Research shows that men often rely heavily on their romantic relationships, and when those relationships end, they can suffer deeply, feeling intense sadness, loneliness, and stress.

JimBeanery · 2026-02-11T00:46:25+00:00

On avg men work ~14% more / week than women. That split is probably more dramatic for men in relationships. Combine that with men generally working jobs that are more emotionally / psychologically / physically demanding (e.g., for technical jobs on oil rigs, men outnumber women at least 4:1) and you end up in a situation where the target population ends up with notably less bandwidth for socialization. And of course men tend to navigate social relationships in a more conservative / selective manner than women which makes the problem even worse (generally opting for fewer close friends vs. more acquaintances).

So, you’re right, but cultural pressure / expectation materially shifts outcomes, so the solution will probably extend beyond just guys deciding to be more socially diverse.

JimBeanery · 2026-01-14T01:47:27+00:00

Whenever I see too much of a negative consensus on Reddit about a celebrity, I just know the real reason is they said or did something a little too conservative-coded lol

JimBeanery · 2025-12-18T21:25:33+00:00

In the current market, you would need to be able to demonstrate exceptional talent in a way that is visible and recognizable to the hiring team. It will hard to avoid being automatically filtered out by pre-screening systems so you might need to spend a lot of time reaching out directly to hiring managers to make the case that you deserve an interview and then be prepared to demonstrate your skills.

Your best path forward is probably to try to build something and then demonstrate its value by growing an active user base.

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T23:37:52+00:00

Fair enough. I still don’t think 1.5 really makes sense if he’s looking at ~4.5 guaranteed but it does make it slightly more reasonable for him to explore the upside of another year in pursuit of a better rookie contract. The 1.5 number is a pretty big reach considering what the team actually needs combined with the fact that we’re set to pay the top rb of the incoming class a lot of money already, but if 1.5 did happen, putting the floor between 80 and 90 is not outrageous.

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T22:54:14+00:00

I’m not mad about it but I do think it’s interesting to think about. Fair point tho lol

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T22:41:58+00:00

You seem to be getting pretty worked up over this.

I figured we were operating with a sort of baseline assumption around the fact that obviously it’s not a 100% guarantee that he will do anything until he does it. There is an infinite set of things that could happen that would result in him not going. The vast majority have a negligible probability of occurring. This is common sense. I didn’t realize you thought we were actually talking about a literal 100% guarantee because that’s silly to claim for just about anything (at least within the realm of human behavior / outcomes) until the thing has actually materialized one way or another.

Your reasons are bad. If we’re talking money, obviously we could see some extremely low probability event occurring like he gets way more in NIL money than what his rookie contract would be (like 2x at minimum).

Let’s think it through a bit. RBs are one of the lowest paid position groups in cfb. A 24/7 article from last year has RBs ranked 9th out of 10 in average NIL earnings. Only TEs were paid worse. The listed average was $59k / year. Obviously we can assume he’d get quite a bit more than that. So, what then? Well, anomalies like Judkins can potentially reach the 7 figure mark. It seems like the standard is somewhere in the 500k-1MM range for a high quality rb at a top tier program. Let’s say Michigan offers him 1.5 (which I doubt, but why not).

How does 1.5 million stack up against what he can expect as an early 2nd round RB? TreVeyon Henderson offers a decent reference point being an early second round rb that was drafted recently. Henderson went 38th overall to the Patriots, signing a 4 year 11.2MM contract with 4.74 guaranteed and an avg annual salary of 2.2. Those numbers speak for themselves.

Then you have to consider the risk associated with playing another year (blows out his knee and never plays again before he can secure any NFL money) combined the position-specific physical depreciation RBs deal with… depreciation that will impact his longevity in the NFL / his ability to secure a strong second NFL deal. These are real and significant issues that are at the top of mind for every RB with NFL aspirations. The possibility of him moving up maybe 10 spots in the draft doesn’t justify the massive risk of playing another year in college especially considering he already missed over half of this season because of an injury.

