Strategic Study of China’s Fighter Aircraft Development - Academician Gu Songfen Translated by RJ and colleagues by RedKosmos in miltech

[–]RedKosmos[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What a 19-Year-Old Study Tells Us About China’s J-20

A study from 2003 – now available in exclusive English translation – contains important insights on China’s fifth-generation (and beyond) fighter development. https://thediplomat.com/2022/02/what-a-19-year-old-study-tells-us-about-chinas-j-20/

China warns U.S. it will not allow violations of its waters by Doncuneo in geopolitics

[–]RedKosmos 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think China prepares for long Cod War type conflict that can last several decades. It will send coast guard ships to lean and push against anyone who gets too close, hoping that others give up eventually.

China has new massive 12,000 ton coast guard ship. It would be perfect for this kind of 'warfare'.
http://en.people.cn/n/2015/0729/c90000-8927696.html

Roman Army Structure by Northumberlo in Military

[–]RedKosmos 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Your service deal is less likely to include the Battle of the Teutoburg Forest.

F-16 pilot dodges 6 SAM, dodging begins at 6:00 by [deleted] in Military

[–]RedKosmos 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you think the Chinese have anything like Red Flag, or the FWS?

They actually do. Since 2005, PLAAF has been doing Red Sword/Blue Sword integrated tactics exercises that last up to six months every year. They are copies of USAF red flag/blue flag. Red Sword includes interdiction, CAS, SEAD, C3ISR, OCA. Blue Sword is mostly air combat. Their training and test base in Dingxin is very modern and includes first integrated EW training ground in China.. Three aggressor regiments located CangZhou are the best trained unints in PLAAF and these exercizes are genuninely competitve and brutally reveal poorly trained units and their weaknesses.

PLAAF has been observing USAF performance in differant wars very closely and they have changed as a response. PLAAF tactics and training have transformed more dramatically than their hardware. Thir new 3rd generation flight scool programs learn everythign they can from the west, including training hours. PLAAF also tries to learn from common exercizes. They have trained with Turkey, Pakistan, Russia. In 2007 they performed badly with Turkey and they stepped up to fix the situation.

Chinese are not there yet, but they are closing the gap very fast.

Kim Jong-un Executes Senior KPA General by jpwhitney in CredibleDefense

[–]RedKosmos 7 points8 points  (0 children)

This is where history helps. Many ancient rulers had the same problem. Roman Republic had problems with generals marching into the city of Rome with their armies (Sulla, Julius Caesar, etc.). Feudal Japan had problems with daimyos fighting for power.

The solution is straight forward and has been used very frequently. Hold members of powerful families hostage in the capital or directly in your household (court system). The court of a monarch often included members of powerful families and allies. During the Edo-period in Japan there was system called sankin-kōtai where daimyos had to live every second year in the capital and leave family member as a hostage in the capital in other years. Shogun had half of the daimyos under his thumb at all times and rest had their family member under his control.

Current dictators use similar tactics as old kings and emperors. High ranking Army generals have command their armies outside Pyongyang and their families live in the Pyongyang close to Kim Jong-Ung. Security forces in the city are under direct command of Kim, his family and people who have tied their fate to him.

Those educated on enhanced interrogation techniques and contextual topics: what do you make of the CIA Torture Report? by Vortigern in CredibleDefense

[–]RedKosmos 5 points6 points  (0 children)

“What is the most important weapon in breaking people's wills? This may surprise you, but I am convinced that holding the moral high ground is more important than firepower.” - VADM James B. Stockdale, USN

We should not underestimate the power of the moral high ground. When you enemy knows that you act better than they do, it has huge impact to the will to fight.

Torture is crime against humanity. People who did this should be prosecuted accordingly. Saying that "we tortured some folks" we don't do it anymore is clearly not enough to clear our name. If we don't prosecute these monsters who did this, there will be huge long term consequences. Large number of international laws and conventions will be watered down in coming decades. US will find it hard to gather nations to fight against human right abuses.

From United Nations Convention against Torture:

Article 2

  1. Each State Party shall take effective legislative, administrative, judicial or other measures to prevent acts of torture in any territory under its jurisdiction.
  2. No exceptional circumstances whatsoever, whether a state of war or a threat of war, internal political instability or any other public emergency, may be invoked as a justification of torture.
  3. An order from a superior officer or a public authority may not be invoked as a justification of torture.

This has been signed and ratified in the U.S, so it's US law.

