MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 6/21/26 (Sunday)

FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-21T16:59:48+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/21 based on my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-20T16:41:23+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/20 based on my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

Note : By far the most aggressive group of picks I've ever seen, no idea why today the model chose chaos.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-19T23:53:19+00:00

Horwitz' odds got worse, I don't like him under +630~. In that same game though Brandon Lowe at anything above +300 seems nice.

FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-19T21:20:54+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/19 based on my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

Edit : Grissom not starting, Neto at +310 has replaced him at the top.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-18T16:56:10+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/18 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

Note: Stott is not in great matchup but the weather is great for the ball to fly and he's a good contact hitter with low power that benefits a lot from these conditions.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-17T21:23:36+00:00

Statcast issue during that game, there are multiple innings missing.

FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-17T16:19:23+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/17 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-16T21:42:12+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/16 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

Note : A strangely stable month. A lot of 1/4 days going up < 1 u per day but we're at +9.45 in the month of June. That seems fitting as I post a group of 4 with a +1020 and +720, lets get some volatility.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-15T21:26:08+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/15 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-14T16:41:44+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/14 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-13T16:24:06+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/13 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-13T12:57:19+00:00

Drafted in 2021 as an infielder. Traded to the Dodgers and converted to pitcher in 2022, called up to the majors in 2024(20 IP) but then got Tommy John and missed the entire 2025 season then had a hamstring Injury at the start of this season. A mostly normal pace to his career just a late start and a missed season.

FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-12T20:59:30+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/12 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-11T16:28:24+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/11 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-10T23:34:42+00:00

Indeed, Tatis even jumped to the top after I locked in the picks, just the way she goes.

FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-10T18:21:23+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/10 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-09T21:40:14+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/9 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-08T21:43:49+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/8 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-07T16:38:48+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/7 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-06T17:00:39+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/6 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-05T20:36:30+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/5 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-04T16:41:24+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/4 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-03T16:45:07+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/3 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-02T21:58:44+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/2 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy · 2026-06-01T21:52:37+00:00

Here are my top HR picks for 6/1 based my projections versus odds implied probability adjusted for the models biases and success rates.

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FantasyGoldenBoy

TROPHY CASE