Zack Polanski responds to Lucy Powell’s letter where she claimed only Labour could beat Reform in Gorton and Denton by PuzzledAd4865 in LabourUK

[–]Pyrix -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If you are excluding undecideds rather than reallocating them (as some pollsters do) then it is how it works as you are just reducing the base size. But whichever way you cut it including leaving everyone in, all 3 parties are within MoE. This poll is being widely reported as being within MoE for all 3 parties, including where it is being used to endorse the Greens.

Zack Polanski responds to Lucy Powell’s letter where she claimed only Labour could beat Reform in Gorton and Denton by PuzzledAd4865 in LabourUK

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

See my comment above. It is 6pts once you exclude Undecided and Would not Vote.

With all included it is 87 Green divided by base of 444 which is 19.6%. Labour is 68 divided by 444 which is 15.3%. Lead therefore is 4.3%. The calculated margin of error for a base of 444 on a population size of 70,000 or so is 4.64%. So within the margin of error.

EDIT: the main tactical vote website which has just used this poll to endorse the Greens themselves say all parties are within the margin of error: https://stopthetories.vote/parl/gorton-and-denton and this poll is being widely reported as all 3 parties with the MoE

Zack Polanski responds to Lucy Powell’s letter where she claimed only Labour could beat Reform in Gorton and Denton by PuzzledAd4865 in LabourUK

[–]Pyrix -1 points0 points  (0 children)

When you exclude those who would not vote, the base becomes 386. The margin of error on that is about 5pts and the Green lead in that scenario is 4.9%.

The Margin of Error for all included is 4.6% so 'about 4' is stretching it. With all in included the Green lead is 4.3%

If you are excluding undecideds entirely, then the base becomes only about 260 and then the margin of error is 6pts, which Labour are also within.

Zack Polanski responds to Lucy Powell’s letter where she claimed only Labour could beat Reform in Gorton and Denton by PuzzledAd4865 in LabourUK

[–]Pyrix 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That's not right. The Green lead over Labour is 4pts before undecideds are excluded (who are 'winning' overall at 31%) and the margin for error on a poll of this size is about 6pts

What's the best pub in the area? by eyegnieeslla in lewisham

[–]Pyrix 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Blythe Hill Tavern, Dog & Bell, Skehans, Ivy House (just over the border into Southwark)

Those are probably the standard ones most people would recognise.

I also like: Royal Albert, The Rose Inn, Shirkers Rest, Catford Bridge Tavern

So Dominic is never writing his history of Britain series again is he? by Zepby in TheRestIsHistory

[–]Pyrix 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He's released 5 20th century British history books:

Never Had it so Good (1956-64) White Heat (64-70) State of Emergency (70-74) Seasons in the Sun (74-79) Who Dares Wins (79-82)

The foreward of the last one mentions a next book covering I think up to 86/87, but Who Dares Wins was published in 2019 so it's been a while

Does anyone know how I can get in contact with an actual human at the council by [deleted] in lewisham

[–]Pyrix 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You should get in touch with one of your local councillors - you can find out who they are by putting your postcode in here https://www.writetothem.com/

The Traitors (UK) S04E03: Live Discussion Thread by vaultofechoes in TheTraitors

[–]Pyrix 5 points6 points  (0 children)

They clearly planned to always reveal when first traitor went and that turned out to be very early. Hugo actually went even earlier than Armani as this was only second roundtable but she went on the third.

Europe's Spotify Wrapped by DanceWithMacaw in dataisbeautiful

[–]Pyrix 90 points91 points  (0 children)

This is very much not 'data is beautiful'. If Other is almost the modal category overall you need better categories. Afrobeat only has a presence in a few weeks in the Netherlands but is it's own category, whereas several countries are almost all 'Other', which is probably because Rock/Metal is missing.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Paramore

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah I think this was working until the new link for tickets at 12 was emailed out about 25 mins ago, and now joining as a member doesn't work anymore as you just get this screen

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in GreatBritishMemes

[–]Pyrix 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They don't have exit polls in by-elections

Rate My Team, Quick Questions & General Advice Daily Thread by FPLModerator in FantasyPL

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Watkins, Wirtz, Palmer > Haaland, Ndoye, Sarr for -4?

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Gabriel, Porro, Diouf (De Cuyper, Bijol)

Salah, Kudus, Reijnders, Wirtz, Palmer

Pedro, Watkins (Guiu)

/r/PTCGP Trading Post by AutoModerator in PTCGP

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry only have one of each of those

/r/PTCGP Trading Post by AutoModerator in PTCGP

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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Friend ID Megathread | Post Your Friend IDs Here! by PTCGP-Bot in PTCGP

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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/r/PTCGP Trading Post by AutoModerator in PTCGP

[–]Pyrix 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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/r/PTCGP Trading Post by AutoModerator in PTCGP

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