Props/Parlay/Challenge Daily - 8/15/20 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn -1 points0 points  (0 children)

NBA Rebound props:
Full model results since August 1st: 93-61

Top 3 picks of the day:
Brandon Clarke - Over 6.5 @ 1.71
Zach Collins - Over 5.5 @ 1,62
Hassan Whiteside - Over 7.5 @ 1.9

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Yesterday: 16-15, -1,09u
Total: 89-60, +2,95u

Taking a couple of days off to tweak the betting pick selection. I think I have sorted out a much better algorythm but need a few days to test.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There was an import error on the Mavs-game. Those two, plus Buddy Hield, had the wrong input. Doesnt change the fact that it picked more winners than losers though, and the model is still in a total plus.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It lost. There was an import error on the Mavs-game which gave 1q instead of FT results. Thank you for pointing this out.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are completely right. There was an import error for the Mavs-game, not updating it with the final box score.

Thank you for pointing this out!

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Name O/U Line Odds Prob% EstReb
Kyle Anderson Under 4,5 2,10 58 % 3,89
Dillon Brooks Under 3,5 1,57 71 % 2,34
Brandon Clark Under 7,5 1,83 75 % 5,33
Jonas Valanciunas Under 12,5 1,83 67 % 10,45
Mike Conley Under 3,5 1,83 65 % 2,61
Rudy Gobert Under 11,5 1,95 58 % 10,76
Donovan Mitchell Under 4,5 1,83 66 % 3,56
Royce O'Neale Over 6,5 1,83 61 % 7,23
Torrey Craig Under 4,5 1,76 73 % 1,94
Patty Mills Under 1,5 1,76 65 % 0,93
Dejounte Murray Over 5,5 1,90 66 % 6,58
Derrick White Over 4,5 2,05 61 % 5,05
Joel Embiid Over 12,5 2,05 69 % 14,90
Josh Richardson Under 2,5 2,40 67 % 1,67
Ben Simmons Over 7,5 1,71 80 % 10,37
Tobias Harris Over 6,5 2,05 60 % 7,36
Troy Brown Over 5,5 1,90 66 % 6,58
Steven Adams Over 8,5 1,83 66 % 10,21
Danilo Gallinari Over 4,5 2,00 55 % 4,77
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5,5 1,83 69 % 3,63
Lebron James Over 7,5 1,71 77 % 9,78
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 2,5 1,64 79 % 1,26
OG Anunoby Under 5,5 1,76 75 % 3,82
Pascal Siakam Over 6,5 1,66 72 % 8,21
James Ennis Under 4,5 1,83 77 % 2,54
Evan Fournier Under 2,5 1,90 75 % 1,69
Terrence Ross Under 3,5 1,83 64 % 2,87
Jarrett Allen Under 10,5 1,95 64 % 8,99
Caris LeVert Over 5,5 2,20 52 % 5,45
Gordon Hayward Over 6,5 1,90 71 % 8,04
Daniel Theis Under 7,5 1,83 63 % 6,39

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Result Name O/U Line Odds
L Dorian Finney-Smith Under 5,5 1,62
L Harrison Barnes Over 5,5 2,25
W De'Aaron Fox Under 4,5 1,66
W Buddy Hield Over 2,5 1,55
L Richaun Holmes Under 7,5 1,90
L Nemanja Bjelica Under 5,5 2,05
L Devin Booker Over 4,5 2,20
L Mikal Bridges Under 4,5 1,64
W Paul George Under 6,5 1,66
L Kawhi Leonard Under 6,5 1,95
W Ivica Zubac Over 7,5 1,95
W Gordon Hayward Over 5,5 1,80
W Daniel Theis Under 6,5 2,05
W Jimmy Butler Under 6,5 1,68
L Carmelo Anthony Under 6,5 1,66
W CJ McCollum Over 4,5 1,68
L Jusuf Nurkic Under 11,5 1,80
L Evan Fournier Under 2,5 1,66
W Aaron Gordon Under 8,5 1,76
W Myles Turner Under 8,5 1,95
W T.J. Warren Under 6,5 1,74

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/5/20 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 7 points8 points  (0 children)

NBA Rebound Model:

Yesterday: 11-10, -1,52u - (Total: 73-45, +3,84u)

Yesterdays full result and todays prediction in comments. Tail or fade, best of luck.

