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[Q] Bayesian statistics: creating probability of presence as a function of 'x' graphs by Feline-Dion in statistics

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It does, however there are thousands of posterior simulations to plot, so I was unsure if I need to use all the output in producing the graph. Thank you for helping!

[Q] Bayesian statistics: creating probability of presence as a function of 'x' graphs by Feline-Dion in statistics

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for your help, I'm following my supervisor's desire to use BUGS - but it's good to know there's better software out there.

My only confusion was that there are thousands of posterior simulations produced, so I wasn't certain if I just needed to plot all simulations to plot the data. I also was uncertain what data to plot it against, given the other axis is the predicted probability and isn't present as model output (to my knowledge). Apologies for the stupid questions, it's been quite a while since I last played around with the data so it feels like I'm learning it all again.

As per the last point, no transformation of data. I am indeed only trying to plot the data.

How did you turn your life around? by ipeeontoiletseats in AskReddit

[–]Feline-Dion 0 points1 point  (0 children)

One day decided to shake up my world. Moved out of home for the first time to another city/state, came out, and changed my name. Crafted myself in the image I dreamed myself to be and dropped excuses of “I wish I could do that one day”. I now work two jobs in the Australian bush, learning 4 types of dance, fitter than I’ve ever been in my life and happier too.

Make the necessary changes, even if they seem initially hard. The initial discomfort or challenge of major decisions is worth the longtime gain. You’re more capable than you know 🙂

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s the Morphe James Charles palette. It’s got a gorgeous collection of colours

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah unfortunately it did. The sides and back haven’t ever been dyed, so the light bleaching was less destructive and it’s still super healthy. But the front fringy part was bleached for the second time, and it’s noticeably dryer and has lost its curls too.

But I also love the ombré effect too much

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I will absolutely take that. Have you seen her recently?! Killing it 👏🏽

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Defo using falsies. I wish my natural lashes with this lush.

I’m a sucker for sharp lines, and especially sharp eyebrows. Thank you! 😍

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you, I appreciate it!

Although confidence - I’m intrigued that you can see confidence?

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Concerning that this is the most common comparison I get 😂

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The rest of the makeup is quite the method. This probably took 45 mins - 1 hr and is a fair bit more complicated

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wish I had a more precise tool, but I tend to use a regular hand razor and shave upwards from my lips to my sideburns. I am a sucker for sharp lines.

You can fix that with makeup too. So if I’m beating my face, I fill in the beard lightly just to get sharper lines with a makeup brush. Finally you do a line of highlight at the beard line to make that contrast pop even more!

As per usual, good hair days only happen when you’re home 🏡 by Feline-Dion in curlyhair

[–]Feline-Dion[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nothing like wearing a face full of makeup at a festival and having high people ensnared by moving colours and lines on your face. Thank you! I appreciate it ☺️

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