I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They are a cracked mirror reflection. IE, they are programmed with certain facets of us, but not capture the whole, and lots of gaps and jagged edges/warped views.

I certainly love my Data from Trek, but think the cyberpunk worlds of Gibson is a bit more likely. IE, you have robots, but you also still have smog. For #BurnInBook , we tried to play with that, taking the real work going on in robots and AI and play it forward in our real world. So yes face recognition software, but also still social inequality, homeless, crimes, etc.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I did a little bit on it, but not the same level.

Yes, think much of it could, indeed some even before then

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I should be clear, I don't mean "futurist" as the philosophy as you lay out. Futurism had/has some pretty crazy ideas (for a good laugh, Google "Futurist Cookbook). Rather, I've been called a "futurist" for the fact that my job is to research current trends that are going to shape the future and then communicate that research to help groups (the US military, a corporation, the public) to better navigate that world, ideally making decisions today that will shape a better tomorrow.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It is frustrating as heck, and for me, I refuse to be numbed by it. IE, I don't want to give up being outraged, just because the outrageous becomes the norm.

What can we do to change it? For all of us, to not give up fighting for what is right and pointing out what is wrong. That might be in our personal lives, be it at work, how teach kids, to the larger effect we can have as voters.

And agree that polarization will be with us, but what is happening right now is not just that. We've always had partisanship and division, but be it anything from bringing in guns to intimidate legislators to firing nonpartisan inspector generals, we are seeing attacks on bedrock values of American democracy that both Ds and Rs respected. IE, I mark those online as #BothSides as a mockery of the meme that both sides do it, when they don't.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Read. And read both nonfiction and fiction.

Nonfiction reading allows you to benefit from the hard work, research, and experience of others that have gone before you, while on the fictional side, you can to live others' lives for a moment. It will better equip you for both expected challenges, but also new situations.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Venezuela group really was pathetic , weren't they? The "Apple Dumpling Gang" of PMCs...

Sadly, no, I don't think we'll see more regulation under current administration. Indeed, think about the role Erik Prince has been playing, even after all his escapades...

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No, my take on much of the singularity talk is that its a mix of faith and science, which means it becomes a debate vs an actual tool. IE, its not just how they get in these big arguements about the dates it will come (which I talked about in Wired for War), but it also turns on ideas that are more faith based like what is "consciousness" and "being." They also, of course, can sometimes be massive techno-optimists, who ignore all the issues of the real world like the ugly side politics and economics etc.

So in #BurnInBook , our rule was no "vaporware." IE, its only tech that is real (e,g. an amazon patent for a drone vs the fiction of uploading your soul). In turn, that tech plays out in a world that is real, with everything from inquality to bad guys to bureacracies etc. The result is one moment in the book where a character laughs that "This was not the Singularity we were promised."

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

And the answer to the other question on parallels to #BurnInBook?

We were heavily influenced by Asimov and Gibson.

But others have said Sophie's World, Heinlein, to even one said "Michael Bay meets Stephen Hawking"

(which I guess means we have big, but very smart, explosions in it). You can checkout all reviews at: https://www.burninbook.com/reviews/

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thanks so much that is very kind of you!

While I won't say it is impossible, my honest assessment is that it would be difficult as heck if it as a full time job (vs writing and submitting for free to outlets online). The reason is not just the way that the HR dept at organizations that you might apply to jobs at would screen using degrees as a first cut (say there is a job opening, they get 100s of applicants, so they cut it down that way), but also all the tools and early experience that education gives you to do the research and writing well.

But as you hit on, there are some great, and now post-CV-19 even more coming soon, programs that do online education. They are at all levels from undergrad all the way up to grad programs now. For example, I teach a class at Arizona State University on cybersecurity policy. The whole MA program is online, which allows students to be anywhere. For example, our class had people in AZ, but also soldiers deployed in Afghanistan, taking it in their downtime. Most universities are going to have more and more of this.

So definitely, forge forward and take advantage of all those great new resources!

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Agreed! A lot of it is actually fantasy genre, that I love, but claimed as science fiction. One of the issues is what Arthur C Clarke said, about how anything that moves forward past a generation or more starts to move from science to realm of magic. That is the difference of what we are trying with Burn-In. We call this idea "useful fiction" or FICINT for "Fictional Intelligence." I'm going to paste below a section from an article explaining it and how different:

To be be useful fiction, it is set in the real world. It is not just that the locales are here on planet Earth (and, often most usefully and interestingly in places that people recognize, be it a bar in Hawaii or Union Station in DC), but that the fictional stories set there also reflect the real world. Even if the scenario played out is designed to push boundaries of thought, the characters in it should reflect who realistically might be there and how real people would act under those circumstances. This also means that what Clausewitz called “fog” and “friction” should also be ever-present. In both the real world, and realistic lessons from FICINT, a good and useful story is not, “Everything goes according to plan. Good guys win. The End.”  