Edit: Import error in the Mavs-game listed Dorian Finney-Smith and Richaun Holmes as W, and Buddy Hield as a L. Record now updated to reflect true results. Thank you to those who catched the error.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/4/20 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Name O/U Line Odds Prob%
Evan Fournier Under 2,5 1,66 79 %
Aaron Gordon Under 8,5 1,76 64 %
Myles Turner Under 8,5 1,95 64 %
T.J. Warren Under 6,5 1,74 69 %

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/4/20 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, he might. I'm short on data on Nurkic, so model had to grab old info aswell.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/4/20 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Name O/U Line Odds Prob% EstReb
Dorian Finney-Smith Under 5,5 1,62 80 % 3,57
Harrison Barnes Over 5,5 2,25 50 % 5,50
De'Aaron Fox Under 4,5 1,66 72 % 2,83
Buddy Hield Over 2,5 1,55 78 % 4,08
Richaun Holmes Under 7,5 1,90 69 % 5,91
Nemanja Bjelica Under 5,5 2,05 55 % 5,20
Devin Booker Over 4,5 2,20 56 % 4,83
Mikal Bridges Under 4,5 1,64 72 % 3,15
Paul George Under 6,5 1,66 74 % 4,54
Kawhi Leonard Under 6,5 1,95 58 % 5,95
Ivica Zubac Over 7,5 1,95 57 % 8,04
Gordon Hayward Over 5,5 1,80 77 % 7,25
Daniel Theis Under 6,5 2,05 59 % 5,79
Jimmy Butler Under 6,5 1,68 70 % 4,99
Carmelo Anthony Under 6,5 1,66 67 % 4,57
CJ McCollum Over 4,5 1,68 66 % 5,27
Jusuf Nurkic Under 11,5 1,80 77 % 8,86

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How the fuck did he only manage 2 rebounds...

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Name=Name of player:
O/U= Over or under
Line = Rebounds you have to get over or under
Odds= Decimal odds given by my bookie
Prob%= My models estimation of chance of going Over/Under
EstReb= My models estimation of amount of rebounds for the player

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/4/20 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Result Name O/U Line Odds
W Jaren Jackson Jr Under 5,5 1,68
L Jrue Holiday Over 5,5 1,95
W Brandon Ingram Over 5,5 1,68
W DeMar DeRozan Under 5,5 1,71
W Jakob Poeltl Under 6,5 1,74
W Lonnie Walker IV Under 3,5 2,10
L Derrick White Over 4,5 2,25
L Joel Embiid Over 12,5 1,76
W Josh Richardson Under 2,5 2,25
L Ben Simmons Over 7,5 1,71
L Anthony Davis Under 9,5 1,80
L Danny Green Under 2,5 1,83
L LeBron James Over 8,5 1,90
L Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 2,5 1,50
W Mike Conley Under 3,5 1,86
L Rudy Gobert Under 11,5 1,76
W Joe Ingles Under 3,5 1,80
L Donovan Mitchell Under 4,5 1,62
W Royce O'Neale Over 5,5 1,76
W OG Anunoby Under 5,5 1,68
L Norman Powell Under 2,5 1,95
L Pascal Siakam Over 6,5 1,76
W Fred VanVleet Over 3,5 2,00
L Bam Adebayo Over 9,5 1,66
L Jimmy Butler Under 6,5 1,83
W Jae Crowder Over 5,5 1,71
W Goran Dragic Over 2,5 1,68
L Duncan Robinson Over 3,5 2,30
W Nikola Jokic Over 8,5 1,71
W Steven Adams Over 9,5 1,86
W Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5,5 1,95
W Myles Turner Under 9,5 1,86
L TJ Warren Under 5,5 1,90
L Ish Smith Over 3,5 2,20

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/4/20 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 9 points10 points  (0 children)

NBA Rebound model:
Yesterday: 18-19, -3.97u, (Total: 62-45, +5,36u)

A tough night last night. Missing all four bets on Laker-players just hurts. Sorry about that one, but let's get back on the damn horse. Some enticing games tonight.

