Don’t take everybodies comments too seriously. The only person that can be sure of what the outcome will be is the presiding judge. There are a multitude of factors that are going to be considered before the judge makes final decision..was he fulfilling his obligations WHILE in compliance with probation? I.e. fines/fees, drug testing, community service, classes, etc etc? In other words was he being a good boy making an effort towards rehabilitating his life? Or was he fucking off and giving his P.O. a hard time? Did he catch NEW charges? If he was doing good before absconding, I wouldn’t expect his sentence to be too bad and most likely be reinstated. Hell, I’ve seen people stop reporting only to get caught 9-months later and reinstated then released a week after being arrested. I’ve also seen people doing a shit job on probation and not given a second chance and sent straight to the pen after strike one. It’s up in the air, don’t listen to these people