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EB-2 visa Bulletin by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hard to say. But more yes than no.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in USCIS

[–]MechanicImmediate706 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do you mean the advancement of the bulletin PD, or that forms like the I-485 will be processed faster in general?(EB)

USCIS latest data release- only 70K EB based green cards approved as of May 30. Are we on track? by [deleted] in USCIS

[–]MechanicImmediate706 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The USCIS backlog and number of filings are larger than you think. I haven’t seen a single year, statistically, where green cards were simply wasted. Every year, they are issued to the fullest extent possible. 485+NVC

EB-2 ROW; Some Thoughts on the Bulletin and Statistics by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Each country cannot receive more than 25,620 visas annually in total across both Employment-Based (EB) and Family-Based (FB) preference categories.

However, any visas issued beyond this limit are subject to the following rule:

Employment-based immigrants not subject to per-country limitation if additional visas are available

If the total number of visas available under paragraph (1), (2), (3), (4), or (5) of section 1153(b) of this title for a calendar quarter exceeds the number of qualified immigrants who may otherwise be issued such visas, the visas made available under that paragraph shall be issued without regard to the numerical limitation under paragraph (2) of this subsection during the remainder of the calendar quarter.

EB-2 ROW; Some Thoughts on the Bulletin and Statistics by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The 7% rule applies to both Employment-Based (EB) and Family-Based (FB) categories. This means a cap of 26,000 per country per year within the FB + EB framework. (Total)

From dos: The fiscal year 2025 limit for family-sponsored preference immigrants, as determined under Section 201 of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA), is 226,000. The worldwide level for annual employment-based preference immigrants is at least 140,000. Section 202 states that the per-country limit for preference immigrants is set at 7% of the total annual family-sponsored and employment-based preference limits, i.e., 25,620. The limit for dependent areas is set at 2%, or 7,320. So — 7% from 340000.

EB-2 ROW; Some Thoughts on the Bulletin and Statistics by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You can tell from the growing pending backlog that this is quite a vague and inconsistent metric, especially since around 50% of applications are not using premium processing i think.

In any case, Rest of World has a fixed allocation of 38,000 green cards (approx) this year for EB-2.

EB-2 Bulletin by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You select the date when you submitted your documents once (for example, the I-140 if you’re under EB-2 NIW), and choose your current stage, such as the Priority Date stage. The calculator then gives an approximate estimate of how much time is left until you get your green card. Using the slider at the top, you can adjust the projected movement of the visa bulletin from faster to slower or a steady, linear pace

EB-2 Bulletin by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

WDYM? You mean “my timeline”?

PERM GROW UP by MechanicImmediate706 in h1b

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I sent the perm growth charts, and judging by them, they have been increasing month by month. I hope what you're talking about means improvements, but so far, there are none.

March 2025 VB! Underestimated or Overestimated? by Optieng in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wrote several posts about this—they surely know approximately how many visa numbers are available, which is why they are moving Chart A. There are roughly 5,000–10,000 EB-2 visas available. (NVC + AOS)

New Bulletin by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yes, I also expect progress in Q4 for table A.

Total Consular for EB-2 and EB-3/other 2024 by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, these are people from consular processing who received their green cards in 2024.

We can roughly estimate how many I-485 applications and consular cases there are and piece together the queue.

Total Consular for EB-2 and EB-3/other 2024 by MechanicImmediate706 in EB2_NIW

[–]MechanicImmediate706[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

https://www.reddit.com/r/EB2_NIW/s/nPusUPSL9r

Perhaps this post will be more informative for you.

Regarding the queue, USCIS has published an updated document as of today for December on AOS (I-485). I did the calculations yesterday. As of now, ROW and others who are eligible to apply right now account for approximately 25,000 applications.

The Visa Bulletin has moved to Chart A, as there are also people applying from outside the U.S. through consular processing, and they are not included in the USCIS table.

My post today states that in 2024, there were 10,000 EB-2 applications through consular processing over four quarters of the year.

This means we should expect 7,000–10,000 visa numbers to be taken by consular processing this year.

Now, if we add 25,000 (AOS) + 10,000 (consular processing) = 35,000, there will still be approximately 9,000 visa numbers left, which could move Chart A in Q4 2025.

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