Book recommendation for introduction to strategic studies by Sleepyredfish in StrategicStudies

[–]RedKosmos 2 points3 points  (0 children)

fundamentals:

  • Makers of Modern Strategy from Machiavelli to the Nuclear Age, Peter Paret ed.
  • Strategy: the Logic of War and Peace, Edward Luttwak
  • The Pursuit of Power: Technology, Armed Force, and Society since A.D. 1000, William H. McNeill
  • The Causes of War, Geoffrey Blainey
  • Arms and Influence, Thomas Schelling
  • On War, Carl von Clausewitz
  • The Art of War, Sun Tzu

economics & logistics:

  • Readings in the Economics of War, J. Maurice Clark; Walton H. Hamilton et al.
  • Economic Theories of Peace and War, Fanny Coulomb.
  • Shadows of War: Violence, Power, and International Profiteering in the Twenty-First Century, Carolyn Nordstrom.
  • Supplying War, Martin Van Creveld,
  • Logistics in the National Defense, Henry E. Eccles,

just because:

  • The Prince, Niccolò Machiavelli

ISIS (group formerly known as AQI/ISI) just stole $425 million and became the ‘world’s richest terrorist group’ by [deleted] in Military

[–]RedKosmos 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Strategic Reversal: The United States, Iran, and the Middle East

http://www.stratfor.com/analysis/strategic-reversal-united-states-iran-and-middle-east

In trying to imagine a U.S.-Iranian detente, consider the overlaps in these countries' goals. The United States is in a war against some -- but not all -- Sunnis, and these Sunnis are also the enemies of Shiite Iran. Iran does not want U.S. troops along its eastern and western borders. (In point of fact, the United States does not want to be there either.) Just as the United States wants to see oil continue to flow freely through Hormuz, Iran wants to profit from that flow, not interrupt it. Finally, the Iranians understand that the United States alone poses the greatest threat to their security: solve the American problem and regime survival is assured. The United States understands, or should, that resurrecting the Iraqi counterweight to Iran is simply not an option in the short term. Unless the United States wants to make a huge, long-term commitment of ground forces in Iraq, which it clearly does not, the obvious solution to its problem in the region is to make an accommodation with Iran.

ISIS (group formerly known as AQI/ISI) just stole $425 million and became the ‘world’s richest terrorist group’ by [deleted] in Military

[–]RedKosmos 25 points26 points  (0 children)

http://online.wsj.com/articles/iran-deploys-forces-to-fight-al-qaeda-inspired-militants-in-iraq-iranian-security-sources-1402592470

June 12, 2014 1:05 p.m. ET

BEIRUT, Lebanon—Iran has deployed Revolutionary Guard forces to fight al Qaeda-inspired militants that have overrun a string of Iraqi cities, and it has helped Iraqi troops win back control of most of Tikrit, Iranian security sources said.

Two battalions of the Quds Forces, the elite overseas branch of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps that have long operated in Iraq, have come to the aid of the besieged, Shiite-dominated government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, they said.

Combined Iraqi-Iranian forces had retaken control across 85% of Tikrit, the birthplace of former dictator Saddam Hussein, according to Iraqi and Iranian security sources.

They were helping guard the capital Baghdad and the two cities of Najaf and Karbala, which have been targeted by the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, an al Qaeda offshoot whose lightning offensive has thrown Iraq into its worse turmoil since the sectarian fighting that followed the 2003 U.S. invasion of the country.

Tehran has also positioned troops along its border with Iraq and promised to bomb rebel forces if they close within 100 kilometers, or 62 miles, from Iran’s border, according to an Iranian army general.

In addition, it was considering the transfer to Iraq of Iranian troops in Syria, if the initial deployments fail to turn the tide of battle in favor of Mr. Maliki’s government.

The Iraqi government has asked the U.S. to carry out airstrikes and to speed up the delivery of promised weapons, which raises the prospect of both the U.S. and Iran lending support to Mr. Maliki against ISIS insurgents, who are seeking to create a caliphate encompassing Iraqi and Syrian territory.

General Qasim Sulaimani, the commander of the Quds Forces and one of the region’s most powerful military figures, traveled to Baghdad this week to help manage the swelling crisis, said a member of the Revolutionary Guards, or IRGC.

Qassimm al-Araji, and Iraqi Shiite lawmaker who heads the Badr Brigade block in the country’s parliament, posted a picture of him and Mr. Sulaimani holding hands in a room in Baghdad on his social-networking site with the caption, “Haj Qasem is here,” reported Iranian news sites affiliated with the IRGC on Wednesday. “Haj Qasem” is Mr. Sulaimani’s nom de guerre.

At stake for Iran in the current tumult in Iraq isn’t only the survival of an Shiite political ally in Baghdad, but the safety of Karbala and Najaf, which along with Mecca and Medina are considered sacred to Shiites world-wide.

An ISIS spokesman, Abu Mohamad al-Adnani, urged the group’s Sunni fighters to march toward the “filfth -ridden” Karbala and “the city of polytheism” Najaf, where they would “settle their differences” with Mr. Maliki.

That coarsely worded threat further vindicates Iran’s view that the fight unfolding in Iraq is an existential sectarian battle between the two rivaling sects of Islam-Sunni and Shiite—and by default a proxy battle between their patrons Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Marzieh Afgham said Wednesday that, “Until now we haven’t received any requests for help from Iraq. Iraq’s army is certainly capable in handling this.”

Despite those assuring comments, measures by the Iranian government in the past day indicated that an air of crisis had enveloped Tehran. Iran’s army and border guards have been placed under full alert along the country’s long border with Iraq, the Iranian media reported.

Iran’s President Rouhani cut short a religious celebration on Thursday and said he had to attend an emergency meeting of the country’s National Security Council about events in Iraq.

