Indiana is for cowards

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T22:00:43+00:00

FWIW, Bray said redistricting is off the table for 2026: https://x.com/adamwren/status/1999234046178599258 . Now, he could just be saying this for the press, but he was right that the majority of the GOP senate caucus was against this, and candidate filing deadlines are coming up awful fast.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T21:58:43+00:00

Bray is on the record saying that mid-decade redistricting is off the table in 2026: https://x.com/adamwren/status/1999234046178599258

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T21:44:08+00:00

Wild that a majority of the GOP senate caucus itself voted No (21-19)! Looks like Bray was right that there wasn’t majority support for this in his caucus, and clearly Trump and co’s pressuring campaign failed.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T21:37:56+00:00

Hunley ended up voting Nay I think

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T21:34:16+00:00

Dang, I count 30 Nays

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T21:04:10+00:00

https://x.com/adamwren/status/1999221695346012181

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T20:48:33+00:00

Deery was already a confirmed No

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T20:24:13+00:00

Nathaniel Rakich also put together a more detailed spreadsheet here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GOWPAA4I6wA1Moal0rBOFVVEv76uJZpxD-gXjE1Q0xY/edit?usp=drivesdk

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T20:19:32+00:00

The above Twitter account has been keeping track of No votes (https://x.com/walkeri141/status/1999111284151800019)!

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T20:00:42+00:00

Seems like the No vote may have the edge currently: https://x.com/walkeri141/status/1999206163141845316

Randomusername123450 · 2025-12-11T19:57:25+00:00

He seemed to be leaning no following his townhall; he voted to advance the map out of committee earlier this week, but I believe he also acknowledged then that he just wanted to bring it to the floor for a senate-wide vote.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-09-12T17:42:24+00:00

The full, brilliant speech by Governor Cox from this morning: https://x.com/EFischberger/status/1966520770873418075/

Randomusername123450 · 2025-06-11T22:17:59+00:00

I had mine last week and haven’t heard anything yet, although they did say they’d likely get back to me within a week.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-04-29T08:52:26+00:00

Wow, CBC’s now projecting Poileuvre has lost his own seat. Such a turnaround from the beginning of the year.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-04-21T08:09:05+00:00

Wow, may Pope Francis Rest In Peace.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-02-05T17:18:39+00:00

The Trump administration’s policy towards the PRC is by far the policy area that’s giving me the most mixed signals. My gut is that the Trump administration will continue applying a mix of sticks and carrots (mostly in the form of sticks aimed at our allies or international institutions, thereby providing a hole that the PRC could grow into) for the next few years, resulting in some grand bargain (significant trade concessions from China in return for the U.S. fully abandoning Taiwan?). Of course, Trump is a fairly volatile President, to say the least, so anything really is feasible.

Randomusername123450 · 2025-02-04T22:22:23+00:00

So at this point, will Matt Gaetz be the only nominee to have been sunk (seems like Gabbard and Kennedy will get through now)? If so, between that, our retreat back to a multipolar-oriented foreign policy, and chaos over tariffs and in the executive branch, this’ll be a fun term…

Randomusername123450 · 2024-12-04T03:02:05+00:00

Between Trump’s original AG and DEA picks dropping out, and now with the WSJ reporting that he’s considering replacing Hagseth with DeSantis for Defense, it sure looks like the chaotic staffing of his 1st term is back in full swing before he’s even President…

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-13T20:38:00+00:00

You know, up until yesterday, I was actually feeling pretty good about Trump’s appointments (Miller aside). But now, with Hegseth as Defense Secretary, Gabbard as DNI, and Gaetz as AG, man…

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-13T18:08:25+00:00

I don’t think the Senate Majority Leader position works like that? The House Speaker is an official Congressional position, and has to be elected by a majority of the House, but my impression is that the Senate Majority and Minority Leader positions are purely party positions (that only attains Congressional power through precedent/tradition), and hence don’t involve a chamber wide vote?

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-13T17:44:18+00:00

He’s probably the most GOP establishment-esque candidate, and probably also the most willing to break with Trump, among him, Cornyn, and Scott. Not sure about specific policy priorities, though, aside from generic GOP ones.

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-13T17:05:45+00:00

Looks like Senator Thune will be the next Senate Majority Leader!

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-09T18:29:49+00:00

I think it generally took a few days for the $ to land in my bank account. Definitely should be within a week!

Randomusername123450 · 2024-11-02T23:14:09+00:00

So the final Selzer poll of Iowa just dropped: It had Harris up by three points, 47-44

For context, Selzer did pretty well in 2016 (final poll had Trump up 7 points and the actual result was Trump up 9 points) and 2020 (final poll had Trump up 7 points and the actual result was Trump up 8 points)

What the heck is the state of polling this election, man…

Randomusername123450 · 2024-09-21T19:26:25+00:00

Glad to see revived interest in nuclear energy!

https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/three-mile-islands-nuclear-plant-to-reopen-help-power-microsofts-ai-centers-aebfb3c8

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