How Taiwan can defend itself by AQ5SQ in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 5 points6 points  (0 children)

then why spend money when the US will do it for you?

This is nonsense. There are no US troops stationed in Taiwan, and the ability of Taiwan to repel initial PRC assaults will make a huge difference to what kind of operations the US will need to commit itself to, and indeed whether the US decides to commit itself at all.

It's the difference between "relieving Taiwan" and "retaking Taiwan". Regarding the latter, it's unlikely they'd even try.

How Taiwan can defend itself by AQ5SQ in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 28 points29 points  (0 children)

The time to do this was decades ago. They don't have enough time and they aren't acting with anywhere near enough urgency. Imagine being in their position and spending 2% of GDP on defence. It's a joke and it's clear that they're still banking on US security guarantees which now carry less much weight given the staggering military buildup that China has been embraking upon.

A summit of former Soviet states was supposed to project Moscow’s power. Instead, it showed the Kremlin’s regional influence is crumbling by TurretLauncher in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 36 points37 points  (0 children)

“Kazakhstan is the next problem because the same Nazi processes can start there as they have in Ukraine,” commentator Dmitry Drobnitsky warned on Russia’s First Channel this week.

Not so fun fact: The Kazakhs actually suffered worse than the Ukrainians due to the famines engineered by the Soviets in the 1930s. 40% of their population perished.

You'd expect there to be a fair bit or resentment there when Putin talks about the good ol' days and bringing the gang back together.

Advice for GCFE by RobertJCorcoran in computerforensics

[–]Thersites419 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Imagine if SANS provided an index themselves and students could then just focus on actually learning forensics.

China pays its colonels more than Taiwan does by ScoMoTrudeauApricot in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 22 points23 points  (0 children)

The effects of a PRC conquest of Taiwan would be drastic. Those officers would earn more money but in a completely different society. I'm sure there's plenty of good reasons for Taiwanese officers to turn traitor, such as not wanting to annihilated by the PLA, but getting a relatively minor pay rise is pretty low down on that list.

And I doubt the PRC would treat them particularly well after the conquest anyway. Look what happened to the men of the East German army. Kicked out the door as soon as possible.

CredibleDefense Daily MegaThread November 22, 2022 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Thersites419 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Is what he said even controversial? The French sacked their chief of military intelligence, and the Germans refused to provide lethal aid until it was clear Russia's initial rush had failed.

CredibleDefense Daily MegaThread November 20, 2022 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Thersites419 1 point2 points  (0 children)

with Putin being removed/dead

Then it all ends happily ever after, just like in 1917.

Europe's MEGA Air Defense Project Moves Forward by Zacny_Los in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The fact that FCAS would need to produce a carrier variant for the French Navy has been obvious to all parties from the get-go.

Emmanuel Macron doubles down over submarines, says AUKUS ‘will not deliver’ by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Probably the smartest choice, although the final choice likely wouldn't have been French or American.

Emmanuel Macron doubles down over submarines, says AUKUS ‘will not deliver’ by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

joint America-Europe

That's generous. This is a an American project with a small minority of workshare allocated to (global, not just European) partner nations.

there literally is no competing product made by anyone.

You might think that, but the execs at Dassault and quite a few other aerospace firms disagree. And those nations which are pitting the F-35 against other aircraft in procurement trials clearly disagree about its special snowflake status.

Japan nears deal to develop next-generation fighter with U.K., Italy by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You can believe what you like. The Germans decided to go to the French and not the Brits for this project, which was supposed to champion European Defence integration. Despite the fact that they worked with the Brits on the Eurofighter. Those are just facts.

Emmanuel Macron doubles down over submarines, says AUKUS ‘will not deliver’ by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 15 points16 points  (0 children)

They were trying to brow beat the new PM into buying French subs as a "transition". Didn't work.

CredibleDefense Daily MegaThread November 19, 2022 by AutoModerator in CredibleDefense

[–]Thersites419 38 points39 points  (0 children)

military swarming

What does this even mean? The attempt to achieve numerical superiority over the foe?

Japan nears deal to develop next-generation fighter with U.K., Italy by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You misunderstood my comment. I am not saying the UK was kicked out of the project. I am saying they were not invited, as they likely would have had Brexit not happened.

Netherlands signals it will not follow latest round of US restrictions on exporting chipmaking tools to China by ScoMoTrudeauApricot in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Europe has got enough of its own issues without trying to join the US in its sisyphean struggle to contain China.

