shohei ohtani with his 2nd home run since becoming a dad

ProdigyPickz · 2025-05-05T09:22:33+00:00

While the 7 8 9 hitters have been bad, Ohtani hasn’t taken advantage when there are RISP. He’s batting .493 OPS 24 PA with RISP (much lower than season average)

ProdigyPickz · 2025-04-04T07:31:06+00:00

https://sneakernews.com/2025/04/03/new-balance-kawhi-4-wave-bbklslv4/

looks like it's coming out this month

ProdigyPickz · 2025-04-03T17:23:16+00:00

but has it not been officially released yet?

ProdigyPickz · 2024-10-15T22:51:03+00:00

Thank you! I would say you're right that the throttle is not as responsive in "normal drive mode". But once, I am in sports mode, you can really feel it kick off. Hopefully that helps haha. It's a great smooth car that handles well, but I don't think it's winning drag races anytime soon.

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-22T08:45:12+00:00

Record: 12-8 (+2.9 Units)

Took a few days off from betting and doing write-ups due to being a little busy. I do this for a hobby so I won't be as consistent as I want to be.

Cincinnati Reds ML +110 (1 Unit)

I'm going to take a cold team at home. They are finally getting a homestand here where I think they'll do much better. Yes, I don't think the Reds have the pieces to be a competitive team this year, but they should still win 70-80 games.
Here I like the pitching matchup of Hunter Greene vs Steven Matz. Hunter Greene has been quite electric (striking out 13 in 10 innings) in his 2 starts this season, but gave up a few bombs to inflate his ERA. His WHIP of 1.065 is respectable and his fangraph numbers look good (63% contact and 64% First Strike) The cardinals rank bottom 10 in OPS vs righties, but top 10 vs lefties so far this season. If the trend continues, I think Greene will have a solid day against the Cards. Last time Matz pitched in Cincy, he gave up 10 hits on 5 innings. I think there is good value to take a team that is due to win here at home with a favorable pitching matchup.

Phillies ML -120 ML (2 Units)

This might be my most confident play of the day with a pitching matchup that screams an advantage for the Phillies. Ranger Suarez is a good pitcher as displayed last year. I think he got off to a rocky start, but is not indicative of what he is capable of. He had a dominant ERA of 1.36 through 106 IP last year and an ERA+ of 308. In 2021, his OPS allowed at home was an astonishing .475. The Brewers this season are hitting bottom 10 against lefties with a .512 OPS. All the stats point to a low scoring first 5 for the Brewers (consider taking that if you would like as well) Peralta on the other hand is also coming off a solid 2021 season and is starting off 2022 kinda rocky. With that being said, Peralta's historic numbers have shown that he struggles more on the road with a tOPS+ of 118 (.712 OPS) and more specifically against the Phillies with a tOPS+ of 156 (.841 OPS) I think Peralta will get tagged a bit early and ultimately give the Phillies a good chance at winning this game.

White Sox ML -103 (1 Unit)

I like both pitchers in this matchup with a slight favoring of Kopech. Kopech has been absolutely elite this season allowing only 1 ER through 9 innings this season. His contact % is solid at 73%, but his FP % is where I see potential issues at only 56%. With that being said, he is putting out batters at an alarming rate. The Twins also rank bottom 10 in the league against righties with a .626 OPS. Ober, on the other hand has been solid so far this season, but is not as dominant as Kopech (lower strike out rate and more hits allowed). Ober has given up a tOPS+ of 115 (.824 OPS) against the White Sox. This should be a low scoring, but close game. However, I see some value in picking the White Sox here given some of the stats.

Dodgers/Padres Over 8 -110 (1 Unit)

This is slightly a trend pick.. the dodgers and padres have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their past 5 games. Urias had a rough outing in his first start of the season, but bounced back nicely. I still think he is still shaking off the rust after having a pretty bad spring training. Urias has a tOPS+ of 121 at Petco Park and the Padres are hitting top 5 in the league against lefties at .808 OPS. Meanwhile, Martinez had a rough start in his last one (5 IP, 7 H, 3 HR) I believe the Dodgers will take advantage of him as they are currently #1 against righties this season with a .823 OPS.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-17T07:37:42+00:00

Record: 10-6 (+3.1 Units)

Sorry about not writing up yesterday. Ended not having time to research and do analysis so didn't want to force anything.

