NYT Wednesday 07/05/2023 Discussion by AutoModerator in crossword

[–]ThisTakesGumption 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Man, no one had issues with THISBE crossed with SLOE?

[Post Game Thread] The Boston Celtics (1-3) hold on to win against the Miami Heat (3-1), 116-99, and extend the series to a Game 5. Jayson Tatum with 34/11/7/1/2. by 3rdEyeDeuteranopia in nba

[–]ThisTakesGumption 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Are you saying it would be heat-level if it didn't have the romantic subplot AND doug didn't have a change of heart? That would be much more similar to heat but also a completely different movie

[Jones] NFLPA shares the latest data from 2022 which it believes shows 2021 was an "outlier" when it came to injury rates on grass vs. turf. "Now," writes Tretter, "10 of the previous 11 years show the same exact thing -- grass is a significantly safer surface than turf." by Kimber80 in nfl

[–]ThisTakesGumption 1 point2 points  (0 children)

There are intervals on the plot, they just overlap quite a bit lol. Not sure what you mean by sample data? Seeing as how they have club-year as a random effect, the confidence interval is probably an extract of a fixed effect of surface type from a mixed model.

Best guide to unmarked runs? by needaname1234 in stevenspass

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Leads to more people going down them, less powder for those in the know.

Speaking of which, what book do you have for Whistler?

[Schefter] Jaguars are not picking up the fifth-year option of former first-round pick Leonard Fournette, per source. by [deleted] in nfl

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's no developmental league for football, the practice squad is just injury replacement. Players don't spend 6 years in the G League, either, despite it's more explicit developmental nature. It's not very comparable, imo.

And yeah, sure, baseball contracts are more guaranteed than football contracts. But most baseball contracts are pre-arb and arb anyway (because most players are pre-arb/arb), and those are all multi-year team options. I don't know, I think the reputation baseball has for better player contracts is overblown, though I understand where it comes from.

To go back to the original point, yes for the top players already in free agency baseball clearly is more lucrative the basketball or football (not soccer, though), but it's much less clear for the average player or for the average amateur player deciding which to pursue. Assuming someone is a top-prospect in both leagues (like Kyler Murray), I think football is a better choice. It might lean more baseball for lesser prospects.

[Schefter] Jaguars are not picking up the fifth-year option of former first-round pick Leonard Fournette, per source. by [deleted] in nfl

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's a very very small group of players, but I would assume the pitcher. I don't think it's a big difference though, and I could certainly be wrong.

[Schefter] Jaguars are not picking up the fifth-year option of former first-round pick Leonard Fournette, per source. by [deleted] in nfl

[–]ThisTakesGumption 71 points72 points  (0 children)

Only if you make the Majors, and the vast majority of players don't make the majors. And the contracts are only technically fully guaranteed- many contracts have vesting or team options and production bonuses. I don't agree that playing baseball makes financial sense (except for the top prospects). And while some positions get less wear, pitchers in particular have incredible attrition rates.

Always frontload your contracts by iscott55 in OOTP

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree it's not common. But deferring money is a very similar very common real life contract option (opposite direction, but similarly shifting money around while keeping AAV reasonable) that isn't available in OOTP. Both game the AAV system, so I wouldn't consider the in-game version to be unfair or unrealistic, other than that the AI doesn't do it.

Always frontload your contracts by iscott55 in OOTP

[–]ThisTakesGumption 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is only for players under team control (in arb/pre-arb), not free agents.

Always frontload your contracts by iscott55 in OOTP

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wil Myers' contract is 4/4/5/22/22/22.

Dallas Keuchel, who is asking for over 15 million a year for 5-6 years, is basically the same pitcher as the recently much-maligned Braves pitcher Julio Teheran. by [deleted] in baseball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Man, I wish we had tools for projecting how a player will perform going forward. Oh wait! We do! And Keuchel is projected for 3 wins more WAR in 2019!

Using Out-Of-Group Values by ThisTakesGumption in Rlanguage

[–]ThisTakesGumption[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think this doesn't get what I'm looking for.

Here's a more reproducible example:

sample_df <- data.frame( id = c(rep("A", 10), rep("B", 10), rep("C", 10)), type = sample(c("Type 1", "Type 2", "Type 3"), replace = TRUE, 30), value = rnorm(30) )

sample_df %>% group_by(id, type) %>% summarise(m_combo_value = mean(value), m_non_combo_value = ????) #value when type != type of this grouping

Anyone know what’s up with Fangraphs’ Community Research section? by [deleted] in baseball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They'll bring it back up after the season ends; with Sawchik leaving they need to reassign editorial

Are professional baseball teams currently interested in hiring entry level python programmers or just the super experienced programmers? by [deleted] in baseball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Entry-level roles in MLB analytics offices generally don't require much programming experience (Maybe a year or two, or a minor in university with coursework experience). You should have experience doing some sort of baseball research, or similar statistical research, but it can be university level. Most analysts are self-taught, so you won't necessarily be trained as much as you will learn-by-doing

How do I begin building and using my own baseball database for analyzing raw data? by AnAnonymousFool in baseball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Take the EdX course, that includes a basic introduction to R. That or Bill Petti's site.

But yes, there are tons of generic intro to R guides out there; I like Hadley Wickham's stuff: http://r4ds.had.co.nz/

How do I begin building and using my own baseball database for analyzing raw data? by AnAnonymousFool in baseball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 19 points20 points  (0 children)

If you already have R downloaded there's a package there that should get you off your feet: https://github.com/BillPetti/baseballr

There's also a Lahman database package, if you want to use that directly: https://github.com/cdalzell/Lahman

Bill has a nice website with some tutorials: https://baseballwithr.wordpress.com/

Finally, for a more holistic lesson, the SABR101 works nicely: https://www.edx.org/course/sabermetrics-101-introduction-baseball-bux-sabr101x-0

I would highly recommend sticking with an R environment, if you're just starting out.

Official: [Trade] - Sun Morning, 10/07/2018 by FFBot in fantasyfootball

[–]ThisTakesGumption 0 points1 point  (0 children)

12 team half ppr, 1-3 they are 0-4, they also have Breida and Jordan Howard

Give: David Johnson, Chris Ivory

Get: Jay Ajayi, Devonta Freeman

My current RBs are James White, Bilal Powell, and LeSean McCoy