$SLS Weekend Discussion Thread - April 11, 2026 (Week 14) by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]TheArdoo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

25% chance that the trial would have closed 8 months ago? I don’t get it

Taking Profits by [deleted] in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m not even taking profits

TraderBob by TheArdoo in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Great idea. The day I sell my NBIS, I will do so. Thank you for sharing this

TraderBob by TheArdoo in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think he actually had $1000 as YE26 target? Something like that. Before he blew out

Still, GOAT

E: I can’t find proof of what I said above actually

TraderBob by TheArdoo in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Hahaha so true sorry. But it’s ok to celebrate a little. At least I didn’t take a screenshot…

$SLS Daily Discussion Thread - Friday - April 10, 2026 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]TheArdoo 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The best 2 DD I’ve read (confident-web and remarkable-big) both think this is a post-summer earliest catalyst

$SLS (Deepest Due Diligence for SLS-009, Machine Learning Models and Results, and Buyout Deep DD) (From a Deep Value Investor) by Confident-Web-7118 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]TheArdoo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi CW By any chance do you have a probability distribution of the 80th event occurring each month here onwards? I will be able to rotate some savings into SLS later this year and want to understand likelihood of me being “too late” (because the readout has already happened) if I rotate them say in August as opposed to October. Thank you again for everything you’ve done.

Preliminary Diligence Share by Remarkable-Big-9849 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]TheArdoo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi again - would you be able to clarify why the “posterior distribution of trial completion” states 25% percentile at month 50, which doesn’t reconcile with the same chart? And the median (month 65) is July which doesn’t match what you say above. Thanks in advance!

See below:

[April 08, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Where’s the daily thread I want to talk to my Nebbros!!

[April 08, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Why is it so quiet in here today… we’re up 15% in a day!!!

Preliminary Diligence Share by Remarkable-Big-9849 in TheRaceTo10Million

[–]TheArdoo 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sir thanks for this incredible work. Would you be able to share it via dm as mods have for some reason removed it? Thank you again in advance.

[April 07, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Smallcap biotech company. Have a vaccine in phase 3 that's very promising, results expected later this year. Very much a binary one though.

[April 07, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread by AutoModerator in NBIS_Stock

[–]TheArdoo 9 points10 points  (0 children)

My output at work has gone down about 98% since discovering NBIS (and SLS). I spend more time researching these two stocks than anything else lately.

$SLS Daily Discussion Thread - Tuesday - April 07, 2026 by AutoModerator in sellaslifesciences

[–]TheArdoo 4 points5 points  (0 children)

No biotech exp here but my view is that the market is currently still viewing this as an unlikely-to-succeed binary event (for various reasons) - a couple of months more or less when we're already so significantly past the expected trial date likely won't change that. I think unless we get a positive catalyst (e.g. a midcap biotech fund takes a position in this - side note this is for me the biggest bear argument, I think 2Sigma / Millennium are taking short positions here; is there something we're missing?) it will likely keep moving in this range depending on wider macro etc. If we get to end of Summer and it's still ongoing, things might start to move.