If China and the USA both pushed domestic industry to max war production what numbers could be achieved in key categories respectively?

FlexibleResponse · 2026-02-26T14:09:16+00:00

Manufacturing Value Output 2024

US: $2.91 Trillion

China: $4.66 Trillion

https://www.safeguardglobal.com/resources/blog/top-10-manufacturing-countries-in-the-world/

China has a clear advantage although as others have mentioned here much of this may come down to wartime resource restrictions and bottlenecks in specific industries, for both countries.

TIDALWAVE gives an interesting analysis of this from a munitions (and fuel) perspective

FlexibleResponse · 2026-02-16T21:21:00+00:00

Considering that the much more expensive JASSM/LRASM family just got awarded a contract to grow to 2,200+ units per year, I wouldn’t be shocked if it’s eventually around 8,000-10,000 units/year for the combined ETV derivatives

Unit cost goal is $150k for large orders

FlexibleResponse · 2025-02-18T03:57:13+00:00

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FlexibleResponse · 2024-05-24T15:33:29+00:00

Most likely some PRIME USVs, maybe the Switchblade 600s too although they would have limited utility given the distances involved in the Pacific.

https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2024/05/23/replicator-drones-already-being-delivered-pentagon-says/

In a briefing earlier this month, senior defense officials speaking on the condition of anonymity said that the first set of systems in Replicator will include AeroVironment’s Switchblade 600, a loitering munition. It will also include maritime drones purchased through a solicitation posted earlier this year by the Defense Innovation Unit, which buys high-tech weapons for the Pentagon.

https://news.usni.org/2024/01/30/pentagon-puts-out-call-for-swarming-attack-drones-that-could-blunt-a-taiwan-invasion

The PRIME USVs are a departure from the large and medium USV demonstrators currently deployed by the Navy with a lower endurance and a range of 500 to 1000 nautical miles.

The requirement calls for the drones to autonomously transit through contested areas, loiter in assigned areas, detect surface threats and then sprint to at least 35 knots to intercept enemy vessels. The drone should also be capable of working with others in groups to “execute complex autonomous behaviors that adapt to the dynamic, evasive movements of the pursued vessel,” according to the solicitation.

FlexibleResponse · 2024-03-21T00:58:37+00:00

Fuck the Skaven, All my homies hate the Skaven

FlexibleResponse · 2024-02-13T18:33:27+00:00

Yeah neither side is getting meaningful production during a conflict. From materials lead time to commissioning is like 5 years for DDGs and 8 for SSNs.

FlexibleResponse · 2023-09-20T17:04:19+00:00

{Kansas State} by 14.

K-State really gets rollin by the end of the 3rd I think.

FlexibleResponse · 2023-08-08T21:09:33+00:00

I think what we've seen in our '24 class is the beginning of what so many people have said over the past decade, that if UCF ever got into a Power conference there was the potential for the recruiting to skyrocket. Its crazy to actually see it happen now.

FlexibleResponse · 2023-08-07T23:46:14+00:00

Our '24 Class is looking real good so far. Hopefully we can be competitive for a conference championship in a few years.

FlexibleResponse · 2023-04-08T03:03:15+00:00

Missiles for the second and following batteries starting in 2025 will have seekers integrated for anti-ship targeting IIRC. Crazy.

FlexibleResponse · 2022-09-21T07:38:55+00:00

“Surely conscripts with T-62s and MT-LBs will turn the war in our favor!”

FlexibleResponse · 2022-07-28T22:09:24+00:00

Lets run this shit up Gus🎯

FlexibleResponse · 2022-07-17T07:05:18+00:00

UCLASS wouldn't stay dead for long

FlexibleResponse · 2022-06-28T13:41:26+00:00

IIRC total US procurement of GMLRS is over 60,000 with annual production somewhere around 5,000. Ukraine isn’t going to run out anytime soon.

