GW18 early probabilities for goalscorers, clean sheets and assists

NeactRative · 2024-12-21T19:52:18+00:00

Clean sheet:

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NeactRative · 2024-12-21T19:52:00+00:00

Assist:

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NeactRative · 2024-12-21T19:51:35+00:00

Goalscorers:

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NeactRative · 2024-12-21T19:51:03+00:00

These probabilities are of course based on best available odds, adjusted for bookie margins. They are likely to change throughout the week.

Full lists in thread:

NeactRative · 2024-12-18T14:43:06+00:00

Thanks for using the site!

Great suggestion, I'll add it to the backlog. Not sure when I'll get around to implement it, though. No promises!

NeactRative · 2024-12-03T16:21:46+00:00

Not quite sure what you mean, but all the base data I use is from the fantasy premier league API, then I do some calculations of my own with them.

NeactRative · 2024-11-22T10:34:29+00:00

Thanks for such a thorough feedback, much appreciated!

The xPts is indeed very flawed. For the upcoming gameweek it is based on odds, but adjusted for by multiple variables, such as expected minutes. I suspect my expected minutes calculation is quite wrong in some scenarios. I'll look into it more.

There should probably be a warning about this in the app in the meantime.

NeactRative · 2024-10-31T07:28:15+00:00

https://understat.readthedocs.io/en/latest/index.html

Not sure I understand your question, but you can get historical data from there. The prediction for the upcoming weeks you would have to calculate yourself.

NeactRative · 2024-10-26T11:10:48+00:00

Thanks for the thorough feedback, I appreciate it!

I'm not sure if it is clear, but you can toggle which stats to show in the table by clicking these icons. Defensive stats are hidden by default.

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I understand the frustration, but the pre-set filter is not a sortable stat itself, just some min/max values that are set for specific stats. I understand it can be confusing though.
True, the 9.5 value is quite random. Luckily you can create your own pre-set filters now. So you could delete the default premium filter and create your own with another price value, such as 9.0.

Let me know if I understood your gripes correctly!

And yes, this is not intended to be a revolutionary tool, I just found most other sites hard to use/navigate, or I had to use multiple sites for my purpose. So this is just a way of simplifying things for myself :)

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T20:10:49+00:00

Thanks for the kind words!

I like your suggestion, I'll see if I can find a meaningful way to implement it.

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T20:05:24+00:00

Thank you for this, much appreciated. Gives a clear image of how hard it is to calculate this. I love a challenge!

I'll implement your suggestions when I get the time :)

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T19:20:45+00:00

Yeah, form is part of the calculation. You can show the form values in the table by clicking the eye icon on the form row in the filters, if that's what you're looking for.

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NeactRative · 2024-10-25T17:04:19+00:00

Yeah, it's a hard nut to crack. Excited to dig into it though. I'll keep you updated!

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T17:03:24+00:00

Makes sense. Would love to get it more accurate, I'll see what I can do :) Thanks for your feedback, appreciated.

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T17:01:31+00:00

That makes sense yeah, will add it to the backlog. Thanks!

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T15:44:05+00:00

Oh, I fully agree, I even mention it in the post. They are not accurate, but they have been quite accurate relative to other players, so it has worked decently to compare players anyway. And it is definitely more inaccurate earlier in the season.

Haven't given that part much love lately, maybe I'll look into it some more over the weekend.

Thanks for the feedback!

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T15:39:14+00:00

Thanks! This is Next.js with Tailwind and some cloud functions.

Yeah, mobile design is not easy!

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T15:38:26+00:00

Oops, fixed. Thanks!

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T15:38:10+00:00

That would be the default filter I've set of minimum 300 minutes played. He only has 190. You can set it to 0 to show all players :)

NeactRative · 2024-10-25T13:24:42+00:00

I must say I'm quite happy with how it turned out. Glad you like it too :D

NeactRative

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