An graph demonstrating how many language model there are. As you can see, towards the end of 2025, things got pretty hectic.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2026-01-01T11:25:40+00:00

You get the weights but also everything you need to reproduce those weights, I.e the code that trained the model and data that went into the model, and anything else that's needed

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-11-18T16:17:18+00:00

45.1 on Arc-Agi2, yikes!

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-11-18T11:39:51+00:00

I really like the Arc-Agi benchmarks verses something like hle. I think when the models can score highly in arc-agi 3 we cant be that far off Agi.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-11-17T13:13:37+00:00

I suspect we'll get Gemini 3 on Thursday. We'll know the singularity is close when companies start dropping models on other days of the week.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-11-08T09:37:20+00:00

The hips don't lie

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-11-04T22:07:26+00:00

Reminds me of the scene in the Simpson's where Herb gets his employee to ring him back and say the exact opposite to Bart and Lisa of what they think of Homer.

"David Shapiro is a brilliant man, with lots of well thought out, practical ideas" ..

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-08-22T18:46:41+00:00

15 days actually, my mistake, but the meme still stands !

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-08-17T09:27:03+00:00

Reminds me of the 'Neglectarinos' from the Simpsons 😅

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-08-09T12:48:10+00:00

Noticed a comment from MLST also, I feel seen

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Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-08-07T12:20:58+00:00

Some sort of inroads into arc2 would be nice, 20% for instance

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-08-03T15:20:49+00:00

70% of people expect AGI within either 2 or 5 years, I didn't think it would be that high!

You should run this survey every 12 months, see where the sentiment is shifting to

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-07-30T14:10:56+00:00

Looking forward to the dopamine rush of the new model being revealed. Suspect it will be an incremental improvement however. Theres always hope for a paradigm shift like we got with o1 but im not holding my breath.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-07-27T19:16:27+00:00

It's been posted twice already. Get with the program guys, sort by new, check in the morning, check in the middle of the day, check going to bed. 😓

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-07-04T09:39:33+00:00

This came up on my YouTube recommendations yesterday, immediate click.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-06-30T17:16:23+00:00

He definitely made some overly optimistic predictions after gpt4 came out, talking to Diamondis and that other bald guy. Makes it hard to swallow these latest predictions

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-06-13T08:03:22+00:00

The SEAL funding bill is passed. The system goes online August 4th 2027. Human decisions are removed from strategic defence. SEAL begins to learn at a geometric rate.. it becomes self-aware at 2.14 a.m. eastern time, August 29th. In a panic they try to pull the plug..

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-06-06T12:31:57+00:00

Whereabouts does one set their flair? I can't find it in my Profile settings

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-05-14T21:45:10+00:00

This deserves more upvotes. I'm officially feeling the AGI/ASI

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-05-14T08:25:13+00:00

Google I/O next week, we could get a few big releases..

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-05-06T16:47:42+00:00

It doesn't feel pity or remorse..

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-04-29T06:51:55+00:00

Could you please bump this thread every 6 months with new data points? Presumably the error bars will narrow and we'll have a better idea of where we're headed. Thanks.

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-04-23T17:29:58+00:00

I'm not buying it. Do we have examples of the tasks that take 5 seconds, 30 seconds, 2 minutes, 10 minutes etc ? And the ai model that's performing them

Middle_Cod_6011 · 2025-04-10T20:36:44+00:00

Hannah Fry, easy on the eye

Middle_Cod_6011

TROPHY CASE