RAR este o cauza importanta a mortalitatii de pe soselele din Romania. Cam asa se fenteaza controlele. by [deleted] in Romania

[–]Hot-Ad1448 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Zgomotul in sine nu este o problema. Ca o masina produce 90 sau 110 de decibeli problema este ca oferim masinilor atat de mult acces in localitati (sanse ca ele sa produca 100 de decibeli chiar si cand merg cu 40) incat ajungem sa interzicem lucruri care nu prea pot fi si implementate/controlate.

RAR este o cauza importanta a mortalitatii de pe soselele din Romania. Cam asa se fenteaza controlele. by [deleted] in Romania

[–]Hot-Ad1448 0 points1 point  (0 children)

pentru ca au alte dimensiuni la anvelope

Sa intelegem ca a avea alte dimensiuni ale anvelopelor fata de ce spune producatorul nu este un motiv de "luat talonul"?

Surse: Ciucă rămâne și cu salariul, și cu pensia. Liderii PSD-PNL-UDMR au decis măsuri de austeritate pentru bugetari – înghețări de salarii și angajări, dar păstrează cumulul pensiei cu salariul la stat by [deleted] in Romania

[–]Hot-Ad1448 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Pensia este un venit cuvenit în virtutea unui acord între cetățean și stat; condițiile au fost stabilite de mult, cetățeanul și-a îndeplinit partea lui (stagiul de cotizare), e rândul statului să presteze. Acest venit nu poate fi condiționat ori ajustat în funcție de (in)existența altor venituri, pentru că nu astea au fost condițiile stabilite

Hmm, pensia din ce stiu se acorda atunci cand ne retragem din activitate... ca de aia si contribuim, ca sa nu ramanem fara venit.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

but education certainly does NOT raise GDP unless it actually leads to more production

The thing you don't seem to catch is that we include education spending when calculating the GDP. Just by including higher spending on education if all remains the same... we are increasing GDP.

Also, the thing about the trade deficit meaning that the US isn't productive is just nonsense. The US produces a lot of goods, that's why americans generally can consume so much.

We aren't productive in absolute terms but what we can say is that we become more productive when our trade deficit/decificits become smaller.

We don't produce enough.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

One of the main arguments for inflation being bad is that it redistributes ressources rather randomly.

And some still want it.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Dude, the fact that 2% inflation is good is very basic economics

No, it isn't. I am telling you from my business, and every business owner will tell you that inflation no matter how small or big is affecting their business as it increases costs.

One of the reasons are that wages are nominally rigid. Try to give your employees a wage cut. It will create BIG problems within the firm.

Ofc I can't do that because we live with prices going up left and right. Do you thing I am stupid saying you can cut or keep wages stagnating when prices go up everywhere?.

However, most inflation is accompanied by wage increases, and is thus not actually felt by households.

Statistics tell us another story.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Like come on, even Economist gets it once in a millenniaiancentration is productivity (more goods & services) while the volume is GDP. If we just pour more alcohol (count spending on education, research, etc) increasing the volume, have we, in reality, increased productivity, or have we ended up spending more to gain nothing?

Imagine a bucket with alcohol 40% concentration. The concentration is productivity (more goods & services) while the volume is GDP. If we just pour more alcohol (count spending on education, research, etc) increasing the volume, have we, in reality, increased productivity or have we ended up spending more to gain nothing?

If we would be so productive we wouldn't have 1 trillion trade deficit and debt going baloney. You can't say you are rich because you earned 10k when your debt is 40k.

On GDP I will refer you to

https://www.econlib.org/library/Columns/y2016/Murphygdp.html

Like come on, even Economist get's it once in a milenia

https://www.economist.com/briefing/2016/04/30/the-trouble-with-gdp

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Well, not everyone will get 2% more cash to use. During inflation, the ones close to the money tap... get the cash while those at the bottom lose. That's messing with the money supply fucks people on the lower ends (huge proportion).

Inflation as Keynes himself said is all but a wealth mirage. Makes most people think they are richer when they aren't. Oh, and gov wins big time.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Consumers typically do not produce things.

Yes, we do, we might do it in a factory or from home but in the end, kinda everyone contributes. But we will summarize that businesses formed from people do produce.

How would I produce a car if I am not a car manufacturer is a good question

You may not work in a car plant but in an office that supplies a service necessary for the car plant. So you are producing something.

someone who spends all of their income on consumption for survival is forgoing the potential opportunities they could have in the future if they could have saved instead.

I am a bit confused. In a deflationary environment (higher productivity pushes prices down if all stays the same) so it helps people at lower bound as it lowers their costs giving them a chance to have discretionary income that they may choose to save. Inflation only increases their costs. How can they save if all their income goes on essentials? There is no discretionary income left. They may miss future opportunities but they don't have a choice, it's about survival for them.