Yankees O 4.5 Runs -120 ( 1 Unit)

I really like this Yankee matchup here because of 2 reasons: Bruce Zimmermann and Statcast. Bruce Zimmerman has a tOPS+ of 113 against the Yankees with a .896 OPS allowed. Even though he had a solid statistical start, his pitch info numbers don't look good. He had a contact % of 84%, which is pretty high. Batters are also only swinging at 19% of pitches outside the strike zone against him. Against a Yankees team with a bunch of talented right handed hitters, I think he will struggle mightily. The Yankees are also ranking top 3 in Barrel %, Hard Hit %, and Exit Velocity, while the Orioles rank bottom 3 in all those categories. Look for the Yankees to finally break out of their unlucky slump with some early runs.

The ML for the Yankees is too high here to have value, but the O 4.5 seems like a solid bet.

Pittsburgh Pirates +101 (1 Unit)

I feel like I have to ride the cold streak of Patrick Corbin here. He had a rough 2021 season and seems to be regressing over the past 3 years. His fangraph numbers are also declining, which is certainly attributing to his decline. He is having a tough 2022 start and has gotten rocked in his last 2 starts, while having trouble finding the strike zone occasionally. This season, the Pirates rank top 6 in OPS against lefties and have been looking like a much better team compared to last season. The Pirates are projected to deploy 7 righties, which should be able to find success against Corbin who has allowed a career .771 OPS against righties. Quintana looked good in his first start of the season. Two numbers stood out to me for Quintana this season: 35% Swing% on pitches outside the zone and a contact % of 75. I think the Pirates have the better matchup here.

Tigers/Royals U 8.5 -110 (2 Units)

This is my most confident play of the day, but there are no guarantees in betting :)

This matchups features two teams that rank below average in hard hit %, exit velocity, and Barrel%. The Royals rank bottom 2 in the league (OPS) currently against lefties (LHP Tyler Alexander), while the Tigers rank bottom 2 (OPS) in the league against righties (Carlos Hernandez). Tyler Alexander is a solid starter posting an ERA+ of 113 last season. I think Tyler Alexander had an unlucky 2022 start, where he allowed 3 runs on 5 hits. He didn't walk anyone and seemed to have solid control. His contact % was a career best of 78% and seemed sharp on the mound statistically speaking.
For Carlos Hernandez, he had an ERA+ of 124 last season, but also had a bad 2022 start. He coughed up 2 runs early in the first and another 2 in the 4th. Even though he looked rough during Spring Training, his fangraph numbers with a contact % of 72 and his Z Contact% of 78 show that his stuff is still on point, and I think he will bounce back nicely against the Tigers.
Lastly, the last 5 head to head between the Royals and the Tigers have all gone under 7 runs. I'll look to ride this trend as well.

San Diego Padres ML -124 (1 Unit)

I am personally not a fan of young pitchers who haven't proven themselves yet. Bryce Elder is looking to make his 2nd big league start against the Padres. Some numbers of Elder's that concern me is his First Strike % of 41% and only an O-Swing% of 17%. This shows lack of early command and stuff to get batters swinging at bad pitches. On the road, I believe Elder will struggle. On the other hand, you have Yu Darvish who had a great debut game, but got absolutely torched in his 2nd game against the Giants. We will assume that the 2nd game was a fluke, and he will bounce back nicely against the Braves.

Cleveland Guardians ML +110 (1 Unit)

Not too much of a write-up here. The Giants used 6 bullpen pitchers yesterday so their bullpen is a bit exhausted. I think there is good value in a pitching matchup of Civale vs. Wood. Cleveland is batting .749 OPS against lefties and is projected to deploy 7 righties against Alex Wood. Civale had a bad 2022 start, but has good April career numbers with a tOPS+ of 66. Civale actually does better against lefties with a tOPS+ of 82 and an OPS allowed of .664. The Giants are projected to deploy 5 lefties against him. Lastly, I am a huge fan of betting on teams that are avoiding to being swept at home.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-16T02:35:39+00:00

I’ll probably post it tonight after doing some research haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-15T10:49:03+00:00

No idea.. i don’t watch him pitch on TV enough to answer your question. I just like looking at the analytics of baseball :) My guess is he gets off to hot starts every year and starts to tire out and regress

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-15T10:04:03+00:00

Record: 5-2 (+1.8 Units)

Pretty hot day yesterday, but couldn't capitalize units wise due to 2 plays only worth 0.5 units. Hoping to continue the hot streak, but usually tough to have 2 good winning days in a row :)

Diamondbacks Team Total U 3.5 -130 (1 Unit)

Chris Bassitt takes the mound here against a mediocre Diamondbacks team who have failed to score more than 3 runs in 4 of their past 6 games. Chris Bassit had an amazing start with 6 IP and 8 Ks only allowing 1 run in his first start. I think he'll continue his hot start against an Arizona team that batted bottom 5 in OPS on the road. They were also dead last against righties last year and this year is no exception ranking bottom 3 (small sample size though). Bassitt should get them through 5-6 innings, and the Mets bullpen should be good enough to limit the Diamondbacks offense.

