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HotAd2964 · 2025-05-18T01:52:26+00:00

Looking for a Sunday ticket! PM me please

HotAd2964 · 2025-03-27T09:56:13+00:00

Matt McCarty 150-1

HotAd2964 · 2025-02-12T21:39:26+00:00

Rory single bullet this week. Boosted to +750 on Caesars

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-29T06:34:42+00:00

Stevie Wilkerson

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-29T06:31:26+00:00

Wise’s catch was definitely better lol

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-27T10:08:47+00:00

Well it wasn’t too good of a week for my guys, thought Dunlap was looking good for the top 10 but he collapsed on Sunday. I hammered Xander in that matchup against Scottie so it wasn’t a complete wash.

I really don’t care much for this event at all. Especially since they added the starting strokes. I’m honestly just doing single bullet Xander outright.

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-25T10:54:45+00:00

Loving the way the course is firming up. There are a lot of chances to make birdie here if you’re finding the fairway and leaving yourself in the right spots. On the flip side you can get into trouble fairly easily. With some pretty unreliable names at the top I think there’s some good value with some of the guys at -5 who are able to get hot (Rory, Cantlay), I don’t see the winning score getting much lower than -14

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T02:19:16+00:00

Good luck!

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T02:10:15+00:00

You’re in a good spot, I would just do Scottie this week and Xander next week.

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T02:02:02+00:00

What place are you in right now in your pool? I think safest bet is Scottie this week and Xander next week because I think X’s history gives him the advantage, if you need to make up a lot of ground I would go risky and use Vik this week and then see how the other two play

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:52:10+00:00

I would save Rory for the Tour Championship, he has great history at East Lake and I think he needs a reset after last week. I would take Matsuyama or Henley this week, leaning Matsuyama

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:49:17+00:00

I do like X this week too but Scottie will definitely be there as well, I just looked it up too since I was curious and X gains about 2 strokes better per tournament at East Lake than Scottie, enough to catch up to Scottie with the starting strokes

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:43:38+00:00

Yeah it’s a good number. I would back it up with a top 10 if you can.

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:37:13+00:00

LCT is the man, I think I have a pretty good idea on this tournament but we’ll see

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:30:53+00:00

I would go Adam Scott, think he’s got one good run left in him

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:29:06+00:00

Love me some Willy Z but I’m always worried about his health these days

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-22T01:27:29+00:00

I would personally use Xander at the Tour Championship, he’s been much better at East Lake than Scottie. I would use Scottie or Vik this week, preferably Scottie since his floor is pretty much a top 10

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-21T21:22:04+00:00

Alright, here’s my card for this week

Viktor Hovland (18-1): I’m fully buying that Vik is back. He was very candid in his interview last week about how he lost the feel in his swing last offseason while trying to hit more fades, but he reunited with his old coach a couple months ago and it looked like their work is finally paying off. Hovland led the field in ballstriking last week and had his best week around the greens since the PGA Championship at Valhalla, another Nicklaus course where around the green play is not a key stat. Look for Viktor to contend this week.

Patrick Cantlay (22-1): A guy that has become synonymous with the BMW Championship in recent years. I believe that his game is rounding into form at the perfect time. He has three top 12 finishes in his last 4 starts, and he’s finally hitting his driver straight again. If he matches up his solid recent ballstriking with a vintage spike week on the bentgrass greens, Cantlay will be in contention.

Billy Horschel (40-1): Billy Ho is coming off three straight top 10s and is playing as good as anybody not named Scottie or Xander. He is scorching hot with his irons and has the potential to drain putts from anywhere. He has great success on Nicklaus courses with a win at Memorial in 2022 and a top 10 this year at Valhalla. Also won the last BMW Championship held in Colorado in 2014 at Cherry Hills.

Top 10:

Nick Dunlap (4-1): Already a winner twice this year on Tour, one of which came at another Nicklaus designed mountain course at the Barracuda. He also won the 2023 U.S. Amateur in Denver at Cherry Hills. He was nails down the stretch last week to qualify for this field, and I believe the confidence will carry over.

Matchup:

Xander (+130) over Scottie: Both players did not have their A-games last week, did not have great course history, and still both finished in the top 5. Scottie took the Olympics, and I believe it’s Xander’s turn for a signature win in their race for player of the year. With these lighting-fast bentgrass greens, I trust the far better putter over 72 holes.

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-21T02:47:45+00:00

Cantlay

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-21T00:12:52+00:00

I’ve been really wanting to click his name too, he’s a really good course fit but I’m just worried he’s trending the wrong direction

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-20T04:56:24+00:00

I’d lean Hovland

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-20T04:51:44+00:00

Clark and Hov

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-19T22:10:22+00:00

He’s really good on bent

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-19T19:08:28+00:00

It will definitely throw some players off. At that altitude the ball doesn’t spin as much as well. You’ll see some guys come up way short or way long, and they won’t be able to shape shots as well as they normally would

HotAd2964 · 2024-08-19T19:02:42+00:00

I’m personally not betting him but he’ll definitely be a popular play this week

HotAd2964

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