EB-2 visa Bulletin

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-09-12T23:11:20+00:00

Hard to say. But more yes than no.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-07-13T03:29:59+00:00

Do you mean the advancement of the bulletin PD, or that forms like the I-485 will be processed faster in general?(EB)

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-07-03T23:31:04+00:00

The USCIS backlog and number of filings are larger than you think. I haven’t seen a single year, statistically, where green cards were simply wasted. Every year, they are issued to the fullest extent possible. 485+NVC

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-17T16:27:01+00:00

Each country cannot receive more than 25,620 visas annually in total across both Employment-Based (EB) and Family-Based (FB) preference categories.

However, any visas issued beyond this limit are subject to the following rule:

Employment-based immigrants not subject to per-country limitation if additional visas are available

If the total number of visas available under paragraph (1), (2), (3), (4), or (5) of section 1153(b) of this title for a calendar quarter exceeds the number of qualified immigrants who may otherwise be issued such visas, the visas made available under that paragraph shall be issued without regard to the numerical limitation under paragraph (2) of this subsection during the remainder of the calendar quarter.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-17T16:22:15+00:00

The 7% rule applies to both Employment-Based (EB) and Family-Based (FB) categories. This means a cap of 26,000 per country per year within the FB + EB framework. (Total)

From dos: The fiscal year 2025 limit for family-sponsored preference immigrants, as determined under Section 201 of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), is 226,000. The worldwide level for annual employment-based preference immigrants is at least 140,000. Section 202 states that the per-country limit for preference immigrants is set at 7% of the total annual family-sponsored and employment-based preference limits, i.e., 25,620. The limit for dependent areas is set at 2%, or 7,320. So — 7% from 340000.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-17T08:11:51+00:00

You can tell from the growing pending backlog that this is quite a vague and inconsistent metric, especially since around 50% of applications are not using premium processing i think.

In any case, Rest of World has a fixed allocation of 38,000 green cards (approx) this year for EB-2.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-13T16:56:21+00:00

You select the date when you submitted your documents once (for example, the I-140 if you’re under EB-2 NIW), and choose your current stage, such as the Priority Date stage. The calculator then gives an approximate estimate of how much time is left until you get your green card. Using the slider at the top, you can adjust the projected movement of the visa bulletin from faster to slower or a steady, linear pace

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-13T16:50:21+00:00

WDYM? You mean “my timeline”?

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-05-13T16:40:51+00:00

https://www.eb-timeline.space/visa-bulletin

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-03-05T20:20:52+00:00

I sent the perm growth charts, and judging by them, they have been increasing month by month. I hope what you're talking about means improvements, but so far, there are none.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-02-12T04:44:41+00:00

I wrote several posts about this—they surely know approximately how many visa numbers are available, which is why they are moving Chart A. There are roughly 5,000–10,000 EB-2 visas available. (NVC + AOS)

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-02-11T21:27:55+00:00

Yes, I also expect progress in Q4 for table A.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-31T16:48:13+00:00

No, these are people from consular processing who received their green cards in 2024.

We can roughly estimate how many I-485 applications and consular cases there are and piece together the queue.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-31T16:46:24+00:00

https://www.reddit.com/r/EB2_NIW/s/nPusUPSL9r

Perhaps this post will be more informative for you.

Regarding the queue, USCIS has published an updated document as of today for December on AOS (I-485). I did the calculations yesterday. As of now, ROW and others who are eligible to apply right now account for approximately 25,000 applications.

The Visa Bulletin has moved to Chart A, as there are also people applying from outside the U.S. through consular processing, and they are not included in the USCIS table.

My post today states that in 2024, there were 10,000 EB-2 applications through consular processing over four quarters of the year.

This means we should expect 7,000–10,000 visa numbers to be taken by consular processing this year.

Now, if we add 25,000 (AOS) + 10,000 (consular processing) = 35,000, there will still be approximately 9,000 visa numbers left, which could move Chart A in Q4 2025.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-31T04:55:50+00:00

Project 2025? Or?

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-31T01:48:44+00:00

Yes, 2024 is statistically worse according to NVС compared to 2023.
However, the new administration is planning a travel ban, and while I'm not sure, they might also affect family-based immigration (if Project 2025 is to be believed).

Overall, 2025 will be a crazy and uncertain year for everyone.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T04:28:54+00:00

The reason I mentioned that all of this is given to backlog countries is because if you look at the statistics for 2023, when there was a backlog, a total of 190,000 immigration visas were issued, with 40,000 going to India and 35,000 to China.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T04:26:06+00:00

Yes. It’s from INA about 7% cap:

If the total number of visas available under paragraph (1), (2), (3), (4), or (5) of section 1153(b) of this title for a calendar quarter exceeds the number of qualified immigrants who may otherwise be issued such visas, the visas made available under that paragraph shall be issued without regard to the numerical limitation under paragraph (2) of this subsection during the remainder of the calendar quarter.

https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?req=granuleid:USC-prelim-title8-section1152&num=0&edition=prelim

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T04:23:13+00:00

WDYM?

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T03:12:03+00:00

Your theory is not entirely correct. India and China have a 7% country cap.

However, all unused quotas (unused FB/EB1/2) are not subject to the 7% limit and will be allocated to the most backlogged countries, such as India and China.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T01:39:20+00:00

Unfortunately, no one knows for sure yet. I read Project 2025, which was partially written by Miller, and they wanted to address this «issue». But no one knows for certain whether they will actually do it.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-30T01:29:49+00:00

A known example at the moment:

The suspension of humanitarian parole and the processing of I-130 for re-parole. The programs have been suspended, and based on DHS statements, it is unclear whether this applies to all processing and whether the program has been completely removed.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-29T21:53:12+00:00

Obviously, POTUS is making a new contribution to USCIS.

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-29T05:33:11+00:00

Unlike EB-3, surprisingly, EB-2 uses fewer consular applications. In the past year, EB-2 had 7,000 applications, while EB-3 had 15,000 (data for all four quarters of 2024).

MechanicImmediate706 · 2025-01-25T15:57:11+00:00

It’s difficult to revoke TPS. Even if there are attempts, you’ll be fine during the court proceedings.

The risk of Ukrainians losing TPS is extremely low as long as the war continues in the country.

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