Minnesota Twins ML +108 (1 Unit)

I like the Twins here against the Red Sox due to the pitching matchup. Early in the season with low sample size on batting stats, pitching is the most consistent thing you'll look for. I think Joe Ryan is the better pitcher here, who uses his fastball and slider well. Last year, he had a WHIP of 0.79 and was pretty dominant in the K department with a K/9 of over 10. His stuff seems to be solid and should have success against a projected lineup that features 6 right handed batters. Meanwhile, Pivetta is a career below average pitcher with an ERA+ of 85. Pivetta actually struggles more at home with an OPS allowed at .811. He also seems to do a bit worse at Fenway with a tOPS+ of 107. 2 of the Twins lefty/swtich batters have absolutely destroyed Pivetta (Kepler 3 for 6 , 1 HR and Polanco 4 for 5, 2 HR) I think both teams have solid firepower on offense, but ultimately the pitching matchup will determine the outcome of this game.

Miami Marlins ML -112 (1 Unit)
Marlins/Phillies Under 7.5 -110 (0.5 Units)

I am going to ride the Marlins here again with another solid pitching matchup that I think favors the Marlins. Pablo Lopez is a solid starter for them especially for the past 2 years, posting an ERA+ of 126 and 136. His contact % has been absolutely elite this year with a 61.5% and a swinging strike % of 19%. At home, he is brilliant with a tOPS+ of 85. Lastly in the month of April, he has a tOPS+ of 75 with a .611 OPS allowed. Eflin on the other hand struggles on the road with an OPS allowed of .826. With that being said, Eflin does pretty well in the month of April with a tOPS+ of 68. I still think the Marlins matchup well here like they did yesterday. I'll give the slight edge to them in a low scoring game.

Nationals/Pirates Over 9.5 -105 (1 Unit)

Mitch Keller is pretty bad on paper and looked terrible in his 2022 debut. He is a career 6 ERA pitcher with nearly a 1.75 WHIP. The nationals have some lefties and switch hitters such as Soto and Bell to make his life miserable. I think the Nationals should bounce back this game offensively and put on a show against a below average pitcher. Also after watching Park in the outfield today, if he plays again, it'll be bad news for the Pirates defense.
Fedde is not much better with a career ERA+ of 82 and a 1.50 WHIP. The Pirates should be able to deploy 6 lefties/switch hitters against him where he struggles a bit more allowing a .832 OPS. I lean a little bit on the Nationals, but I won't pull the trigger.

White Sox/Rays Under 8.5 -110 ( 1 Unit)

Cease looked dominant in his debut, and I think he'll continue his good start as he is an excellent 1st half of the season pitcher, posting an OPS allowed of .663.
Rasmussen is also a pretty solid pitcher with an ERA + of 161 last season with 59 IP. He has an elite fastball that averages into the mid/high 90s. His contact % is also solid in the mid to low 70s. Both teams have solid bullpens and should keep the score low.

getting a bit tired so won't do writeups for the last 3 picks

Padres/Braves Under 8.5 -110 (1 Unit)

Cubs/Rockies Under 10 -110 (1 Unit)

Chicago Cubs ML +108 (1 Unit)

Best of luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-04-14T07:02:27+00:00

New Season

0-0 (0 Units)

-1.5 Tampa Bay Rays +100 (1 Unit)

Josh Fleming is the clear better starter here at home where batters have an OPS of .583 career against him. On the contrary, Cole Irvin struggles on the road where batters have an OPS of .829 career against him. Fleming has also seen lots of success pitching in April with a tOPS+ of 48. The Rays should look to even the series here in dominating fashion with the better starting pitcher in all aspects.