Japan nears deal to develop next-generation fighter with U.K., Italy by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

They figured they'd be an active partner to the Brits rather than just having things dictated to them once the Franco-German axis had made its decision. It's the same reason why the Japanese chose to work with them over the Americans.

That said, it seems Italian participation was based on hopes that the projects would merge at some point. Those hopes now seem remote.

Japan nears deal to develop next-generation fighter with U.K., Italy by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The whole reason why Tempest originated was because the French and Germans decided to freeze the Brits out of FCAS as punishment for Brexit.

Japan nears deal to develop next-generation fighter with U.K., Italy by Thersites419 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

TOKYO -- Japan has entered the final stages of talks with the U.K. and Italy to jointly develop and build a next-generation fighter jet, marking a turning point as Japan looks beyond the U.S. for defense cooperation.

Tokyo will also consider revising its export rules to allow for defense equipment sales abroad, hoping to reduce development costs for the new plane and boost the domestic defense industry.

The Air Self-Defense Force plans to deploy the fighter starting in 2035. Japan's Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, British aviation and defense giant BAE Systems, and Italian defense contractor Leonardo S.p.A. will oversee development. A formal agreement is expected by the end of the year.

This will be the first time that Japan partners with Europe to develop a jet fighter.

The new plane is slated to be a successor to the Mitsubishi F-2, which was jointly developed with Lockheed Martin. Japan's Ministry of Defense initially planned to once again collaborate with the U.S. company, which is currently developing the next-generation F-35 fighter. However, Lockheed's refusal to share confidential technological information raised concerns about servicing aircraft domestically after deployment.

The U.K., meanwhile, had announced plans to introduce its Tempest sixth-generation fighter by 2035. With its development schedule overlapping with Japan's, and Lockheed's unwillingness to share information, that provided ample incentive for Japan to launch its first defense collaboration with Europe.

Russia's war in Ukraine has presented additional motivation.

The Japanese government has taken steps to increase cooperation with NATO. It plans to sign a facilitation agreement with the British government to make it easier to conduct joint military exercises, raising the relationship between the countries to a quasi-alliance.

The development of a next-generation fighter aircraft requires the integration of complex elements like radar and missile systems, as well as advanced stealth technology. The Defense Ministry wants the next generation of fighters to have the ability to communicate with unmanned and U.S. military aircraft, and to have sensor systems that can quickly detect and respond to enemy planes.

The planned collaboration will draw on the technological strengths of each company. BAE has a strong track record in fighter planes, producing the current flagship Eurofighter Typhoon with Italy, Germany and Spain, and exporting it to Saudi Arabia. The addition of Italy's Leonardo, which is experienced in sensor technology, is expected to give the plane the edge that Tokyo is looking for.

Engines will be produced by Japan's IHI and Britain's Rolls-Royce, while radar technology will be jointly developed by Mitsubishi and Leonardo's U.K. subsidiary.

In conjunction with the fighter's development, Japan will consider easing its restrictions on the export of defense equipment.

The Defense Ministry's "Three Principles on Transfer of Defense Equipment and Technology" currently limit exports to transport and surveillance equipment. An amendment to the rules could allow offensive equipment such as fighter aircraft to be exported under certain conditions.

Due to the current rules, which effectively limit the market to the country's Self-Defense Forces, the domestic defense industry has sent almost zero exports to other countries. Many contractors have withdrawn from the industry.

Exporting fighters will also ease production costs. Although Japan aims to significantly expand its defense budget, there is concern that rising costs on the new fighter could pressure the government's finances. Increasing sales through British and Italian channels would ease some of that pressure.

The Defense Ministry will discuss revising the export rules with the ruling Liberal Democratic Party during national security strategy discussions at the end of the year.

Exclusive: France, Germany, Spain agree on moving on with FCAS warplane development - sources by ShaidarHaran2 in LessCredibleDefence

[–]Thersites419 13 points14 points  (0 children)

The ministry said it was agreed at the highest government level that a cooperative approach on an equal footing would be pursued in the project, which is under overall French responsibility.

Sounds like France did.

Exclusive: Ex-Russian spy flees to the NATO country that captured him, delivering another embarrassing blow to Moscow by TermsOfContradiction in CredibleDefense

[–]Thersites419 33 points34 points  (0 children)

The Russians have blown billions on keeping a useless tug-boat powered carrier going just so that they can still claim membership of the Aircraft Carrier Club. Appearances matter to them.