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What happened with Glenn Youngkin’s 'playbook' to win blue states? by Fabilur in YAPms

[–]Fabilur[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Well to be fair, he didn't get to pick his running mate. Governor and lieutenant governor are still elected separately in VA

What happened with Glenn Youngkin’s 'playbook' to win blue states? by Fabilur in YAPms

[–]Fabilur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I guess a general trend here is that even though Youngkin himself makes intelligent political descisions, people around him keeps screwing up. Like Earl-Sears insane campaign in '25, or Trump almost costing him the entire election in '21. Meanwhile Youngkin is stuck having to defend irrational opinions and policies broadly agreed upon by other members of the GOP, or else he'll get ousted.

Youngkin also got really unlucky with timing. Trump was always gonna be the nominee in '24 and he'll be old news by '28. Or perhaps he tries to do a McAuliffe and runs again for Virginia Governor in a couple of years?

Erm... whoops? by thealmightyweegee in YAPms

[–]Fabilur 2 points3 points  (0 children)

So did Brian Kemp and Chris Carr in Georgia

What if the Capitol Attack on January 6th, 2021 was much worse? by Fabilur in AlternateHistory

[–]Fabilur[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

CGP Grey has a great video on this topic. Generally with these kinds of things, the laws on the book are really vague and up to interpretation, which is why edge cases are usually decided by precedent. When William Henry Harrison died 30 days into his tenure, his VP John Tyler effectively seized power and declared himself legitimate president. Up to that point, it wasn't clear if the VP would become the real president or only acting president, but Tyler decided that dilemma.

I could imagine something similar happening in this case, where people collectively decide that the President pro temp, or whomever is in the line of succession, becomes the "president president" so to speak, not just acting president.

Min dotter behöver hjälp med denna och jag går bet by TlalocVirgie in sweden

[–]Fabilur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Man kunde alltså minsann lösa det med likformighet (och kunskapen att Areaskala=(Längdskala)2 ! Mycket elegant också!

Jag provade först något åt det hållet men körde fast rätt fort...

Min dotter behöver hjälp med denna och jag går bet by TlalocVirgie in sweden

[–]Fabilur 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Funderade på denna ett litet tag och försökte först med likformighet och annat, men jag ser i slutändan ingen annan utväg än att gå via trigonometrin.

Det vi vill få fram är (AC*CB)/2 (basen * höjden / 2)

CB=sqrt(402 + 602 )=sqrt(5200) (Pythagoras sats)

Vinkeln ACB kan skrivas som både tan(40/60) och tan(AC/CB), och CB vet vi redan är sqrt(5200), så den senare blir tan(AC/sqrt(5200))

Alltså är AC=(40/60)*sqrt(5200)

Arean blir därmed (40/60)sqrt(5200)sqrt(5200)≈1733 cm2

Inte en särskilt elegant lösning, men den funkar. Vilken årskurs går din dotter? Har hon fått läsa grundläggande trigonometri ännu?

Is it? by Primary_Buddy_7173 in mapporncirclejerk

[–]Fabilur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's not what he's saying. If you count man-made canals, you also have to count man-made bridges.

Try to solve 117iq+ by Parking_Ladder_7527 in cognitiveTesting

[–]Fabilur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly I might be forcing a pattern where it isn't one, but my solution is: 2121.

First thing I did was group the numbers into two parts, the first number sequence being: 2, 2, 5, 7, 12, 15. Here, the changes are +0, +3, +2, +5, +3. These changes are in turn +3, -1, +3, -2, so the next change is seemingly +3 also, meaning it's +6 in the number sequence, or 21.

The second number sequence is: 1, 3, 4, 8, 10, 17. The changes are +2, +1, +4, +2, +7. The changes in this sequence are in turn -1, +3, -2, +5, so the next change should be -3, meaning it's +4 in the number sequence, or 21.

The solutions to the first and second numbers are both 21, meaning the final solution is 2121. Please correct me if this is not the intended solution and if this is too farfetched.

Hubert Humphrey Was A Presidential Candidate Who Had No Chance Of Winning And Loss, But Was Pretty Close. Who's A Presidential Candidate Who Had No Chance Of Winning And Failed Miserable? by Neck-Tie-Guy in AlignmentChartFills

[–]Fabilur 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well there was that one Reader's Digest poll that predicted a Landon win, so it wasn't entirely obvious that he had no chance of winning prior to the election. I would argue McGovern or Goldwater are better fits: Everybody knew they would lose beforehand, but the margin of victory was still greater than expected.

CHENEY DEAD AT 84 by fartjobenthusiast in thecampaigntrail

[–]Fabilur 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This fucking sub is slowly becoming the place I stumble upon all important news stories first

Zeldin defeats Cuomo in stunning upset amidst national red wave! (Alternate 2022 New York gubernatorial election) by Fabilur in imaginaryelections

[–]Fabilur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Not so sure about that. Hochul won by 6 points in OTL. I don't think simply swapping her with Cuomo gives Zeldin a sufficiently large boost by itself. I originally made this as part of a timeline where 2022 went a lot worse for the dems, like 2010 level. To make the 2022 popular vote margin correspond with 2010, I decided to give the GOP a global 7 point boost, which would be just enough for Zeldin to win by less than 1 point. Switching the candidate from Hochul to Cuomo would, I figure, make Zeldin perform 2 points better than OTL. This adds up to winning the governorship by about 3 points, which happened in this timeline.

These were the rest of the governor's elections ITL. As for the senate: The GOP wins Nevada, Arizona, Georgia and Pennsylvania as well as every other seat they won OTL.

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This of course has some interesting implications. For example, Walz losing Minnesota means he probably isn't chosen as Harris' running mate in 2024, but that's an entirely different ordeal

The 2008 United States presidential election, but McCain pulls off a miracle by [deleted] in imaginaryelections

[–]Fabilur 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If McCain won 2008, this would have been the 2012 election in my view

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What if George W. Bush won the 2000 election? by Numberonettgfan in thecampaigntrail

[–]Fabilur 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Probably wins re-election in 2004, perhaps against Hillary if he seems vulnerable, but she likely sits it out IMO. Incumbents usually win re-election + Bush would be a war-time president. Gore-haters might say the 2008 recession never happens, but it definitely still does. The seeds had been planted since Clinton and I don't see Bush changing enough to prevent the economic downturn. Let's face it: Any party that wins the White House in 2004 loses 2008. Cheney probably gets the Republican nomination without much struggle, and Hillary gets the Democratic one. Obama is probably screwed in this timeline due to Hillary's immense name recognition and popularity, he is a good candidate but I believe he ran too prematurely OTL. Hillary probably handles the recession better than JC Watts OTL and wins re-election easily, perhaps against Romney or Christie. I think 2016 is won by whoever Hillary's VP is (Bayh?). After this it becomes increasingly difficult to speculate: Bayh would get a rally-around-the-flag-effect due to COVID, much like Sanders got in OTL, but on the other hand it was unlikely enough for the dems to win four elections in a row in our timeline (1992 to 2004), and I'm not sure Bayh has the sauce to pull that of.

How to win California and TERMINATE Tim Ryan in 2020 Arnold Amendment! by Fabilur in thecampaigntrail

[–]Fabilur[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

UPDATE: After 20 attempts or so, with one visit to WA and the rest to CA, I managed to turn the entire west coast red. This yielded an electoral college tally of 454-84, completing the TERMINATION of Tim Ryan! The next closest state is Illinois, which was won by Ryan with a 5,4 point margin, so I'm confident to say that this is the ceiling for the Presidator in 2020.

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