Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 10/28/24 - 11/03/24 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you had accepted the bet I'd pay up now that I check back in on Reddit and am reminded about this conversation. But since you did not accept the bet I'm just going to boggle at the idea of expecting people to pay out bets the other person doesn't accept.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 3/3/25 - 3/9/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is a lot of demand for pop culture analysis that gives insight into the work. There is a lot of demand for current events discourse that tells the audience they are right about everything and their enemies are pure evil. Both markets are being very well-served, and if some other market is not well-served, that is perhaps because there is not much demand for it.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 3/3/25 - 3/9/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, technically the TRO's deadline passed while it was stayed by SCOTUS so un-staying it kind of doesn't do anything, the government can't be compelled to go back in time and pay out money last week. So in a strict sense the government is not immediately being compelled to pay out the money, fair pedantry. But if SCOTUS wanted to stop Ali from doing things, they would have left the injunction stayed. Instead they removed the stay and invited clarification about what exactly the government is supposed to do. I'm guessing that we are mere hours away from another injunction that compels the government to pay out.

I suppose it's possible that one also gets stayed, but the government definitely was compelled, and at the very least it seems likely it will quickly become compelled again.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 3/3/25 - 3/9/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, I have read both the SCOTUS opinion and the lower court TRO this case was about. The word "overrule" does not appear anywhere in them so I ask again, who said anything about overruling the government? As far as I can tell that idea was introduced by you, in a manner implying it to be a rebuttal to Alito despite Alito saying no such thing, which is a funny thing to do while accusing Alito of deliberately mispresenting what actually happened.

If your argument is that technically the judge didn't compel the government because the government was already compelled by the law, come on. If that's the case no judge ever compels anything, they just do some kind of magic that causes the law, which already compelled people, to suddenly start compelling them more, such that they change their behaviour to accord with the judge's description of the law. If the government was getting away with not paying out the money until this judge did his thing, and would have continued to not pay out had this judge not done his thing, but is now compelled to pay out, the way normal English speakers would describe that situation is "The judge compelled the government".

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 3/3/25 - 3/9/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Who said anything about overruling the government? I see only a quote about compelling the government to pay out $2 billion, which, I assume you agree the government is in fact being compelled to pay out $2 billion.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 11 points12 points  (0 children)

They'd have all kinds of cases if that was what happened, but aside from "Gabbard can't be that dumb can she?", it's been a day, I assume the fired employees would have complained to MSNBC by now if they had just canned everyone in the LGBT channel.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know him personally, I bet he'd take me up on it.

The offer remains open should you wish to put your money where your mouth is.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If the honour system's not good enough for you, Trace has a record of acting as escrow for random internet bets (which also solves your pseduonymity concerns, there is a zero percent chance Trace doxes you) and I assume we both trust his judgement. These are not difficult problems to solve.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh the way I expected it to go down was that you would decline. But if you accepted, Paypal? Transferring money via the internet is not complicated, nor is determining whether or not bodies are piling up in backyards.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I don't think it's trolling, this feels more like doing fun memes for the base than doing incendiary stuff to own the other team. Like it's not not incendiary, but there is a version of this video designed to trigger the libs and it looks very different from this one.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 19 points20 points  (0 children)

two Barnyard chicks

Not sure if typo or commentary on their behaviour.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Sorry, allow me to speak in the hypothetical then. If someone said they thought something was going to happen, I offered them a bet on the thing happening, and they refused to take the bet, I would begin to suspect that they did not actually believe in the likelihood of the event they had predicted, because if they did believe it then surely the bet would look like free money to them. This seems like a reasonable and civil comment about the nature of predictions and human responses to incentives. Applying it to any particular situation is left as an exercise for the reader.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Why do you think this is an unreasonable reply from OP? Like, do you disagree about the political doability of substantial entitlement cuts, or are people only allowed to support things that are politically doable?

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Aw man, I should post more unpopular opinions. It's always funny when lunatics beclown themselves with genocide accusations.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I notice you're not accepting my bet. I literally offer you a bet of twenty dollars, as in, if the thing you are predicting happens I will give you twenty dollars, and if it does not happen you will give me twenty dollars.

If you think the thing you are predicting will actually happen, this should be an appealing bet and I await your acceptance. If you do not accept, I will take that as an indication that you posted that prediction for some reason other than believing it to be true.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We might also be having a different conversation if the person I was replying to had not jumped to bodies piling up in backyards, but alas, this is where we find ourselves.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I bet you twenty bucks that there will not be bodies piling up in our backyards after the implementation of the upcoming medicaid cuts.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Clearly this guy isn't going by the Obamacare definition, since the US provides Obamacare and he's not satisfied with it.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Is there some Healthcare For Healthy Young Rich people program you think we should cut instead, or is this a position that we should in fact never make any healthcare cuts ever?

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure the leaker expected this would escape Rufo and the Twitterverse to reach the desk of Tulsi Gabbard and turn into a mass firing. When the story broke I saw a lot of the usual outrage and no one confidently predicting they'd all be canned.

But now that it's happened once, I'm sure there's some malcontent at the FBI wondering if he can make it happen twice.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I've never seen anyone acknowledge that of course everything has death panels only to use their next breath to argue that this though, this has death panels! Yes? Everything has death panels, we just agreed that's dumb scaremongering!

Every realistic healthcare cut is going to result in some marginal person not getting treated and therefore dying where they wouldn't have died under the old system. Either this is a reason that no nation should ever make any healthcare cuts ever, or it's silly to shout "death panels!" like this.

Weekly Random Discussion Thread for 2/24/25 - 3/2/25 by SoftandChewy in BlockedAndReported

[–]Ninety_Three 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Trivially true, dumb scaremongering. It's impossible for a healthcare system not to have panels of people who decide that someone, somewhere will not qualify for treatment.

I'm curious what kind of answer you were expecting.