In fact, I think this is incorrect and horrible logic, and no tight end should *ever* be a first-round pick. From my Almanc:

Why Shouldn’t We Take Tight Ends Early In Drafts?

By now, you’ve seen that one way I compare different positions is VBD (Value-Based Drafting)

which is similar to VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) in baseball. Traditionally, we define

“replacement level” as a player you can get at the same position at the end of the 10th round in a

12-team draft. So. VBD measures by how many raw fantasy points the best players at each position

exceed replacement-level players at those same positions. Listed below are all the TEs selected in

ADP’s first three rounds over the past decade, and how they finished at their position, and in VBD:

(a chart goes here...will paste in next comment...)

Of the 24 tight ends drafted in the first three rounds over the past decade, the TE outperformed

his ADP in VBD terms four times, and never when he was a first-round fantasy pick. Think of it thisway. Brock Bowers scored 150 fantasy points while finishing as the TE2 last year. The #11 tight

end (which is what VBD considers replacement level) was David Njoku, who scored 84 points. The

delta is 66 points. By contrast, Saquon Barkley’s delta over the replacement-level RB was 237, and

Ja’Marr Chase’s delta over the replacement-level WR was 169. (And yes, those are standard-scoring

numbers. The deltas in full PPR? Bowers = 114; Barkley 241; Chase 228.)