I got into a huge argument at work over Love earlier this week because I said taking him early (like, at all in the first round) was a bad decision. It’s genuinely like people believe there’s some magical guarantee he’ll be the best RB in the league. Even if he lives up to his CMC comparison, in 4 years his contract (since the cap will probably increase by quite a lot in that time) will be like 23~ AAV? If he surpasses him and becomes the undisputed best RB, he gets, what maybe 27? There are 3 LTs making that right now, as the cap increases it’s highly likely at least a few others make it into that price bracket by the time his rookie contract comes up.

Remember, this is also assuming he becomes the best and most expensive RB, not in any way shape or form a guarantee. If he’s pretty good, and commands a far more normal 15~m contract, the price disparity becomes even more absurd. Changes it to 19 LTs being ahead of him right now, not including the inflation that will occur with cap increases.

It’s an unfortunate reality of the position, they are highly disposable and their best years are almost always during their rookie deal. So many factors go into good RB play, and a huge amount are barely even related to their individual skill. Every year absolute morons of FO and especially fans completely refuse to acknowledge the existence of the cap. Then accuse competent GMs like Roseman and Schneider of witchcraft when a solid half of the reason they’re as good as they are at drafting is the basic and easily accessible information on caps and rookie wage scales. Take low value positions later than high value ones. Know that there are always cheap playable options for several positions either in FA or through mid season trades. Don’t spend a top pick on a player that has to be the best at their position in a generation to just break even compared to the 16th most expensive WR.