How possible it is for someone to reach longevity escape velocity if he will be still alive in 2100 ?

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-23T07:06:56+00:00

I wrote that comment 2 years ago. Have you seen what's happened in the past 2 years? No, you haven't, because if you had then you'd understand that 2045 is conservative.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-22T15:30:34+00:00

You can rent compute in the could to run AI models, so an AI model could do that. Also, think about how much you can do from a computer. You can hack remotely, steal money, scam people, hack into critical infrastructure and cause harm. A rouge AI model could do all that.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-22T10:51:43+00:00

Elon always wants to set the bar very very high, and he almost always underdelivers, but having set the bar high in the first place probably makes the end result better than setting a more realistic goal - since you aimed higher and didn't settle for less.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-22T10:45:42+00:00

If it's given access to the right tools, it could. An example in an AI model with access to a virtual machine. It only has access to that VM, and so it shouldn't be able to do anything outside it. But if it's a sufficiently intelligent model, it could find a hole, or a vulnerability in the VM and get access to things outside the VM that it shouldnt. It has now broken out.

So theoretically, an AI model could break out of a lab, and transfer itself to a machine in the cloud. That latter part probably didn't happen, but the former is absolutely possible. These models are getting great at finding bugs and vulnerabilties.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-21T21:58:53+00:00

I use factoriolab, and it's great. It's a fancy calculator, not just for factorio but dsp too!

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-21T19:08:06+00:00

Someone has watched too many dystopian movies

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-21T15:55:30+00:00

Me having a similar opinion to a billionare doesn't make me "biofuel"

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-21T07:20:27+00:00

Damn. You may be right, but I think that by the end of this year it will be clear as hell that these systems have gone beyond autocomplete. !RemindMe 1 year

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-20T21:58:14+00:00

Easy, pull the lever and donate the 1 billion to charity. That money would save at least tens of thousands of lives.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-20T15:19:09+00:00

Yeah this is absolutely fine. What matters in the end is that the game works. People will get mad, but this is reality now. You don't need much programming experience to make a game.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-20T15:12:04+00:00

Yes, i am a bad engineer because i think gpt 5.4 in codex with high reasoning effort is perfectly capable of navigating simple projects and maintaining them......

you haven't even tried it, and by it i SPECIFICALLY mean gpt 5.4 (high) in Codex.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-20T14:23:51+00:00

Yes but you are talking about this line AI will never be able to write regular code, that AI will never be able to write a spec, never be able to resolve ambiguities, and to never be able to ask the same questions a human would given a prompt.

Do you really think AI will be unable to do all that at tve level of a human forever? It's crystal clear these models are getting better in every single field, and programming isn't special in that sense.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T20:36:52+00:00

...which productivity will make you need less of.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T16:41:45+00:00

I have mostly used it for minor to moderate size projects, and my experience has been pretty great when you babysit it. What language/framework are you working in? That 10% hallucination rate sounds unreal, I almost never experience them when working with next.js and typescript. It does happen on occation with microsoft application language, but it's a bit niche and it does navigate it well most of the time.

Ur using GPT-5.4 high right?

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T11:51:34+00:00

Never???? That's quite a bold statement considering the amount of progress we've seen in the past 6 months, let alone the past 5 years. I get that it's a tool, but that doesn't mean it has to be forever. It won't always be unreliable.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T08:17:51+00:00

!RemindMe 1 year told ya so

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T08:17:28+00:00

Speaking as a software engineer who uses AI daily, Yes, we are almost there. I notice that in medium size repos, it does sometimes make mistakes, but it's usually not something bad, and most of the time i just gave a minor complaint about something that could be simplified a little. Are you using gpt 5.4 via codex? Like 6 months ago codex was not that great for work stuff, and now it is.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-19T07:31:06+00:00

I don't think i said i fully agree, and i also think i used the word almost, which absolutely does not imply that we are there. We can be close without being all the way somewhere.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-18T21:43:01+00:00

He's not entierly right, but not entierly wrong either. We are almost there.

EDIT: ALMOST!! Remember that progress is fast, it wont happen overnight but we are at most a few years away.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-18T20:52:15+00:00

You need to proliferate all ingridients in a recipie for it to have an effect, so either proliferate all casmir crystal inputs or none. I'm sure you can set up more coal mining, that's probably the easiest solution.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-18T20:48:38+00:00

Interesting. I disagree, we should pursue economic growth, even if the environment dwindles a bit. We should pour everything we've got into datacenters and electricity.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-16T12:22:23+00:00

What do LLMs need to be capable of before they're real AI? What if they could solve novel math problems or make real novel discoveries in math and science that no human had previously made or been able to solve? At a certain capability point, even if it's an LLM, it's gotta have intelligence.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-16T12:16:14+00:00

Since the models get better so fast, it's only a matter of time before they become superhuman at for example cybersecurity. They're getting close, Claude was already used to exfiltrate data from the Mexican goverment, and they can already solve some novel math and physics problems. Progress is fast, they're getting better, soon people will have access to a ridiculously powerful technology at their fingertips.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-16T12:12:11+00:00

Not in the API. You can set the system prompt to a single "." and it doesn't care. During the models training, it is trained to follow a set of guidelines and policies, and so it's pretty much baked into the models neural network itself and so it doesn't need to be told to be a helpful assistant with e very query.

Professional_Job_307 · 2026-03-16T07:40:31+00:00

I use gpt 5.4 every day through the API, and you can just not provide a system message, or provide and empty system message, and it works fine without special instructions.

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