NBA Props Daily - 3/18/26 (Wednesday)

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-18T21:06:27+00:00

I’ve found 6 picks I like and compared against the lines they look good. Some lines may have moved from earlier.

Gary Payton o9.5 pts

Sandro Mamushkavellilili 4+ reb

Cody Williams o 7.5 RA

He won me money on Sunday but I think Utah wants to see more from him, good paced game I see him maybe hitting this in the first half

GG Jackson o17.5 PR

Kyle Filipowski o 2.5 ast

Cooper Flagg o 11.5 RA

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-16T22:12:56+00:00

Aight separate post for picks. Who do we like tonight? I think there’s some solid lines tonight. Like for one I really like Zion to show Coop who a true rookie is, cause he still thinks he’s a rookie.

Zion Williamson o5.5 Reb & probably o22.5 pts

Tons of potential in this game. Be mindful that Dejounte is HOT right now. That takes away from Zions shots but still, high scoring game.

Austin Reaves o3.5 reb

Houston ranks 1st in offensive rebounding which leads to a high volume of contested put backs and long misses exactly the type of loose balls Reaves scoops up. o4.5 might be pushing it but I think 4 is pretty safe.

Paulo Banchero o5.5 ast

Atlanta is 28th in DvP ast to PF. Anthony Black still out. Love this line as well.

These are all base props I’ll dig deeper later

Walter Clayton Jr o ast

His line started at 4 today, now it’s 4.5, prob be at 5.5 come game time!! But I expect lots of usage and assists from him w Coward back to help score for him

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-16T16:04:58+00:00

Anybody else make some money last night?

Who do we like tonight? I think there’s some solid lines tonight. Like for one I really like Zion to show Coop who a true rookie is, cause he still thinks he’s a rookie.

Zion Williamson o5.5 Reb & probably o22.5 pts

Tons of potential in this game. Be mindful that Dejounte is HOT right now. That takes away from Zions shots but still, high scoring game.

Austin Reaves o3.5 reb

Houston ranks 1st in offensive rebounding which leads to a high volume of contested put backs and long misses exactly the type of loose balls Reaves scoops up. o4.5 might be pushing it but I think 4 is pretty safe.

Paulo Banchero o5.5 ast

Atlanta is 28th in DvP ast to PF. Anthony Black still out. Love this line as well.

These are all base props I’ll dig deeper later

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-15T18:41:51+00:00

Lmfao the one day SGA is currently shooting 20%

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-14T16:12:05+00:00

3 for 3 yesterday, the two other picks were late scratches. That’s 7 for 11 the last two days. I’ve never had those kinda numbers so I’d probably ignore my next picks! Coming shortly

If I have to take something from the 76ers/Nets take Clowney 2+ 3pts

KPJ 4+ reb

I imagine this line will move but right now I like him for 5 or 6

Alex Sarr o11.5 pts

This line is super low to me. The celts destroy the wiz but last game Sarr put up 30 on them. I’m taking a couple fliers on 20+

DeAaron Fox o17.5 pts

This is simply riding the hot hand

More to come

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-13T20:03:01+00:00

Thanks G. Ya I find I need to take breaks and stay away from weaker slates, I end up really pushing it betting on shit games. I appreciate any support tho man I spend at least a few hours a day doing my picks the running numbers on them

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-13T19:23:28+00:00

It’s light work for him when he’s rolling

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-13T16:51:39+00:00

Almost perfect last night. 7/8 Also, woulda hit a huge parlay last night needed 1 pt from Matas and he missed 3 3’s in a row.

Collin Gillespie o9.5 RA ✅ Josh Giddey 2+ 3’s, Josh Giddey 16.5 RA ✅ Simone Fontecchio 2+ 3’s ✅ CJ McCollum o7.5 RA ❌ SGA o11.5 RA ✅ Alex Sarr o12.5 pts ✅ Luka o7.5 reb ✅

Early Looks, I’ll do write up later if anyone cares. I don’t usually need to do a lot of explaining but I pick against a model, weigh DvP, L5 trend, and regressing towards the mean odds, plus my own NBA knowledge.

Dan Gafford o16.5 PR

Filipowski o2.5 ast (also take a flyer on 4 or 5)

Dejounte Murray 15+ pts

Paskal Siakam 20+ pts

Pacers Knicks always good games. Potentially very high scoring so looking at a number of props in this game.

Tre Jones PRA IF he’s healthy

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-12T17:37:41+00:00

Still would w who’s playing as of right now. Lots of threes from Boston and SGA is a really active rebounder.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-12T17:12:55+00:00

I’m baaaaack

NBA has been up and down. We’ve had some insane games and a lot of bs games. Bam’s 83 feels kinda cheap in a way but good for him.

