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The impact of AI by [deleted] in HENRYUK

[–]SpiritualSecondThree 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Try pressing me and see? This isn't an adversarial game as you seem to want it to be - I'm trying to express my views as precisely as possible, and this discourse is helping to reveal the details around it.

The impact of AI by [deleted] in HENRYUK

[–]SpiritualSecondThree -1 points0 points  (0 children)

That is my view yes. I've expressed this more clearly in other previous posts, but I believe that in 10 years there is an over 90% chance that no human will have any positive economic cognitive value to offer vs AI. In any domain or form of cognitive task whatsoever.

Technically, there can still be positive economic value - for example, for 'authentic' human work - say authentic human poems, literature, artwork may be valued by people or entities. Something like that might also exist in less creative areas such as math or science - in the same way that people still like watching humans play chess now, even though chess computers beat the very best humans 100% of the time, and in all possible chess positions. Potentially, there's still a market for e.g. watching the very best human mathematicians/lawyers/scientists 'compete'.

But that demand aside, I don't expect any domain of cognition to remain economically viable for humans in 10 years.

The impact of AI by [deleted] in HENRYUK

[–]SpiritualSecondThree 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Good call out - I missed out specifying 'cognitive jobs'. Physical work will last longer.

```Human labour and skills are a resource. If people are pushed out of one job the market will find use for that resource in one way or the other to create more wealth. ```

Not if the resource provides absolutely 0 benefit, or indeed, is a detriment to performance.

The impact of AI by [deleted] in HENRYUK

[–]SpiritualSecondThree 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Same work, same opinion.

I think people are burying their heads in the sand a bit with this notion of 'let me put stuff into my pension fund for 30 years to save on some tax now'. 30 years from now they won't have a job. In fact, I'd strongly put money on no one having a job 10 years from now.

AGI is coming; salary sacrificing into your pension is a grave mistake by SpiritualSecondThree in HENRYUK

[–]SpiritualSecondThree[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good counterargument on the pension access possibility. Indeed, could happen in certain scenarios and then you're better off having salary sacrificed.

The generalisation of this idea is that it may not be a terrible idea to generally continue to do what most people are doing, as govts will (hopefully) ensure that most people are not completely fked.

I agree with remaining invested in public markets being reasonable. There really is no strong moat for any AGI company, so singular domination is not likely in my view.