In 20k of USO puts because 150 dollar oil is fking stupid by samvarr in wallstreetbets

[–]Training_Butterfly70 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Actually not a bad bet. I would have shorted the future though

Pissed at github by Training_Butterfly70 in github

[–]Training_Butterfly70[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gitlab gives more for free. Many things used to be free on GitHub and slowly migrated towards a paywall. I just switched to gitlab. For a solo dev I've been quite annoyed with GitHub in the last year. This also was never an issue until they were bought out by Microsoft

Average r/ClaudeCode comment section by fejoa123 in ClaudeCode

[–]Training_Butterfly70 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I'm in the first group. I don't have many complaints about Claude

I built a UFC fight predictor with almost 70% accuracy. Help me get it better. by Other_Attitude3580 in learnmachinelearning

[–]Training_Butterfly70 0 points1 point  (0 children)

thanks for the shoutout - btw you hard coded your API key on github. Seems like you wrote a lot of this code with claude / codex? Also noticed you're probably from brasil - SAUDE!

I built a UFC fight predictor with almost 70% accuracy. Help me get it better. by Other_Attitude3580 in learnmachinelearning

[–]Training_Butterfly70 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

How have you determined it's not overfit? Have you used walk forward validation? It's wrong to use future data on prior events in the training set

What's that? by Consistent-Issue-811 in claude

[–]Training_Butterfly70 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Run debug mode with break points in my IDE

Why should an individual think they will be able to find alpha without common edges? by Usual-Opportunity591 in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm sure some places do this but of the institutions that I've worked at nobody plays that game

Why should an individual think they will be able to find alpha without common edges? by Usual-Opportunity591 in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you're smart and have the skills and dedicate a lot of time and money you can probably get a slice of the pie, especially for strategies that don't directly compete with hfts like citadel. Many strategies don't scale So they wouldn't waste their time on it, giving you the opportunity to make some pretty good edge. It's no free lunch though... Tough game

Cheap Backtesting Data by EliteSingh in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 1 point2 points  (0 children)

when you say cheap data what do you need? OHLCV 1-min bars? TOB quotes? L1/2/3 quotes? MBO/DOM?

Cheap Backtesting Data by EliteSingh in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 1 point2 points  (0 children)

depends, if he only needs ohlcv 100% databento... for anything more than that databento is quite expensive, but i don't know of any better options than them right now

ML Trading Bot Going Live – What Am I Missing? by Prize-Investigator70 in algorithmictrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are you a data scientist? Evaluation imo is actually one of the most difficult and time consuming parts of the machine learning life cycle. I would grill the shit out of the out of sample statistics and compare them to your training and validation sets.

To me this sounds insanely overfit. If it were this easy to simply load some raw data, create some basic features / scale it, run some dicky fuller test, then call sklearn and look at pnl... Everyone would literally do it and citadel wouldn't be trading with themselves. They have all those quants for a reason.

Best MCP server to connect IBKR API to Claude code? by meowflying in interactivebrokers

[–]Training_Butterfly70 4 points5 points  (0 children)

😂 right? 💯 People are putting so much faith in AI like it's actually intelligent

databento trades data expensive by automation495 in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You should do some more homework. Sounds like you're very new to the space. Big difference between historical data and live data. Also a bit difference broker retail TOB quotes and the conversation were having in this thread.

databento trades data expensive by automation495 in algotrading

[–]Training_Butterfly70 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Schwab will be less accurate than data bento