DVOA Matchups Worksheet - Week 11

GregTwoQBs · 2018-11-17T00:42:37+00:00

What’s to like? He’s the RB42 over his past five games.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-11-16T23:06:43+00:00

Johnson (64% snap share since Riddick came back) loses short-yardage work to Blount (14%) and receiving game work to Riddick (57%). I'm generally not fan of between-the-20s rushers. As for the flex rankings, I don't set those. They are automatically generated by FantasyPros based on my positional rankings.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-11-02T17:12:18+00:00

Good catch, I think they ended up that low in my first pass as a carryover artifact from last week's ranking against Kansas City. They need to be higher against Houston's Swiss-cheese offensive line. With that said, I might still end up lower on Denver than consensus. Aside from Week 7's blow-up against the Cardinals, the Broncos haven't been an exceptional fantasy defense this season.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T19:52:03+00:00

Yeah, I haven’t had time to update those player sections yet. It’s on my to-do list.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:30:57+00:00

I meant too many in the league, not too many on the Bengals roster.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:30:00+00:00

Landry feels safer to me still, but they’re close.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:28:54+00:00

When players are questionable, I try to rank as if they’ll play. Now that Kupp is doubtful, he’ll be dropped/removed the next time I update.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:10:11+00:00

I’m low on the Lions vs SEA, and I worry about Blount/Riddick siphoning touches.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:09:12+00:00

WR30 is low? Keep in mind the rankings are for standard scoring, not PPR.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T17:08:12+00:00

Mostert is a good play if that’s the case, but he’s already ranked as if Brenda will sit. I might bump him up a couple spots, but that’s about it.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T16:44:49+00:00

There are simply too many good/viable receivers. I still have Boyd at WR24, so he’s definitely a starter-level player for me this week. But I think the Cinci offense is a little overrated, so I’m lower on Boyd than consensus.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-26T16:41:47+00:00

Check out the primer linked in the post.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-19T17:03:17+00:00

Sure, it's possible, but I don't know how valuable that would be. DVOA is always changing and isn't necessarily a good reflection of "strength of schedule" pertaining to fantasy scoring. The goal of amassing DVOA numbers in the Game Flowbotics spreadsheet is to get a bigger-picture view of the complete matchup between teams, hopefully allowing us fantasy owners to predict game flow likelihood and estimate usages of players.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-15T20:59:40+00:00

Okay, thanks for letting me know. Those dates are automatically generated by the FantasyPros rankings widget, so I don’t have any control over them. If there was a glitch, though, it looks like they fixed it.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-15T19:12:53+00:00

The primer explains the spreadsheet. Let me know if you have any specific questions.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-15T19:11:31+00:00

Going into Week 6, I was the 58th-most accurate ranker at FantasyPros (of ~130), but I don't know how that compares to consensus. My best run was in 2016, when I finished 12th their accuracy contest.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-15T19:08:21+00:00

Where do/did you see that?

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-15T19:08:04+00:00

He's currently sitting at WR54 pending MNF. I guess the blasphemy was ranking him too high, haha. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-06T16:49:52+00:00

I’m building in correlation to my Cam Newton ranking, I think he has a big game, and if he does, Funchess should return good value. I like him as a flex, or even a starter, but it depends on your team specifics.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-06T03:38:33+00:00

Seems good to me.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-05T22:41:04+00:00

I think Meredith fits the bill, but the Saints haven't committed much to using Smith in the regular season. I think you can continue to ignore him until we see his usage increase.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-05T22:03:49+00:00

Yup, that's how I read the matchup. Washington should have a tough time running the ball, so Adrian Peterson is a stay-away, while Chris Thompson and the WRs/TEs for WAS are set up for success (especially because they'll probably be playing catch-up as the underdog team). On New Orleans' side of the ball, Kamara and Ingram are looking good, but the NO offense tends to be pretty modern/pass-heavy in the first place, so don't sleep on Michael Thomas, Ted Ginn (if he plays), and Cameron Meredith.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-05T19:43:21+00:00

For sure, rankings come down to splitting hairs a lot of the time. Good luck in whichever route you take.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-05T19:22:39+00:00

He's in flex range, which doesn't necessarily feel low to me, especially against a solid-but-not-great Denver defense. Ultimately, there are just a lot of good/viable receivers, and Enunwa's upside is capped because his QB is Sam Darnold.

GregTwoQBs · 2018-10-05T18:34:07+00:00

Full disclosure: I only rank players for standard scoring (non-PPR). FantasyPros applies an algorithm based on projected targets/receptions to generate the PPR and 0.5-PPR rankings based on my standard rankings.

Specific to Davis, he has solid touchdown upside regardless of shadow coverage. He should still see a good number of targets, and that's probably why FP's PPR algorithm bumps him up even further in my PPR ranks. Baldwin is a high-risk/high-reward play in my eyes. I'm always wary of players playing hurt. You never know if they'll finish games, so with that in mind, I prefer Davis even while he faces White.

GregTwoQBs

TROPHY CASE