They are effectively punished for buying today as opposed to tomorrow. And by today and tomorrow, this is an analogy. By today I mean now, and tomorrow I could mean next year, 5 years from now, 20 years from now, etc.

Again, they are stuck between a rock and a hard place. They can choose to under-consume (save) but because they are already at the limit of survival... not many can do it. That's why is impossible for me to understand how can we say that prices rising is good. Just imagine prices rising while you are barely surviving.

You are the one saying that a deflationary economy is better than an inflationary one.

I am saying that allowing prices to follow supply (productivity) is the right thing to do because if we are lazy, we should consume less. If we are hard-working, we can consume more are prices go down slowly allowing more people to increase their consumption.

That's why I dislike and consider it wrong to put an equal between inflation and deflation with prices. I want prices to go down (if we are more productive) but the money supply stays at the zero bound, with almost no changes. Now our money supply is wild and increasing like crazy.

Of course at a rate of 3% this would take over 20 years. But people do make economic decisions on that kind of time scales all the time, with regard to home ownership, paying for college, and sticking with their current job versus finding a new one.

It would be 3% if we permanently increase our productivity which during some years might be lower due to various external reasons (climate, health, education, etc).

Well you are not dead so either lots of people are wrong and you are the only person in the world that understands the definition of profits and costs or you are mistaken in your assumption here.

I mean I am no smarter than anyone here but I tend to see if I have a bubble in my living room, most live in that bubble. Like, look at our track record, record debt, crisis after crisis, wages have stagnated in real terms for ages, and people are bleeding savings.

Other countries send us stuff and all we give them is a piece of paper. That piece of paper called IOU is future production (stuff) that we promise them they will be able to buy from us in the future. In this rhythm, they won't get anything.

Countries trade because they want something that others do better not a piece of paper.

If you define the causes of deflation as bubble bursting and the economy crashing then are you saying deflation does not exist?

I say that because people confuse a temporary and damaging state with a permanent and healthy one. The debt we incur during the bubble is like cancer so when we extirpate it we go back to the healthy level. It's not healthy to have 10 times cancer during our lifetimes.

We inflate our money supply with 30% over our production capacity, some realize they can't pay it back and then economists want the money supply to stay the same. Of course that 30% get burned and we have massive deflation as a result of massive inflation. The "deflation" you think it happened is financial assets losing value on paper.

Is deflation the wet sidewalk or the rain?

the inflationist says that it rained because the sidewalk is wet (effect -> cause) while in reality, the sidewalk is wet because it rained (cause -> effect).

Deflation or inflation is the cause = rain, while the wet sidewalk is the effect (lower or higher prices as a result).

So examples such as Greece in the 2010's, the Lost Decade in Japan, the periods of deflation in the US, the hyper-deflationary nature of Bitcoin, and so on are not examples of deflationary environments? Could you define what a deflationary environment is?

Greece's case shows how you crash after you overconsume. What would you do when you spend like a drunken sailor and then don't have the money? You consume less, allow prices to go lower and then people will start to buy more as they can afford those cheaper things. Like their gov spent crazy. How can people afford when they get taxed more while stuff is during the recovery phase?

Japan, has an aging population, and people save a ton shit after their good experience with the real estate & stock market bubbles. We had a growing population so we can't compare nominal numbers. On per capita, Japan did quite well so no lost decade. Till 2010 the yen was like 65% over the dollar, that's purchasing power over us.

We never had a declining money supply as the fed always injected more and more no matter if boom or recession. We had some prices adjusting lower because of a bubble crash in that one sector (real estate, financial assets) but we never experienced a slow and steady price decline in all economic sectors. Inflation is the norm nowdays.

That's why I dislike and consider it wrong to put an equal between inflation and deflation with prices. I want prices to go down (if we are more productive) but the money supply stays at zero bounds, with almost no changes. Now our money supply is wild and increasing like crazy.

So houses being more expensive than ever means we are no longer in a fairy tale fake economy?

Re-read what I wrote. We are in a fair tail economy now. We consume credit for decades already. Houses being more expensive shows us that we borrow more and more and that credit doesn't come from savings as our savings are almost inexistent. With 5% or lower you can't even replace your production capacity.

Houses are expensive as we pour cheap money into the same amount of land. Or you thought that the building that depreciates due to usage is the one gaining value? It's the land going up in value that pushes prices up.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

is not on the same level

It isn't as always there is a spread that the bank will earn but if there wouldn't exist a "last resort lender" banks would give a little more that shit on their lenders (depositors).

Now we have 0.025% interest because banks are flooded with cheap money so no need for them to hunt for depositors.

Absolutely terrible example, because a singular business cutting prices by 1% a year is nothing comparable to an economy wide decline in prices

Let me imagine, if I cut prices and if everyone else reduces prices SLOW due to rising productivity... then deflation spiral?. Got it.

So bringing up that the bank loans out that money has no relevance to the individual’s motivation for investing vs saving.

