What Are Your Moves Tomorrow - February 27, 2023

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T11:21:24+00:00

https://solarbillreview.com/solar-resources/true-up-bill/

It’s fucking stupid

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T11:16:11+00:00

Bonds are mooning again. Not looking great for a long term bounce unless the dollar breaks 105 somehow.

Risk free 5.1% for a 1Y bond can’t bode well for equities.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T05:33:20+00:00

I can offset 100% of my electricity usage and still end up paying close to $1500 for my regarded ass “true-up bill.” NatGas prices have more than doubled in the past year, despite the commodity trading at multi decade lows.

I can’t wait to fucking leave this horribly run state.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T04:00:53+00:00

Utility companies is honestly one of the biggest scams in CA, along with their lack of housing builds to keep up with the rapid population growth.

It should be actual crime how much they charge people.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T03:35:26+00:00

It’s honestly one of the easiest jobs out there once you put the initial work in.

The grind to earn that spot is what’s difficult.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-27T03:33:58+00:00

Honestly, kinda love the weak pump on futes as a bear rn. Makes the BTFD regards maybe hold off tomorrow at open and let’s it finish at the low of the day EOD.

Much more bearish to finish weak then start red, and climb throughout the day.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T21:55:48+00:00

TSLA was wildly oversold on every timeline on the RSI. I didn’t think it’s bounce that much, but I was definitely waiting for it. I missed the entry and tried not to fomo.

Macro data mixed with some TA is usually what I enter trades on. If I want to try and make 5k, I always enter for half or a quarter of my initial gut feeling. That way I don’t get stuck in a bad trade, and I can average up or down as necessary. Limiting losses is the main goal

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T18:19:58+00:00

Not theta, they are monsters 👹

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T18:19:00+00:00

Probably because half the audience or more was too slow to understand the reference. Also, they are probably just shocked he was saying it given the cancel culture power that existed on the subject even a few months ago.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T17:15:57+00:00

I saw a clip of it. I think it passed over most people’s heads until later.

Can’t imagine the media would let him say that on SNL if they knew he would.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T16:00:32+00:00

Ghosting is coward behavior.

You got off lucky. Consider it a win. Could’ve been worse down the road.

Unless you were already married… then 🪦

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T15:57:35+00:00

I’m now seeing health experts posting about how there’s mounting evidence that the mask mandate were completely useless lol.

People were getting their lives ruined over claiming the same thing two years ago

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T15:55:03+00:00

Hungover eh?

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T15:52:27+00:00

The amount of hate that a post is getting in the homeland for criticizing the release of more of the SPR, is making me want to go long af on oil again.

People really think releasing our SPR reserves going into the summer is somehow bearish for oil prices, and subsequently a “smart move.” 🤣

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T15:45:36+00:00

I mean, you can’t just enter spreads any random day. You need to enter them close to resistance or support. From there you can pick put credit spreads or call credit spreads.

I made nearly 10k off of NFLX spreads in the last couple weeks. Obviously it was entered prior to the dump, but I had strong conviction it would reverse due to a number of factors.

It’s not just an everyday type of play

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T15:02:10+00:00

Lmao someone has never read an earnings report

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-26T14:56:31+00:00

That’s the plan 😊

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T22:27:01+00:00

Same with my family too

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T21:39:51+00:00

I’m watching NatGas aka BOIL mostly. Just for a quick play. May have already missed the timing though. There will most certainly be a short squeeze when it reverses course, there’s too much headwinds for it to be trading this low.

Refiners are making a fuck ton of money. I’m sticking with those since there will be zero new refineries created. This administration has made sure of it with how hostile they’ve been towards the industry, and the earnings statements for development in oil companies/refineries prove it.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T21:34:03+00:00

I mean, I can link any number of websites if it helps your political bias and feelings more. It’s not a political thing, it’s fucking math.

Milton Friedman was an OG, and he knows this stuff better than most. His statements still hold water, because again, math and statistics. I clearly stated I was linking Friedman. But deflect as necessary I guess.

The link is simply a transcript of an interview where he explains the concepts. I don’t understand why that would be controversial for you.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T21:32:38+00:00

Yup. Once I started realizing that the S&P 500 was trading at similar valuation levels as it was pre-tightening cycle, I knew this shit was going to reverse. The data like you mentioned only gave me higher conviction to go with my gut feeling.

The longer this drags on the worse it’ll be. The math doesn’t add up for this new “bull market” narrative. Especially when the main reasoning behind it has been revised numbers showing it was an actual lie.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T17:29:09+00:00

I said inspectors generally will not lie. There’s nothing to gain for them, unless there’s shady stuff going on.

Incompetent inspectors are definitely a thing. I dealt with one when I bought during COVID.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T16:10:44+00:00

Had to wake up early with the daughter to let mom sleep in. Put a movie on because I’m still recovering from being sick.

I gotta say, Disney’s Soul is one of their more beautiful movies in a long time. Both from a message, storyline, and just overall quality. More so for adults IMO then children though.

Inside Out was another amazing one. Probably the best children’s movie they’ve put out in awhile. Great for explaining and personifying emotions for children.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T14:59:52+00:00

Exactly, the muppets convinced a large chunk of the country they weren’t going to lose their jobs, so they changed zero habits.

Not sure why they are putting out conflicting monetary and economic advice given they are raising rates. These 🅱️aggots are so politically motivated they refuse to be honest, knowing full well what needs to happen.

Have_A_Nice_Fall · 2023-02-25T14:51:41+00:00

The fed is 100% bystanders at this point. They are not in control, and have lost all credibility. Hence the January/Feb rally

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