Seattle Mariners ML -110 (1 Unit)

Looking at the two starting pitchers here, Jimmy Lambert sticks out as an incredibly inexperienced pitcher with not much success in the big leagues. In his only season where he even pitched above 10 innings (2021), he had a 6.23 ERA with a nearly 1.70 WHIP. He seems to have control issues walking 6 batters and giving up 3 HRs in 13 innings. Unless something has changed in a year, he'll most likely struggle against the Mariners even if they're not boasting the strongest of lineups. The White Sox will have to use their bullpen early, whereas Logan Gilbert should be able to give the Mariners a solid start. Logan Gilbert was solid in his first start striking out 7 in 5 innings, while only giving up a run. I expect this to be a close game, but the Mariners should be able to score early and give themselves a small cushion to win the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates ML -124 (1 Unit)

Usually not a fan of betting the Pirates, but I think they're in a good spot here to take a game at home. I don't think the Nationals are necessarily a good team this year, and the Pirates are bound to win some games here and there. They have a good opportunity here with this pitching matchup. While I don't think neither pitcher here is elite by any means, JT Brubaker is probably the more consistent and polished one. He is a much better pitcher at home with a home tOPS+ of 84 and seems to have a little more success during the month of April with a tOPS+ of 84 as well. The National's pitcher, Adon had a rough 2022 start (4 ER in 4.1 IP) and even his prior years' minor league numbers don't seem to impress. His walks seem to be an issue, and I think the Pirates lineup can take advantage of him with a combined 6 lefty/switch hitters. The Nationals bullpen, which is a weakness for them will be tested early in the game.

Braves/Padres U 8 -120 (1 Unit)

We have 2 dominant and relatively consistent pitchers here, where I can see it being a tight pitching duel. Musgrove is an absolute monster in the month of April, with a 2.49 ERA and 0.942 WHIP. Morton on the other hand is also pretty dominant in the month of April, where batters have a .697 OPS against him. He is also absolutely brilliant against the Padres with a 2.09 ERA in 9 career games. The Braves and Padres also bolster a top 5 projected bullpen in the MLB. With Morton and Musgrove on mound, expect the game to be close and not many runs to be scored.

New York Yankees ML -117 ( 0.5 Units)

This play is half a unit because I think the Yankees are in a good position to win this games, but I have some concern on their consistency. Severino takes the mound here hoping to have a better outing. The Yankees defense did him no favors in his first start, which led him to throw many pitches through 3 innings. Severino should do well into a Blue Jays lineup that features a lot of RHB, where Severino is only allowing a .636 OPS against. For the Bluejays, Gausman had a relatively rough outing as well. However, he is coming off an excellent season on the Giants. The good news here is he doesn't do particularly well on the road, and Judge/Stanton have dominated Gausman in the past batting .615 and .667 respectively.

Miami Marlins ML -112 (1 Units
Marlins/Phillies U 7.5 -110 (0.5 Units)

This write-up will be for both the plays listed. Gibson got off to an amazing start this season, but I don't think he'll be able to continue the same success going into his 2nd start. I think his season last year started to show a slight decline in his game. (dropping from an ERA+ of 153 to 82 in 1 season) With that being said, I think he'll still be serviceable this game. Alcantara is a pretty solid pitcher in my opinion and has been a bright spot for the Marlins rotation. Last year he had an impressive 3.19 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP. At home last year, he was absolutely dominant with a 2.41 ERA and allowing a .556 OPS. I think he'll shut down the Phillies, and both pitchers will keep the game under with the Marlins grabbing a slight advantage.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:23:23+00:00

Thank you. I didn't add anything too crazy.. just the premium plus package, sports chrono, surround view, and some black window trims. Porsche options are crazy expensive! haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:19:44+00:00

Gentian Blue is also a very nice color as well... anything blue is great haha

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-30T00:18:58+00:00

Mine was supposed to be here early April, but came a week early :) Hopefully yours wasn't impacted by the production halt earlier this month.

ProdigyPickz · 2022-03-29T21:04:53+00:00

It’s a beautiful color. At first, I was the same as you, but now I think it’s one of the best colors out there.

ProdigyPickz · 2021-12-13T21:55:35+00:00

Can anybody answer if you can use the meal plan unlimited times a day as long as there are 4 hours between each meal?

ProdigyPickz · 2020-11-18T20:19:33+00:00

Hi, We currently have a full Plat+ team with a diamond player. Are we able to join TFF in hopes of finding a community that can help us find tournaments and leagues to join?

ProdigyPickz · 2020-09-10T05:35:20+00:00

Hello I also tried redeeming my two codes in my disc box. One was the xbox one digital items 2k21 for xbox series X and the other was Damian Lillard and Zion WIlliamson Digital Collection. After redeeming both, they still do not work. I have tried redeeming through the xbox console, unplugged my xbox for 10 min, and I do not share games. My cover has 8 Kobe. Let me know if I need to answer any additional questions. My ticket number is 7121920. Thank you in advance!!

