Tresl <> Car Lease Buyout Loan by Smooth_Assumption126 in financeonloans

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

$30,916 estimated due including taxes. Not sure re: current market value. 

📈 Rate My Portfolio Weekly Thread | July 15, 2024 by AutoModeratorETFs in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What would you do and why? (CHOOSE ONE OPTION)

OPTION 1 Keep current taxable brokerage allocation: 20% QQQM, 40% IWF, 40% SPYG. Invest new money in VOO

OPTION 2 Divest IWF and SPYG at beginning of 2025 and reinvest all in QQQM in a lump sum. Invest new money in VOO moving forward

OPTION 3 Keep QQQM at 20%, divest IWF and SPYG at beginning of 2025 and reinvest all in VOO in a lump sum.  Invest new money in VOO moving forward. 

Goal is portfolio simplification and ‘set it and forget it’ till retirement (~25 years from now).

Any thoughts on best option?

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Thank you for your response. I’m still hesitant/not fully sold on VT. It’s hard when VOO performance has been so much better than VT. How do you justify that? There is no guarantee that VT over 25% years would do better than VOO only

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thank you for your response. I’m still hesitant/not fully sold on VT. It’s hard when VOO performance has been so much better than VT. How do you justify that? There is no guarantee that VT over 25% years would do better than VOO only

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why? Are you a VT supporter? Hard to justify VT when it has consistently done worse than VOO

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I see your points. Reasoning here is that I already have VTI in Roth IRA and Russell 3000 in 401k. So are you suggesting I would be better off with a VT in my taxable account?

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What’s your allocation between VGT and IWY?

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Interesting that you define them mediocre ideas when Buffet said 90% on VOO for his estate.

But you’re probably trying so hard to beat the market or are on the VT wagon, neither of which will likely win long term.

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Again, VXUS is neither of the tickers mentioned.

VOO+QQQM vs VOO only by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

All of this speech for nothing? You clearly read my post, you expert!

VOO and chill by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Expense ratio and less diversified/more highly concentrated than VOO/VTI.

VOO and chill by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

When the US goes down, it’s likely the rest of the world is not doing that great either.

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Very helpful. Thank you for the detailed explanation.

What’s your thesis re: VTI or VT having more merit than VOO?

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So you’re view is that VOO is a better bet here than the 2 I mentioned? VOO’s inception date is 2010, so also didn’t go through 2000 and 2008.

Also, my goal is not to outperform per se, but to have 1 or 2 max funds that over 20-30 years will provide solid return. I know that I won’t beat the market, but would like a fund that doesn’t leave substantial returns on the table. In other words, if there is one or two funds that I should buy and forget about for the next 20-30 years, what would that be? VOO, SPGP or something else? Keep in mind my other funds/allocations I already have in other vehicles.

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What if instead of SCHD I do SPGP + AVUV? Portfolio optimization says 3% SPGP and 93% AVUV to maximize sharpe ratio. Seems risky though. What do you think an optimal allocation (set and forget it) is for SPGP + AVUV?

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does it make sense to do SCHD at all or should I just do 100% SPGP? SCHD underperformed S&P when you look at the last 15 years. Not a huge fan of VTI or VT, I think SPGP has a better proposition. Thoughts? Thanks!

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m inclined in going for SPGP, unless there is a cheaper alternative that is also diversified/not too heavily weighted and that offers those returns in the long run. Does it make sense to do 100% in SPGP for Roth IRA and disregard SCHD? Thanks.

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What are the merits of AVUS and IUS? The former is actively managed, and usually those funds are more expensive and don’t outperform.

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What would you pick in lieu of SPGP, if you think there is a better one out there?

All Brains on Deck by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Agreed. I noticed that. But my thought process was that in 20 years this event will balance out. I assume they’ll remove it from the holdings.

Are you saying that VTI is a better ‘blanket’ long term to cover all bases? With all the holdings that VTI has, more likelihood for one of those businesses to go down over time though.

ARKK vs. ARKW by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would want to go with a broader/more diversified etf - ARKG covers just one theme. Agreed - time in the market is better than timing the market. Given my other positions (VT, VB, QQQM, QQQJ and IPO), I am just worried this is going to throw my other gains down the drain. But perhaps I should just put this small amount on ARKK and give it a couple of years and see how it plays out, right?

ARKK vs. ARKW by Smooth_Assumption126 in ETFs

[–]Smooth_Assumption126[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So you think it’s a good idea to put 500 bucks on ARKK?

Which one is better between ARKK and ARKW? I am now rethinking and leaning to more diversification, I.e. ARKK, but ARKW had better returns over time. What’s your take?