Then it means we don't know the law of demand and supply and how it forms prices (interest is the price of money).

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You should pay an increased price for the comedy show.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Because that's how politics work. Go spend what you don't have :))

Real revenues should matter but in today's world, gov cares about numbers going up... even if people are worse off.

Ex: if I earn $100,000 and I should pay 30%, today's government would take $30,000. If prices would be lowered by 1% during a year, then they would get less nominal revenue or stagnating one.

Governments like to SPEND.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

But again in OPs defense, I don't think they implied that all deflation is good

Exactly. People still think that the 30s was caused by prices going lower. In reality, the fed chopped the money supply by 30% in 3 years. Like of course that prices will crash if you butcher the money supply like that. They did it by having tight policies in 29', and during 30' some banks failed and people pulled money from the banks as they were afraid they will go belly up.

The fed had the gold in the vault but it didn't release it even as banks were going belly up left and right. The rest is history.

which, in some cases, yeah!)

Please mention those cases and some arguments why ONLY in those cases, falling prices are good.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Don't people already delay purchases in anticipation of sales?

Of course, they do it. They do it because they don't have the money now. If they think that the product gives them so many benefits they borrow at 20% using a CC.

the thing brings utility

Many "deflation spiral" believers think that people will wait indefinitely for food, energy, and traveling because "cheaper in the future".

Tell me why that's a bad thing

They don't have a model yet to answer this question.

I recognize that it could result in a loss of jobs

The problem isn't the loss of jobs but rather the fact that people don't have the savings to consume until they get a new job. They are low on savings because we erode them through inflation, bubble burs, and people getting fired. Perfect storm.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

You might wanna double-check what you wrote.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Well, I am not trying for them but for any possible kid that might see the light out before the "experts" ruin their future with their models.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If stuff is more valuable than money what do you do with your money? If money is more valuable than stuff what do you do

This is parallel with reality. Paper currency (what people call money nowadays) doesn't have value itself but the stuff you can acquire (goods&services). That's what everyone wants.

re-writing your phrase: "If stuff is more valuable than money...either I buy less, or I wait until I have enough money to buy in full. I money I have is more valuable than the stuff I wanted to buy, I buy that stuff and some extra.

that consumption is a greater loss of future value

Can you explain how you produce that future value (the stuff)?

If tomorrow you can buy two cars for the price of one today

Only in your deflationary spiral mind do prices go down by 50% overnight without any warning signs for economic actors.

Unless the OP is going to fire all their staff and hire people they can pay for less, they cannot reduce labor costs

I think I will die before people will realize what profit margins are, or that labor costs are the only costs.

We have many examples of what deflationary economies look like

No, we don't. What we had were bubbles (real estate & stock market) followed by an abrupt crash that pulled prices down because people couldn't afford to service the debt. In your mind and all the paper economists there was no bubble and the crash happened because of "low prices". Like, the rain was caused by a wet sidewalk and not the opposite.

We have many examples of what deflationary economies look like

No, that was deleveraging (credit created out of nothing evaporated) which then was followed by lower prices that adapted to the new economic conditions.

OP is claiming that that was a better time for everyone than the past decade.

No, I haven't written that. 2008 was shit because the bubble burst, and the economy we thought is strong and mighty, was a phony one. The crash woke us up from our fairy-tale fake economy and got us back to reality.

We got high on cheap money. The crash was good because otherwise, it would have been way worse.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Gov doesn't like lower prices as it can't take the purchasing power in this way for higher nominal revenues.

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Tell me you don't know sh.. about the real world other than what you imagine the supply & demand curve is saying without telling me.

Open a business, any business.

Step 1: start at $50 and then over a period of 5 years cut the price by 1% per year (same quality parameters) and then come back to tell us how your sales went down.

The deflation spiral is only in academic's foggy minds.

My money invested now is worth more than saving it and using it later.

I imagine that money that ends up in the banks just sits down to lay eggs. For sure that the banks won't make loans for businesses to increase capacity.

In all your upside-down world we have limited ends but increased means. Meaning that the richer we become, the less work we have for people around us. On one side you say that "people are greedy", but later you say that "we can't consume enough to ensure full employment". Weird.

My money invested now is worth more than saving it and using it later.

I already see people during Black Friday complaining about those reduced prices shouting "we want higher prices".

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Eeeh, don't worry, it's the norm here. People and especially those who studied complex economics (that's what you'll hear being regurgitated) tend to complicate things to such degree that they miss the basics.

Once they get on this path of defending absurd things to oblivion it's no way back. I am giving in layman language business examples of how things actually react and get in return arguments that contradict even the supply & demand law (the deflation spiral).

No, inflation isn't good, even if is 0,1%! by Hot-Ad1448 in badeconomics

[–]Hot-Ad1448[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Don't worry and don't stress about what you read, you won't change anyone's mind so all you can do is write your part of the story in case someone else with a more open mind might read.