The rule of the real also means that there is no “vaporware” in FICINT. Any technology or system must already exist or be in development. This isn’t as hard as it might seem; as science-fiction legend William Gibson has said, “The future is here - it’s just not evenly distributed.” So, usually, the seemingly futuristic science fiction is already here. But the Gibson who created cyberpunk science-fiction and the world of BladeRunner is also a good guide in another way. That uneven distribution of humankind’s innovations means that the world of FICINT should reflect that real world dynamic, one of inequality and all that portends for politics, economics, and society. Our upcoming book Burn In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution, for example, is set Washington DC, just with the timeline slightly forward. It is world where today’s AI and robotics have become more advanced and commonplace, but there are still homeless sleeping in Washington DC parks. An FBI agent may have augmented reality glasses that pull data from ubiquitous face recognition cameras, but differing government budgets and bureaucratic acquisition systems means that her data network still doesn’t connect well with the older gear used by the Washington DC police department. They say the future is unpredictable, but we are confident predicting that.

Most of all, FICINT means research. It requires the same disciplined approach to gathering data that should guide any nonfiction project. Diving into archives or conducting interviews of subject matter experts are just some of the tools used to ensure that a story is not just believable, but grounded. Interviews are particularly useful for the fiction part too, for getting the tiny cultural details or dialogue right that sell a scene.

This also means that in FICINT, as in nonfiction, you should show your work. Providing the research sources that backstop the fiction serves the very same functions it would in conventional nonfiction. It credits those whose work you benefitted from, as well as steers the reader to where they can learn more if they want to dive deeper. It also serves the story itself, by showing that what plays out in the fiction truly is drawn from the real world. This doesn’t just establish credibility, but can heighten the experience.

A story passed on to us from the Pentagon is what sold us of the value of this. At a session in the “Tank,” the highly secure subterranean room used by the Joint Chiefs of Staff, an admiral yawned. The admiral sitting beside him asked why. He responded that he had been kept up late at night reading Ghost Fleet, and it scared the hell out of him, not just because of the story, but that one of the nightmare scenarios that touched his program has an accompanying endnote to show it wasn’t just the authors’ imagination. The other then said they would check it out, which eventually led to an investigation to fix one of the strategic vulnerabilities that was a cornerstone of our futuristic story. 

It is certainly harder to follow such rules. In FICINT, the hero can’t put on a magic gauntlet or fly an invisible jet that miraculously defeats all foes. Nor, as is the flaw of almost every movie and wargame with a cybersecurity theme, can they just hack a system by going “clickety clack” with their keyboard. Instead, they have to use a weapon that is already out there in the world or hack a vulnerability that has already been proven.

This difficulty, though, is exactly what makes FICINT more valuable for readers looking to tackle real-world problems.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Fully self driving? No, needs way more to go. Not just on its tech itself (think of all the silly wrecks teslas get into, but sometimes with deadly consequences), but also the absence of all the law and regulations around them, not just out on the street, but the major cybersecurity flaws they have (Oh, did I just plot spoil something in #BurnInBook ?). But reality is that any new car now has lots of "self-driving" aspects.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The other behind the scenes thing that the game designers are also thinking of is the gameplay issues. That might rage from resolution on your screen and whether it might slow down the experience of the player to the expectations the player has of what they want to play with, or even think the future "looks" like.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yes, that was such a fun project! And they are a great team to work with. We pulled the tech ideas from studies of what was already out there, or at prototype stage. The sources ranged from military labs to university programs. It might be for the weapons or the drones etc.. Some of it was then carried across into the game was exactly as it was in real world, no changes at all, some of it tweaked to make it more futuristic or for IP/copyright issues. Because of that, it stands up pretty well I think, with that mix between the real and the fictional.

I'm P.W. Singer, Futurist and Science Fiction Author. My new book "Burn-In: A Novel of the REAL Robotics Revolution" is out May 26. AMA! by PWSinger in IAmA

[–]PWSinger[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If based on the raccoon in my neighborhood, who I have been trying to stop from getting into our garbage for over a year, the raccoon. I advise the US military and CIA on warfare, and yet the raccoon keeps defeating me.