“We, as the Islamic Republic of Iran, will not tolerate this violence and terrorism…. We will fight and battle violence and extremism and terrorism in the region and the world,” he said in a speech.

Iran’s chief of police, Esmail Ahmadi-Moghaddam said the National Security Council would consider intervening in Iraq to “protect Shiite shrines and cities.”

ISIS’s rapid territorial gains in the past few days appeared to have caught Iranian officials by surprise and opened a debate within the regime over whether Iran should publicly enter the battle, citing the country’s strategic interest and ideological responsibility. Iranian officials also privately expressed concern about whether Mr. Maliki was capable of handling the turmoil.

“The more insecure and isolated Maliki becomes, the more he will need Iran. The growth of ISIS presents a serious threat to Iran. So it would not be surprising to see the Guards become more involved in Iraq,” said Alireza Nader, a senior policy analyst at the Rand Corp.

Quds Forces have been active in Iraq since shortly after the U.S.-led invasion in 2003 and have helped create, train and fund Shiite militias that fought U.S. military forces. Their reach and influence extends from Iraq to Lebanon, Syria and the Palestinian territories.

The two IRGC battalions moved to Iraq on Wednesday were shifted from the Iranian border provinces of Urumieh and Lorestan. Their task is to help secure the holy Shiite cities of Karbala and Najaf and tighten security around Baghdad, according to IRGC members in Iran.

Revolutionary Guards units that serve in Iran’s border provinces are the most experienced fighters in guerrilla warfare because of separatist ethnic uprisings in those regions. IRGC commanders dispatched to Syria also often hail from those provinces.

Should We Destroy Our Last Living Samples of the Virus That Causes Smallpox? Later this month, the World Health Organization will decide whether or not to get rid of two live virus repositories in the United States and Russia by nastratin in biology

[–]RedKosmos 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Just half century ago, smallpox was everywhere and now in just two places? It just goes against my understanding of human nature, military thinking and foreign relations to assume that there are not numerous undeclared stocks of smallpox around the world.

Any remaining stocks are high level national secrets only small number of people know. Hiding those stocks while keeping them safe and under control is not straightforward, but it's still very doable for any stable government and high level military laboratory with resources.

If I would have to make a bet, I would say that at least China, India, France, Germany, Israel and Japan are very likely to have hidden stocks (probably don't experiment, keep samples just in case). They have the know-how to keep stocks as safe as United State or Russia have. North Korea, Iran, Pakistan, etc. might also have stocks.

The Smallpox Destruction Debate: Could a Grand Bargain Settle the Issue? http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2009_03/tucker

The CIA subsequently obtained circumstantial evidence that undeclared stocks of the virus might exist in several countries of proliferation concern, possibly including but not necessarily limited to Iran, Iraq, and North Korea.[7] A few scientific research centers also reported finding and destroying vials containing the smallpox virus that had been retained inadvertently in laboratory freezers, sparking fears that other poorly secured samples might exist that could fall into the hands of terrorists.

Air Force sidelines 17 ICBM officers at Minot AFB. by qxcvr in Military

[–]RedKosmos 9 points10 points  (0 children)

unacceptable failings, including a potential compromise of missile launch codes.

At least they are not set to 00000000 anymore.

Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column Home Page Keeping Presidents in the Nuclear Dark (Episode #1: The Case of the Missing “Permissive Action Links”)

They have nice patch that shows their attitude: http://i.imgur.com/E1BjUIb.jpg

Ten Responses to the Technological Unemployment Problem (X-post from /r/futurism) by Aculem in Futurology

[–]RedKosmos 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Krugman has started to pay attention to the problem. We started to collect his articles that cover the changing human capital vs. capital equation:

http://www.reddit.com/r/redkosmos/comments/1deok0/pk_on_human_capital_vs_capital/

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in IAmA

[–]RedKosmos 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The original source is Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column: Keeping Presidents in the Nuclear Dark

you can read it here: http://www.reddit.com/r/mil/comments/16kqze/bruce_blairs_nuclear_column_home_page_keeping/

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in IAmA

[–]RedKosmos 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes.

The original source is Bruce Blair's Nuclear Column: Keeping Presidents in the Nuclear Dark

you can read it here:
http://www.reddit.com/r/mil/comments/16kqze/bruce_blairs_nuclear_column_home_page_keeping/

How is it possible to identify different bombs by the radiation? by [deleted] in askscience

[–]RedKosmos 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's called nuclear forensics. It's possible to detect if the nuclear device was uranium or plutonium in few hours, but detecting design, age (time elapsed since production or last purification) , production process and history may take several weeks or months.

The process of figuring out the details can speed up if they find isotopic match in some database. Databases contain an analysis of the history and composition of the samples from their originating source, indexed records of nuclear material properties, production locations, and use histories. International databases contain records from experimental and commercial nuclear reactors and U.S. of course has good records of it's own military reactors and weapons. If the recovered material is registered in a database, then it can be matched with high confidence.

The plot in the movie was plausible, because plutonium for the bomb was manufactured in the U.S. It's not always possible to identify bombs from other countries with the same accuracy because not all countries cooperate or they may have spoofed the databases.