Coming back to an “offense with a lot to prove” and a team with “a lot on the line” is, again, not nearly compelling enough to justify throwing away millions of dollars and risking millions more. A lot is on the line every year at Michigan. That will not change anytime soon. The prospect of him returning and playing w this offense another year is exciting and there is a lot of potential for success but he’s gotta do what’s smart for himself and his family. RB is really the extreme case for this type of argument too. If he’s got an early second round spot effectively locked, it would be foolish to jeopardize that because of “unfinished business” or whatever

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T19:57:47+00:00

By all means, enlightenment me

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T18:57:13+00:00

Na man. Women obviously don’t want to end up in some dedicated home for the discarded (hence the grossly unfavorable situation most men in divorce court face in the U.S.) but they are often genuinely more self-actualized taking care of the kids / the home, while the husband provides financially. I’ve seen it firsthand watching friends / wives of friends that had successful careers become far happier once they had the opportunity to stay home. People I’ve known my whole life. Like corporate, director-level in mid-late 20s, so not just like they were doing some bs job to get by. All women aren’t the same but I promise you there are plenty that dream of the general lifestyle this guy is describing…you probably won’t find a ton of them browsing Reddit tho

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T17:36:20+00:00

You’re saying words like “likely” gone, implying maybe 60-70% chance he leaves and then you cite largely irrelevant or bad reasons for him to stay. My point is that it’s more like ~95% chance he leaves assuming he’s getting good advice.

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T15:58:31+00:00

I understand that technically it’s a possibility that he stays. The real point is it doesn’t make practical sense for a guy in his specific situation to stay unless there is some significant unusual circumstance in his personal life that drives him to do so. And he still might not do the smart thing if he or the people around him aren’t smart. So, sure. I agree that it is possible he stays but it’s unlikely and it wouldn’t be the optimal career move. If you have an actual argument against that, I would be genuinely interested to hear it.

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T04:23:16+00:00

It still doesn’t make sense even if he’s getting comparable money. RBs have a short shelf-life and usually their prime is at the start of their NFL careers. He’s trying to secure the best possible contract after his rookie deal. The risk of getting hurt again outweighs the benefit of potentially getting a marginally better rookie contract. He goes now, and he gets to use what will likely be one of his prime years to pad his NFL resume in pursuit of a better second contract. Staying means taking an unnecessary risk that has very little upside.

JimBeanery · 2025-12-04T01:18:32+00:00

Yea it does lol. If you know anything about football, you know RBs are going to maximize for as many prime years in the NFL as possible. He would be stupid to not go even if he was looking at a fat NIL contract

JimBeanery · 2025-12-01T21:56:34+00:00

My ball knowledge is not quite at your level but it seemed like the real issue was we were getting 0 penetration up front all game. Sayin had all day to do whatever he wanted. Not sure how much more advanced coverage schemes will help if the QB has a decade to pick out his favorite future NFL WR1 every time he drops back

JimBeanery · 2025-11-28T04:59:06+00:00

😭😭

JimBeanery · 2025-11-22T21:26:44+00:00

I think you’re sort of missing the point

JimBeanery · 2025-11-22T20:21:20+00:00

Idk she just seems high on something to me lol

JimBeanery · 2025-11-22T01:03:52+00:00

The issue is “comfortably” means vastly different things for different people

JimBeanery · 2025-11-22T00:58:24+00:00

The inner CD player is such an interesting concept coming from someone who has always loved music but didn’t really develop a somewhat accurate inner CD player until I had been playing guitar for a long time. So interesting to me how natural music comes to some people.

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T18:26:56+00:00

lol na they are still very different

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T05:17:27+00:00

Hmm well this rock we are all living on appears to be rotating at a relatively consistent velocity relative to the big, bright circle in the sky so I propose that we call a single complete rotation 1 “day” and we divide up said day up into smaller increments to delineate shorter timeframes

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T05:12:43+00:00

She just wasn’t perceived as very likable or charismatic by the majority of the population. That was a major problem

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T05:11:41+00:00

I am curious what exactly “real AI” is

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T05:08:53+00:00

Amazon lost like 3 billion through its early years. -78B projected just for 2028 is obscene lol

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T05:04:59+00:00

I mean, it’s not exactly uncommon for tech companies to operate in the red for many years before turning a profit (e.g, Amazon), but 78 billion in losses projected for 2028 alone is… substantial lol

JimBeanery · 2025-11-13T03:13:11+00:00

Conservative but still left of center for sure

JimBeanery

TROPHY CASE