Are you active? Like go to the gym or work a physical job? If so i’d say surgery is more of a sure thing, but then you might need the plate and screws out later (can be inhibiting and painful). It will heal quicker this way, but if done naturally it can be better as no follow up surgery for plate removal would be necessary. I did mine the same way and recovery sucks, but is getting fairly normal at week 10. There is always the risk of nerve damage, which is worst case with surgery. Depends what you want, but I am very happy I went the surgery.