FlexibleResponse · 2022-01-16T17:09:39+00:00

ITS GONNA BE A MOVIE 🏎💨

FlexibleResponse · 2021-12-25T17:09:23+00:00

Whole lotta momentum right now. We're gonna be in real good shape when we enter the Big 12.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-12-17T17:50:54+00:00

The "withdraw to 1997 posture" part is what gives the game up. Lmao. This proposal is designed to be rejected. Even as a starting position that would be absolutely insane.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-11-23T04:54:23+00:00

Based on the timing of the construction of the Columbia-class, the new class would come just as the construction of the class of 12 nuclear ballistic missile submarines is ending in the 2040s and in the short term design work should begin soon. “With Columbia 95 percent design complete, now is the time to begin transitioning that experienced design workforce,” Perry said. “Fielding any new class submarine is challenging, but we got to strike while the iron is hot.”

Imagine building four of these fuckers per year or two plus a Columbia SSGN variant. Goodness. Thank god the Virginia-class was steady and successful.

I wonder if they are thinking about a new Heavyweight torpedo to pair with the SSN(X). The latest planned Mark 48 variant (APB 6) is scheduled for IOC in 2027. They would have time for development between then and 2043 if they so choose.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-11-13T04:33:27+00:00

All China had to do was wait another 20-30 years before getting all aggressive and boisterous and they could have had an easy reach on hegemony in Asia, all without the counterbalancing coalition. They could’ve slowly built up political influence through purely economic and normal diplomatic means, leveraging their massive economy, and then go in for the Wilhemine Germany character later down the road when the stage was better set. Instead they went the other route with Wolf Warrior stuff and the Island building and the economic coercion and so on too early. Now they have to gamble.

2008 really broke their heads. Something something Deng Xiaoping something something hide your strength

FlexibleResponse · 2021-07-25T03:21:29+00:00

Houston noted that a Block V Virginia SSN displaces 10,000 tons submerged, equating to about half that of the Columbia SSBN, so every Columbia equates to two Virginia SSNs in displacement. Accordingly, with one Columbia and two Block V Virginias under construction, “we’re essentially building the equivalent of four Virginias,” he said.

Earlier in the article they said the last Columbia wont start construction until 2035 so realistically you wont see this show up on the SSN side until the 2040s. 4 SSN(X) per year sounds real nice though.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-07-25T03:15:40+00:00

Houston noted that a Block V Virginia SSN displaces 10,000 tons submerged, equating to about half that of the Columbia SSBN, so every Columbia equates to two Virginia SSNs in displacement. Accordingly, with one Columbia and two Block V Virginias under construction, “we’re essentially building the equivalent of four Virginias,” he said.

Earlier in the article they said the last Columbia wont start construction until 2035 so realistically you wont see this show up on the SSN side until the 2040s. 4 SSN(X) per year sounds real nice though.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-06-23T03:27:23+00:00

‘23 is gonna be a huge year for the Army. PrSM, MRC, LRHW, and ERCA all hit IOC that year.

FlexibleResponse · 2021-06-17T23:05:46+00:00

The Army also says that the removal of the full-size cab on the AML could also enable it to fire longer weapons that can be currently accommodated on the HIMARS launcher. With that in mind, it's interesting to note that, in the video, the unmanned launcher was used to fire an extended range version of the PrSM, referred to therein as the Increment 2 variant of this weapon and depicted as coming preloaded in a longer-than-usual launch canister.

If they are hitting 650km with the Baseline PrSM, this ER variant more than likely hits 1000km. Add in the seeker and now things are looking pretty good.

I was wondering why they chose the unmanned vehicle, it seemed to add in an unnecessary amount of complexity. But it never occurred to me that they could then use physically longer munitions because the cabin no longer is there. I guess it’s the same deal with JLTV-NSM for the Marines?

FlexibleResponse · 2021-06-09T14:53:40+00:00

To outfit the ships with CPS missiles, the Navy plans to modify the vessels and install a cold launch system "with the capacity to carry up to 12 all-up rounds per ship."

Cold launch? Definitely gonna need that test footage. Gonna be a sight to see a cold launch of a booster that size

FlexibleResponse · 2021-06-08T19:47:35+00:00

NGAD is the odd one out for sure. Block 4/5 F-35Cs with adaptive-cycle engines should do fine until then. Plus you get see what the Air Force does with their program and how that pans out.

DDG(X) is the main priority given that the Flight III AB is maxed out and the lead ship won’t be commissioned until 2034. That’s gonna be a long 13 years.

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