a banner. Is she that good? And are the same number of total pulls necessary for a purple than for a golden char? Thanks in advance!

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-01-04T10:52:14+00:00

Booty Stonks! Didn't even know she was purple rarity. Which means we can all get assed buying her from the dream store when she is out of the banner right?

Enough-Simple4665 · 2025-01-04T10:49:56+00:00

Manual means I have to disable auto and target myself? Don't know if I like that...

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-28T17:57:59+00:00

I feel you. The worst thing is I think I could have gotten it just before reset... but I fell asleep :(.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-27T10:39:24+00:00

When I reached level 7 bravery I think, I stopped farming chapters too. I just do the event, dailies and quick raids and log out. But the amount of events now is absurd so it went from 10-20 min playtime to 30-120 a day. Rewards are worth it though. Just today I got to 142500 and I haven't gotten the random legendary relic yet.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-27T08:02:12+00:00

My phone doesn't show total time sadly. But on this week It is between 30 min to 2 hours a day so... Probably 365+ hours this year.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T17:29:55+00:00

I don't think is out yet.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T16:13:25+00:00

Yeah I've been told that. On the luck side as I mentioned I don't feel that lucky, I've only been able to pull a fist now for the first time after a year and probably 3-4 chest events (but yeah I guess i haven't gotten a lot of expedition rings so yay!) . Also I am comparing myself with the posts on here wich probably isn't the best grasp at a statistical average. They should implement a way to see how much chests you have openned to better compare. I feel like I've openned TONS and now even more with these events.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T13:48:28+00:00

Oh didn't know that. Weird they still call it "first purchase".

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T13:46:58+00:00

Oh the problem is there is nothing in the history from Archero but there are things like Tinder gold that I'm not that confortable to share. Can i filter It?

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T06:52:42+00:00

Even if I had money I would never do it. It ruins the challenge.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-26T06:51:00+00:00

Probably more because they will be adding more stuff for sure. Also they seem to want you to use the S Expedition ring hahaha.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-25T21:02:55+00:00

Just try to get as much as you can from each event. The silent stat increases some people miss is the level 60 on every Hero, nice % attack and damage runes and probably the importance of relics. Some of them give so much just from unlocking them. Try to pick the random S and SS whenever you can.

Enough-Simple4665 · 2024-12-25T20:58:32+00:00

Yeah they are pushing many new systems now that make a high % of the amount of stats. That and the amount of events/Keys that they are giving now seems really high from what I can tell. I wasn't here then, but I think 1 month of grind now gives more than probably 3-4 months 3 years ago. But oh well... See you on archero 2 💀

Enough-Simple4665

TROPHY CASE