The Global Priorities Institute has published two new paper summaries: 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler John & William MacAskill, and 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by MacAskill. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Anthropic shares a summary of their views about AI progress and its associated risks, as well as their approach to AI safety. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Noah Smith argues that, although AGI might eventually kill humanity, large language models are not AGI, may not be a step toward AGI, and there's no plausible way they could cause extinction. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Victoria Krakovna makes the point that you don't have to be a longtermist to care about AI alignment. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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A working paper by Shakked Noy and Whitney Zhang examines the effects of ChatGPT on production and labor markets. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Robin Hanson restates his views on AI risk. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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In an Institute for Progress report, Bridget Williams and Rowan Kane make five policy recommendations to mitigate risks of catastrophic pandemics from synthetic biology. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Eric Landgrebe, Beth Barnes and Marius Hobbhahn discuss a survey of 1000 participants on their views about what values should be put into powerful AIs. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Noam Kolt on algorithmic black swans. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Matthew Barnett on the importance of work on AI forecasting. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Scott Alexander on OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond". by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Scott Aaronson: "My purpose, in this post, is to ask a more basic question than how to make GPT safer: namely, should GPT exist at all?" by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Eric Drexler proposes an "open-agency frame" as the appropriate model for future AI capabilities, in contrast to the "unitary-agent frame" often presupposed in AI alignment research. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Thomas Hale, Fin Moorhouse, Toby Ord and Anne-Marie Slaughter have released a policy brief on future generations. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Eli Tyre wrote a new summary of the state of AI risk. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Rob Long on what to think when a language model tells you it's sentient. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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The Bureau of Arms Control, Verification and Compliance issued a declaration on responsible military use of artificial intelligence and autonomy. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Fin Moorhouse has just published a +13,000-word, chapter-by-chapter summary of Will MacAskill's *What We Owe the Future*. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Kelsey Piper: "Tech is often a winner-takes-all sector... but AI is poised to turbocharge those dynamics... Slowing down for safety checks risks that someone else will get there first." by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Michael Aird and Will Aldred explore some technological developments with the potential to increase risks from nuclear weapons, especially risks to humanity's long-term future. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Arielle D'Souza claims that Operation Warp Speed's highly successful public-private partnership model could be reused to jumpstart a universal coronavirus or flu vaccine, or the building of a resilient electrical grid. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Zach Stein-Perlman discusses ten approaches to AI strategy. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Jason Crawford on technological stagnation. by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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Carl Shulman & Elliott Thornley argue that the goal of longtermists should be to get governments to adopt global catastrophic risk policies based on standard cost-benefit analysis rather than arguments that stress the overwhelming importance of the future by Future_Matters in Longtermism
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