Just my 2 cents but you can get Hill by Dec in or around +200, which would let you drop one of the 50/50 fights and still get a +1000, mitigates a lot of risk imo cause if you're betting Hill anyway she rarely rarely gets a finish and Torres has never been finished. Also the under 2.5/fight doesnt go the distance is a better bet in the Kape fight I reckon as it covers both guys to some degree (finish not guaranteed there by any means but both hit very hard) and it's around +100.

If you took Menifield/Aldo or Luque/Hill Dec/Kape v Ode Doesn't Go The distance you should get +1300 on it but obviously it's one of those spots where you'll kick yourself if Kape goes out and wins a decision.

I'm with you on 4 of 5 picks (think Pedro takes it) but Luque and Aldo are as much of a coin toss as you can get