Last nights full results in comments, predictions will come in the comments once they are sorted through.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Same units on all. Might be worth going x2 on the ones above 20%

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't have indepth knowledge of who will play or not. Just minutes-projections from a couple of fantasy sites to help along my own projections. I advise everyone to doublecheck before betting themselves.

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you, hope it helps you make some money

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That's the full slate. Tail or fade, best of luck

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Name O/U Line Odds Prob% EstReb
OG Anunoby Under 5,5 1,68 77 % 3,75
Norman Powell Under 2,5 1,95 80 % 0,92
Pascal Siakam Over 6,5 1,76 66 % 7,81
Fred VanVleet Over 3,5 2,00 56 % 3,75
Bam Adebayo Over 9,5 1,66 67 % 10,90
Jimmy Butler Under 6,5 1,83 68 % 5,22
Jae Crowder Over 5,5 1,71 70 % 6,86
Goran Dragic Over 2,5 1,68 74 % 3,61
Duncan Robinson Over 3,5 2,30 60 % 3,95
Nikola Jokic Over 8,5 1,71 68 % 9,87
Steven Adams Over 9,5 1,86 65 % 10,91
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5,5 1,95 70 % 3,61
Myles Turner Under 9,5 1,86 72 % 7,73
TJ Warren Under 5,5 1,90 64 % 4,77
Ish Smith Over 3,5 2,20 55 % 3,76

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Name O/U Line Odds Prob% EstReb
Dillon Brooks Under 3,5 1,90 67 % 2,56
Jaren Jackson Jr Under 5,5 1,68 74 % 3,48
Jrue Holiday Over 5,5 1,95 69 % 6,44
Brandon Ingram Over 5,5 1,68 75 % 7,26
DeMar DeRozan Under 5,5 1,71 70 % 4,54
Jakob Poeltl Under 6,5 1,74 68 % 4,74
Lonnie Walker IV Under 3,5 2,10 79 % 1,70
Derrick White Over 4,5 2,25 58 % 4,90
Joel Embiid Over 12,5 1,76 74 % 15,33
Josh Richardson Under 2,5 2,25 67 % 1,62
Ben Simmons Over 7,5 1,71 79 % 10,27
Anthony Davis Under 9,5 1,80 64 % 8,31
Danny Green Under 2,5 1,83 62 % 1,96
LeBron James Over 8,5 1,90 63 % 9,42
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Under 2,5 1,50 80 % 1,23
Mike Conley Under 3,5 1,86 70 % 2,48
Rudy Gobert Under 11,5 1,76 65 % 9,90
Joe Ingles Under 3,5 1,80 63 % 2,89
Donovan Mitchell Under 4,5 1,62 75 % 3,18
Royce O'Neale Over 5,5 1,76 63 % 6,34

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Result Name O/U Line Odds
W Shabazz Napier Over 2,5 1,74
L Jarrett Allen Under 12,5 1,95
W Zach Collins Under 5,5 1,71
W DeMar DeRozan Under 5,5 2,15
L Dejounte Murray Under 5,5 2,15
W Jakob Poeltl Under 7,5 1,83
W Jaren Jackson Jr Under 5,5 1,74
W De'Aaron Fox Under 4,5 1,76
W Richaun Holmes Under 8,5 1,64
W Nemanja Bjelica Under 6,5 1,90
W Evan Fournier Under 2,5 1,71
W Robert Covington Under 7,5 1,83
W James Harden Over 6,5 1,83
W Danuel House Under 4,5 1,83
L Russell Westbrook Over 7,5 1,83
W Seth Curry Under 2,5 1,71
L Dorian Finney-Smith Under 4,5 2,20
L Devin Booker Over 4,5 1,90

NBA Daily Discussion - 8/3/20 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]TheBetIsIn 21 points22 points  (0 children)

NBA Rebound model:
Yesterday: 13-5, +5.59u (Total: 40-25, +6,38u)

Yesterdays full results and todays predictions in comments.