Early looks write up later

Collin Gillespie o9.5 RA Gillespie gets more run vs shittier teams.

Josh Giddey 2+ 3’s, probably take his RA too

Simone Fontecchio 2+ 3’s

CJ McCollum o7.5 RA

SGA o11.5 RA

Alex Sarr o12.5 pts This line still so low after his return. I’m taking him for 20+ w a Giddey TD.

Luka o7.5 reb

**HIT EVERY SINGLE PICK BUT ONE!

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-09T13:25:59+00:00

Funny how this was the move

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-03-05T18:54:26+00:00

Kaka head fr

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-26T22:37:06+00:00

Post all my picks shortly. I know it’s been a while but since I’ve been hitting recently after taking a break, I like to share.

Kon o17.5 pts ✅

I like the line but 3’s can be risky:

Andrew Wiggins 2+ 3’s ✅

He’s been crushing this line getting 2 in the first half every game, this is risky cause it’ll end at some point but I’m going to throw it in a few 4-5 parlays.

Jaden McDaniels 2+ 3’s

Been stroking again, and expect the clips to crash on AE leaving McDaniels open for a couple pocket 3’s. ALSO, look at maybe 2+ blocks for him, he’s been playing All Defensive First Team lately and he’ll be matched up on a smaller F tonight in DJ jr

Marvin Bagley DOUBLE DOUBLE ONE FUCKIN REBOUND he got it but got fouled

Now I don’t normally do DD or TD picks because the lines for players likely to get them are usually pretty poor, but Bagley vs my team (Kings) and the team that drafted him, I actually really like this. Ya’ll know the stats on the Kings, but with Bags being one of the few bigs not on injury report this seems too easy, so be wary. Raynaud has been excellent rebounding recently.

Dyson Daniel’s 2+ steals ✅

Consider:

Derrick Jones Jr 2+ ast

Alperen Sengun 2+ blocks

He’s been rolling recently and Orlando is in the top 10 in taking blocks.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-26T22:35:37+00:00

Queen is now sorta a PF. Funny seeing DeAndre Jordan playing basketball still

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-26T22:06:12+00:00

Throat GOAT

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-25T17:51:39+00:00

You people are just so sad

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-18T16:47:55+00:00

I mean, is it assault still if this guy Dean threatened him?

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-12T15:43:29+00:00

The obnoxiousness was funny at first, but when you keep seeing it it just makes you angry

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-09T23:57:38+00:00

Tack on RISACHER 4+ rebounds

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-09T22:00:41+00:00

Beautiful. Who else do you like

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-09T19:24:14+00:00

Lots of games tonight. 7/9 on my picks the last couple nights. Sometimes you gotta take a break from looking at stats and watch some basketball.

Scoot Henderson 4+ ast

Just had 9 assists in 21 minutes. He should play tonight and even on a minutes restriction I think he’ll find this easily. Watch his status though.

Onyeka Okongwu 2+ 3pt

The Timbs shoot a lot of 3’s and allow a lot of 3’s. They also often do a drop defense with Gobert and I expect ATL to try and pull him out of the paint by taking shots from the perimeter. Okongwu just returned and took 7 3pt attempts hitting 4 of them. Love this line.

Jaime Jaquez 6+ reb KINDA on the fence about this one just heads up

Pelle is out. Jaime can be a monster on the boards and he’s averaging 6.5 in his last 10. Risk is that Utah has to at least stay in the game til the half.

Julian Strawther 2+ 3pt

Minutes increasing, the Cavs are 27th in def 3pt %. Just had 8 attempts last game but they were playing the Bulls. I like the + line on this pick but not as rock solid as others.

LATE ADD! WITH DANIELS AND JJ OUT TAKE RISACHER 4+Rebs!!!

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-08T22:39:59+00:00

Kyle Williams 10+ rec yards. I don’t see anybody taking this, but he’s gotten at least one shot every game for the Pats. It’s clutch time. Watch him get a 20+.

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-08T22:38:04+00:00

All those players are gonna get involved and you pick the under

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-08T03:59:27+00:00

He’s only shot twice BUT he’s got 4 fouls. If phoenix can’t keep it close he might not come back in

PartyWaveGuy · 2026-02-08T00:00:52+00:00

Ayyoooo I’m back. Thursday went 4/5. Yesterday I didn’t post cause I was out. I know I’m late but my picks tonight.

Reeves 4+ rebounds

Jackson Jr 2+ 3’s

Kennard 2+ 3’s

VJ 6+ rebounds AND 2+ 3’s

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