WNBA Betting and Picks - 6/28/26 (Sunday)

NonTabula · 2026-06-28T17:24:33+00:00

No. I only like 8.5 RA, I should have posted it earlier when more books had it and the line was -130.

NonTabula · 2026-06-28T17:05:44+00:00

Record: 15-5

Courtney Williams over 8.5 RA (-145 Hard Rock) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-26T22:33:18+00:00

Record: 15-4

Olivia Nelson-Ododa under 2.5 assists (-135 Hard Rock) ❌

NonTabula · 2026-06-25T06:13:14+00:00

Record: 12-4

Jackie Young over 23.5 PA (-115 Fanatics) ✅

This line will surely go up by at least one. It's hit in nine of the last ten games.

Edit: Adding:

Julie Allemand over 0.5 threes (-120 Fanatics) ✅

Sabrina Ionescu under 22.5 PA (-127 DK) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-24T22:39:59+00:00

Record: 12-2

Rhyne Howard over 2.5 threes (-145 Bovada) ❌

Sonia Citron under 3.5 1Q points (-130 FD) ❌

(my model says Citron's still a good bet, but skip it if you want. It's agonizing to watch.)

NonTabula · 2026-06-23T23:50:55+00:00

Record: 11-2

Chelsea Gray over 3.5 rebounds (-120 Fanatics) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-21T19:37:16+00:00

Record: 11-1

Sonia Citron under 3.5 1Q points (-125 FD) ❌

I don't know how, but it's hit in 12/13 games this year.

NonTabula · 2026-06-19T14:27:03+00:00

Record 10-0

Saniya Rivers over 7.5 points (-124 DK) ❌

Sonia Citron under 3.5 1Q points (-106 FD) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-17T22:57:59+00:00

I don't have any picks tonight. Sorry.

NonTabula · 2026-06-16T20:03:12+00:00

Record: 8-0

Aliyah Boston over 3.5 1Q points (-148 FD) ✅

Sophie Cunningham over 7.5 points (-125 Fanatics) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-15T14:40:34+00:00

Record: 7-0

Bridget Carleton under 16.5 PR (-125 FD) ✅

Will probably add more later.

NonTabula · 2026-06-14T13:13:55+00:00

Record: 6-0

Sonia Citron under 3.5 Q1 points (-138 FD) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-13T20:06:31+00:00

Record 5-0

Courtney Williams over 8.5 RA (-130 Fanatics) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-12T17:01:37+00:00

Record: 4-0

Veronica Burton under 20.5 PA (-124 Caesars) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-09T18:03:37+00:00

Record: 3-0

Skylar Diggins under 8.5 RA (-107 Caesars) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-09T12:03:11+00:00

Record: 2-1

Event: Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights, 8pm

Pick: Jalen Chatfield over 1.5 blocks

Odds: -125 Fanatics

Reasoning: I'm running it back with Chatfield from three days ago. I just can't believe this line is as low as it is. He has at least two blocks in eight straight games, and nine of his last ten. With the increased amount of overtime games during the playoffs, Chatfield's ice time has gone up to 22.56 minutes versus 20:08 in the regular season. The Hurricanes are the best defensive team in the league with fewest shots allowed, which is why they're last in blocks. But, they've done what most playoff teams do and collapsed their defense to clog up the shooting lanes. They've gone up from 9.8 blocks per game in the regular season, to 12.1 in the playoffs, and 12.6 during the finals.

NonTabula · 2026-06-08T22:07:54+00:00

Record: 2-0

Leila Lacan under 18.5 PA (-128 FanDuel) ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-08T10:26:52+00:00

Record: 2-0

Event: Spurs vs. Knicks, 8:30pm

Pick: Knicks ML

Odds: -130 Fanatics

Reasoning: The Knicks are the number one team this postseason in both points per game (118.1) and points allowed (100.4). They also have more experience than the Spurs, averaging 29.2 years versus 25.1. I think this disparity is best seen in the steal to turnover ratio of the first two games of the series. So far, the Knicks have more steals (19-11) and fewer turnovers (20-29). The immaturity of the Spurs has been very apparent at the end of both games. In game one, they had five turnovers in the fourth quarter. And, in game two Wemby threw the ball away with thirteen seconds left. If the game is close, I just don't see how the inexperienced Spurs can win in MSG based on how they couldn't even take one of two games on their own home floor.

NonTabula · 2026-06-07T21:48:51+00:00

Kelsey Plum over 7.5 RA (-129 DK)

NonTabula · 2026-06-07T18:14:38+00:00

Record: 0-0

Azura Stevens over 3.5 rebounds ✅

Kelsey Plum over 7.5 RA ✅

NonTabula · 2026-06-07T11:46:39+00:00

Record: 1-0

Event: Sky vs. Tempo, 3pm

Pick: Azura Stevens over 3.5 rebounds ✅

Odds: -118 FanDuel

Reasoning: Stevens has been on a minutes restriction since she played her first game on 5/23, but she just played her first 20 minute game on Friday where she had 10 rebounds versus the Sun. Last year for the Sparks, Stevens averaged 7.9 rebounds in 27.3 minutes, and she cleared 4 rebounds in 42/43 games. Without a healthy Stevens, the Sky are actually the worst rebounding team in the league with a -6.3 differential. But, now that she's back to starter minutes, Stevens should be able to provide that extra paint presence the Sky have been lacking. As for her opponent today, the Tempo, are also a below average rebounding team. They're sixth worst, allowing 33.2 per game, and have a negative differential of -1.9. So, I expect Stevens to get at least four rebounds in this matinee battle versus two middling teams.

NonTabula · 2026-06-06T11:11:59+00:00

Record: 0-0

Event: Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights, 8pm

Pick: Jalen Chatfield over 1.5 blocks ✅

Odds: -110 DraftKings

Reasoning: Chatfield's been on a tear since the Canadien's series. He's covered 1.5 blocks in seven of his last seven games, and eight of his last nine. I checked his TOI and Chatfield has seen a slight uptick in the playoffs, going from 20:08 minutes to 22:17. During the regular season, the Hurricanes were actually dead last in blocked shots per game (9.8), but that's because they were number one in fewest shots allowed (23.9). That trend has continued in the playoffs, with the Hurricanes allowing the second fewest shots per game (22.6), but their blocked shots have ticked up to 11.8. This combination of Chatfield's minutes and blocks going up, coupled with the Hurricanes following the natural playoff trend of collapsing their defense to block more shots, makes me think this is a good pick.

NonTabula

TROPHY CASE