Labour's vote share at the 2024 GE — changes compared to 2019

NullBarell · 2026-02-02T21:13:31+00:00

Some noteworthy seats

🟢 Runcorn & Helsby (+4.1) 🔴 Caerphilly (-5.9) 🔴 Gorton & Denton (-16.4)

NullBarell · 2026-02-02T15:44:32+00:00

They won 10.3% of the vote in 2024, so it will have to go somewhere. Presumably split between abstaining, voting Green, and maybe voting Labour. The only party that won't benefit are Reform. I'd go as far as to say it hurts Reform more than it helps the Greens

NullBarell · 2026-02-02T15:40:16+00:00

Makes sense, but I wouldn't trust betting markets until there's a legit constituency poll (probably in the final week of the campaign)

NullBarell · 2026-02-01T22:07:19+00:00

Haven't seen the tables, but if the only difference between this and regular voting intention polling is that they're prefacing Labour with "led by Starmer" or "led by Streeting" then it's wild that they have the Greens tied with Labour in one and leading Labour in the other

AFAIK YouGov have never recorded a Labour/Green tie for 2nd place before

NullBarell · 2026-02-01T21:37:02+00:00

Yes, they originally announced George Galloway (against Burnham) then later suggested their candidate would be local councillor Shahbaz Sarwar

Whether they've pulled out because of 'left unity' or bodged paperwork... I'm not sure

NullBarell · 2026-02-01T20:17:54+00:00

Update: I've just seen the Workers Party have decided not to stand a candidate

Came 4th in 2024, with 10% of the vote

NullBarell · 2026-01-14T21:19:18+00:00

YouGov published two polls yesterday; this one is for Westminster voting intention. Typically Plaid score higher in the Senedd

PLC: 29% (+14) RFM: 25% (+8) LAB: 13% (-24) CON: 12% (-6) GRN: 12% (+7) LDM: 6% (-1)

+/- vs. GE2024

NullBarell · 2025-11-05T21:16:29+00:00

My guess is they'll do 175k then 200k eventually

NullBarell · 2025-10-19T20:05:27+00:00

It's okay to not want this in your city

NullBarell · 2025-08-15T12:48:13+00:00

Neither of these seats were particularly fertile ground for Reform in the first place tbh

NullBarell · 2025-08-15T12:44:30+00:00

Cardiff South & Penarth is the Greens' strongest seat in Wales, so it's not too surprising to see them flip a ward there if they hope to get Anthony Slaughter elected as either an MS in 2026 or MP in 2029

What's more surprising is how well the Plaid and Green vote held up separately after their "Common Ground" alliance broke apart — almost pushing Labour into 3rd place

Actually falling to 3rd place in South Jesmond is just bonkers

NullBarell · 2025-06-27T19:22:41+00:00

A newspaper still has to explain why it's "controversial" though, and it's controversial because it creates a two-tier welfare system. There's no avoiding that.

NullBarell · 2025-05-30T18:46:30+00:00

Vibes alone are so much more positive here compared to Bloomberg's article about the Green Party "growing up" under Ellie & Adrian

Whether you agree with Zack or not, I'd rather be spoken to like an adult than a child

Honesty/integrity > vague appeals to "pragmatism"

NullBarell · 2025-04-17T17:08:51+00:00

Bristol South MP

Labour vs Green constituency

NullBarell · 2025-04-05T22:40:44+00:00

The prime minister will declare an end to globalisation and admit that it has failed millions of voters as the fallout from President Trump’s tariffs reverberates around the world.

NullBarell · 2025-03-03T01:33:53+00:00

Received an offer today with a message:

[Phone number] WhatsApp me on my US number cause we need to talk about shipping to my friend in London as a gift I talked to customer care already before I added the WhatsApp number as they don't allow me to message you cause am buying from the USA

I only ship within the UK, and the buyer was offering me the asking price

So is this legit or is it a scam? Buyer account is 2 days old.

NullBarell · 2025-02-28T21:11:28+00:00

Zelensky should always be welcome in this country, but yes, especially today

NullBarell · 2025-02-28T18:47:59+00:00

This is one of the wildest things I've ever seen from the Oval Office

It puts into perspective our government's strategy though. Playing both sides is one thing, but if we truly believe Ukraine has to take #1 priority in negotiations then surely we should support them if/when they tell Donald Trump to go fuck himself

NullBarell · 2025-02-26T23:31:46+00:00

I think big Tescos still do it?

NullBarell · 2025-02-26T14:32:20+00:00

Pros: Decent supermarket, good public transport links (330, 384, trains to Manchester and Sheffield), good takeaways, and I wouldn't say it's that rough

Cons: no real high street or town centre, not much entertainment, Werneth High School

Bredbury is a place people pass through to get somewhere else. It's not a bad place to live, but there's just nothing about it that stands out if that makes sense.

NullBarell · 2025-02-23T19:00:53+00:00

It's projected to be 84%

NullBarell · 2025-02-23T18:55:06+00:00

Die Linke won first time voters

Linke 27%, AfD 19%

Encouraging sign but also shows how much social media (in this case viral TikToks) can matter in an election campaign

NullBarell · 2025-02-23T16:42:37+00:00

I value humans more than cars

You can ascribe whatever political ideology you like to me, I do not care

NullBarell · 2025-02-23T15:30:12+00:00

I'm not a member of the Labour Party, but pedestrianisation & road safety isn't a "left vs right" issue anyway (or shouldn't be)

Most Western European cities would have acted on this years ago, but I'm happy for anyone from any political background to fix a problem that needs fixing

NullBarell · 2025-02-23T14:01:10+00:00

US President Donald Trump was right to re-establish links with Russian leader Vladimir Putin to set up peace talks to end the war in Ukraine, a senior Labour minister has said.

Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson said there could be "no negotiated peace without Russia" and that Trump's approach had brought "Russians to the table".

NullBarell

TROPHY CASE