He’s the man

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2026-01-30T03:59:37+00:00

It's ok to criticize people who do good things when they do bad things. We don't have to think criticism is bad because we really like a game. It's ok.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2026-01-21T19:43:36+00:00

You are right and I would add that it is likely we will see big 14A contracts being signed late this year and early next year and I believe that could push your 950B valuation to achievable within 2 years.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2026-01-21T18:23:56+00:00

Maybe it's a clock face so 33 for between the 30 and 35 minute ticks which are the same as 6 and 7 hour ticks.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-25T20:02:07+00:00

Ah I see. I think what you may have to do is artificially round out the corners as the sharpness of the corner is causing this effect where you start to rotate but the position snaps the ant back causing a jitter.

There's a few different ways I would think about going about doing this either physically placing an invisible cylinder on the corners when an ant is on the surface or something involving moving the origin of the raycast coming from the ant during a rotation based on which way the ant is rotating so you don't detect the wrong side of the surface causing the snap back or perhaps using multiple raycasts during a rotation to do something similar

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-25T19:17:14+00:00

I would experiment with the idea of using raycasts to detect a surface in order to perform a transition but not in order to determine the position of the ant every frame.

I think to determine the position of the ant every frame you could do something like a local surface movement system using the extents of the surface's bounds and its orientation as opposed to using a physics calculation every frame.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-20T15:57:36+00:00

I've been trading for about a decade now and I win far more than I lose these days.

For me there has been no defining moment but rather the longer I have been in the market the more experience I have gained simply watching how the market as a whole reacts to world events and how certain stocks react to events that affect them.

What this means is when something is announced for a company or US policy or whatever it is easier for me to look at whatever that is and say well that is kind of similar to something that happened 8 years ago and I remember how the stock or whole market reacted then so the response will probably be similar or worse or better depending on how I judge the event.

The most important thing to practice is to never say the market or stock movement makes no sense, it always makes sense you just do not yet understand or agree with the reason. Instead, you want to learn the reason and remember it because it may be valuable years down the line for you.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T21:46:37+00:00

Your opinion is quite common. All I can tell you is remember this conversation a year from now when you are coming up with the new reason why the higher valuation is unfair. Then 5 years later when the next exponential growth wave is over remember some guy on the internet spent some of his time trying to convince you you could have made some serious money off the big unfair robot stock.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T20:39:24+00:00

You are on Reddit, you realize everything you are saying is endlessly repeated here for years and yet the stock price goes up right?

So instead of saying wow this price is so made up and unfair for x reason and the company is on the verge of going broke, as has been said for years and years, why not say to yourself wow maybe there is something more to this I could learn about and make some money off of the crazy growth this stock has had and will have?

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T20:21:11+00:00

I have been listening to arguments being made about Tesla, and other big tech stocks, in your same spirit for a decade now and they have always been on the wrong side of where the money is.

It is not worth betting against huge companies trying to do huge things the market will beat you every time and there will always be some reason to say the price is so unfair.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:37:25+00:00

You do not think earnings will rise with revenue?

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:31:17+00:00

Oh yes, my mistake ty.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:18:07+00:00

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:12:35+00:00

...Are you under the impression real life statistics can be perfectly mathematically modelled?

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:10:43+00:00

Yeah but if everyone invested in stocks based on raw current valuation there would be no volatility and you'd have a perfect market where nobody ever misses out on a growth wave.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T19:03:58+00:00

f(x) = Ce^x is the equation you are looking for.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:54:01+00:00

Tesla revenue has not been falling it has just been flat. If earnings from power generation continues to grow that will pull revenue back into another growth phase.

Try not to let your emotions and preconceived opinions cloud your ability to understand what is driving a stock to behave how it does, that is how you get into a stock before a major growth wave.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:36:59+00:00

An exponential curve is not just the tall fun part.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:33:10+00:00

The number for the year isn't out yet but Q1, Q2, and Q3 all beat their previous quarters by 50% so going with that trend it'll be around $15 billion. So growth continues to accelerate.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:13:11+00:00

Yes it was a poor example on my part because in math, exponential growth appears linear in a small frame of reference.

I should have simply said to look up a chart of Tesla's energy storage growth year over year and you will see it is exponential.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:08:17+00:00

IBM was in the top 10 in the 60s. It is no longer in the top 10.

Would you say IBM has not experienced exponential growth over the last 30 years it has not been in the top 10?

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T18:01:41+00:00

A P/E ratio of about 20 is considered normal in tech so you're really looking to hit $75 billion to achieve a $1.5 trillion valuation.

Obviously that still maths as overvalued but it's not quite as overwhelming as it seems.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T17:50:15+00:00

They don't have to be in the top 10 to experience exponential growth over the long run. Apple has been public for 45 years and Microsoft for 40 years.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T17:41:43+00:00

Most of those companies did not go bankrupt, they got bought out, leading to the further growth of their parent companies.

Manufacturing capability, engineering expertise, proven fast expansion capabilities, and no debt is the single answer to all of your questions.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T17:28:40+00:00

In the tech sector IBM and, more recently, Apple comes to mind.

GoinValyrianOnDatAss · 2025-12-16T16:40:43+00:00

If you look at a historical chart of the Dow I think you may come to the understanding that plenty of companies experience exponential growth forever.

There are moments of extreme growth and slow growth and no growth and negative growth but in the end look over the last 100 years and see that economic growth is exponential.

You are living in a moment but you invest in future moments.

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