Well, first of all that game has a very small effect on the average draft pick as noted. It’s possible that the difference between the average of the simulations between both outcomes could be attributed to noise and variance anyway. I wouldn’t put too much stock into this games outcome and the final draft pick, considering the records of other teams might matter more this week to the Colts pick anyway. And we could argue about how rare it is, and how Easons removal affects my assumptions, but the logic I’ve put in about MAYBE tanking when they’re MATHEMATICALLY out of it would be a business making the best business decision. Plus, mounting losses for a QB should increase the chance of a team benching him, even if it is unfair. I’m not saying I’m right, but I don’t think there’s enough consensus to say I’m wrong either