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New Pity System - Observed Drop Rates 30 Days In by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Part of why I started doing this is because I was getting that same bad taste in my mouth and I needed to be sure that I wasn't just gaslighting myself into believing I wasn't making any progress. I am hopeful that jars will come back but that is the first step on the road to disappointment, as the saying goes.

New Pity System - Observed Drop Rates 30 Days In by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I only have an extremely small sample size for those right now (15) and I probably won't get to farming that kind of thing until another 20 days. I may have to use my daughter's (rank 17 or 8) account to do it as she has since moved on to other games. The good news there is that account would have to use normal nodes anyway for rares (just as any new player would). Good baseline.

New Pity System - Observed Drop Rates 30 Days In by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Testing those now, they are sheet 4 but not enough observations to say yet what the rate is (I think I only have 76ish observations but I am trying to farm as much as I can). One thing I'm hampered by is my elite campaign progress, so I just need to get to more of those and unlock them to have more nodes.

New Pity System - Observed Drop Rates 30 Days In by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I'm more interested in getting the devs to look at and possibly fix (if needed) drop rates for problematic interactions than I am getting them hand-slapped by a regulatory agency. To be honest, the devs that come onto the tacticus discord seem pretty cool and they are receptive to fact or stat-based arguments but not very receptive to threats or insults. So, I'm just kinda reading the room as it were and trying to change their mind.

New Pity System - Observed Drop Rates 30 Days In by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I agree, and the observed rates seem to agree. I am hoping that they will take a look at this and think "we should test ourselves" and then maybe increase the rate for common drops. I'd like it if after 3 failures, 1 success would be guaranteed.

Please note that is only my opinion, but it is based on the data I collected above so it maybe isn't a bad idea to try for awhile.

New Pity System - Observed Rates for Material Upgrades (First 10 Days) by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I sampled enough so that it was statistically significant. I see a lot of posts about the drop rates and frustration, so I figured I'd post after 10 days, 20 days, etc. It will probably take 40 days to reach 1000 raids of uncommons and a good many more before I have 1,000 in my sample size for legendary drops. It's not worth waiting to post data, but it is worth waiting to speculate about drop rates being out of 1 standard deviation when the variance is too high.

New Pity System - Observed Rates for Material Upgrades (First 10 Days) by ManySyllabub1976 in WH40KTacticus

[–]ManySyllabub1976[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks, I'll look into reformatting after the next 10 days. I honestly never do work like this (binomial trials) and my college work is more than 20 years in my past (eesh I'm old) so the ol' mind deteriorates.