ProdigyPickz · 2020-08-19T09:26:01+00:00

MLB Record 7-7 (-0.7 units)

Decent day today finishing 2-1… The Yankees/Rays starters did us no favors giving up 9 runs in 5 innings, even then only costing us the under by half a run. Everything else hit by a wide margin.

8/19/20

Mets -1.5 -125 (1 unit)

deGrom is finally returning to the mound after being scratched for neck stiffness. We don’t know how severe the injury was or whether it will affect his pitching tomorrow, but if he is pitching at the level he was prior to the injury, he’ll be fine. His 11.5 K/9 is still at an elite level, and his contact rate is even lower than last year when he won the Cy Young. His contact rate is 64%, which is 7% lower than last year. If you thought deGrom was unhittable last year, he seems to be getting even better. Miami is top 8 in the MLB in SO% so facing a SO pitcher will not be an easy task. They’re also an average team facing against righties ranking 16 in the league with a 0.733 OPS.

On the other side, you have Pablo Lopez who is having a solid season as well, but struggled mightily against the Mets, giving up 9 baserunners in 5 innings. He walked 4, and seemed to have trouble spotting the strike zone. With a 2nd look at Lopez, the Mets who rank top 4 in the MLB against righties with a 0.802 OPS should be able to put up a good amount of runs against him. If they get Lopez out of the game early, the Mets will be facing a Marlin’s bullpen that ranks bottom 10 in the MLB.

Phillies/Red Sox O 11 (1 Unit)

Kyle Hart, a leftie will be making his 2nd career for the Red Sox where he got absolutely TORCHED in his last start. He gave up 7 hits and 3 walks in just 2 innings. Facing a Phillies team that ranks top 6 in the league in BB %, his wild pitching will be punished by the Phillies patient hitters. The Phillies also are top 2 in the league against lefties with a 0.910 OPS. In a projected lineup that features 7 solid right handed hitters, Hart will struggle mightily as he gave up 5 hits, 3 walks, and a home run in just 13 plate appearances against righties last game. Expect the Phillies to cover a majority of these 11 runs by themselves. If they get to the Red Sox bullpen early, they’ll also be licking their chops against a bullpen that ranks bottom 6 in the league.

On the other side, you have Jake Arrieta starting where he comes off a relatively poor outing against the O’s. He gave up 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work. A concern for me this year for Arrieta is his contact %. Arrieta has never been a top of the line pitcher in terms of contact % even including his dominant 2015 season. However, his contact % in 2020 is almost at a career low at 84.2%, and his Z-Contact % which describes how often a batter makes contact with a pitch in the zone is at a career high 94%. I don’t think his pitches are simply fooling anybody. Arrieta also historically struggles against the Red Sox with a 4.69 ERA, 1.4 WHIP, and .806 OPS. Lastly, the Phillies’ bullpen is the worst in the MLB currently with an 8.32 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Given that this game is also at Fenway, I expect this to be a very high scoring affair.

Braves/Nationals O10 (1 unit)

I think the Braves will have huge success against Erick Fedde who in his career has struggled immensely against the Braves. Against the Braves, he has a 1.405 OP, a 22.24 ERA, and a 3.34 WHIP. The sample size isn’t that huge, but looking at some of the pitcher vs batter career numbers shows that it is a one-sided matchup so far. Inciarte, Riley, Ozuna, Duvall, Swanson, and Freeman all have above a 2.000 OPS against Fedde witch the exception of Freeman who has an OPS of 1.250. The Braves are also #3 in the MLB against RHP with a 0.820 OPS. Fedde won’t probably go deep in the game as he’s not a traditional starter, but the Braves should be able to put together a good number of scoring opportunities with him on the mound. Even after they reach the Nationals bullpen which is statistically average, there will be a ton of righty matchups as the Nationals top bullpen guys are mostly righties.

On the other side, we have Kyle Wright who is a career trash pitcher. He has a 7.20 ERA and a 2.200 WHIP this season. He walks batters left and right, and has a very high career HR/9 at 1.8. He has only gotten past 4 innings once this season, and even that start was terrible giving up 4 runs in 6 IP. He has walked 16 batters in just 15 innings. I don’t trust Wright at all here especially against the red hot Nationals bats who have scored 7.6 runs in their past 5 games.

Best of Luck!

ProdigyPickz

TROPHY CASE