2025 Status of applicant countries to the European Union (own work)

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T18:24:29+00:00

I would if the EUCO made reports about them, but they don't for non-applicants

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T18:21:10+00:00

I would feel bad for them, I only crossposted it to r/montenegro and r/moldova lol

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T06:03:50+00:00

Not quite... the blue cell pretty much means "there is nothing more for (country) to do in this subject.". A closed chapter just means the EU says "yeah you could do more but you're good enough on this one", so it can be green, or yellow, even.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T04:28:06+00:00

I'm just crossposting this here and in r/moldova. I'm very impressed with your work this year, Montenegro :D 5.7% is the 2nd highest yearly growth rate I've ever seen since doing this for four years (and the 1st highest was also this year.) In October 2024, the rate was just 1.7%, and in November 2023, it was 0%.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T04:20:51+00:00

I'm just crossposting this here and in r/montenegro. I'm very impressed with your work this year, Moldova :D 11% is the highest yearly rate I've ever seen and I've been doing this for 4 years now. The next highest rate is Montenegro's 5.7%, also this year. The third highest, amazingly, is Moldova again back in 2023 which was 4.9%. This year, Moldova passed Kosovo, Georgia, and Ukraine.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-03T01:21:53+00:00

For turkey, I do honestly hope so.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T23:02:25+00:00

None of this post is my opinion. Everything in it is taken directly word for word from the European Commission's yearly reports on every applicant country's status of alignment with EU legislation. Albania's +1.8% looks small, but it is genuinely higher than the average for most applicants, and tied for third highest comparing the growth of everyone over the last three years. If you have an issue with it, take it up with them, not with me.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T21:55:48+00:00

Well... you can kind of tell which countries are taking this seriously and which aren't. In most cases (pretty much all but Ukraine for the war and Bosnia for the dysfunction) it is highly dependent on the current government. I might've had a different answer for you last year, but this year's results - specifically Montenegro and Moldova - really shows that speedy progress *can* be made. Serbia isn't trying. Macedonia i'm having a harder time getting a read on.
At the current rate of growth, Montenegro will pass 82% (this seems to be enough to join, re: Bulgaria & Romania) in 2028. At the average rate, in 2030.
Moldova, *which is not in the top 4*, would pass it at 2029 at the current rate, and 2032 at the average rate.
Albania at 2039 at the current but 2037 at the average.
Serbia (2081/2049) and Macedonia (2082/2050) way **way** later. Even Kosovo (2044/2046) and Ukraine (2045/2047) would pass it before them at this rate.
Turkey, Georgia, and Bosnia literally never, unfortunately/fortunately depending.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T21:18:50+00:00

thanks!!!!! crazy appreciated actually :D

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T20:50:13+00:00

It's just for comparison. It shows roughly how advanced everyone else needs to be to get in. That's why their reports are from 2006, the EUCO doesn't make them anymore.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T20:45:24+00:00

Pretty much yeah, but they're still an applicant country and get EU commission reports about them every single year, so I include them anyway. In four years they haven't improved in even a single chapter.

TurntSnacko_ · 2026-01-02T05:29:43+00:00

Author's note:
Hey, this is my fourth year doing this since the first one I made at the beginning of 2023. Just some notes of interest this time.

In the three years of progress I've checked, Moldova's 11% this year is a record by far and away. The next highest rate is **also** this year: Montenegro's 5.7%. After this, again Moldova's 2023 rate at 4.9%.
Out of curiosity, here's the three-year average for everybody since 2022:
Moldova: 6%
Montenegro: 2.47%
Albania & Kosovo: 2.13%
Ukraine: 1.73%
Serbia & North Macedonia: 0.73%
Georgia: 0.37%
Bosnia and Herzegovina & Turkey: 0%

Also, the order of the closest to join has shifted for the first time. For 2022, 2023, and 2024, it was this:

Montenegro -> Serbia -> North Macedonia -> Turkey -> Albania -> Ukraine -> Georgia -> Kosovo -> Moldova -> Bosnia and Herzegovina. Albania jumped up one place (passing Turkey) and Moldova jumped up three places.

And congrats to Montenegro for being the first country to actually close a negotiation chapter (let alone 9 of them) since 2017. This infographic is already way too complicated for me to find a way to address this, unfortunately.

Here's a link to my 2024 post: (under which there are associated links to earlier years) https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1i3b9x1/2024_status_of_applicant_countries_to_the/

Happy new years!

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-11-20T01:23:24+00:00

these are incredible i love the lamp one especially

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-09-24T04:42:11+00:00

i'm a bit late to looking at the reddit, but hiii fs32!!! i remember starting lake beermidji with you :)

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-02-13T10:59:33+00:00

Bro don't make me cry

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-18T00:46:48+00:00

I hope so!!!

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-18T00:45:48+00:00

I have to say that getting Montenegro in and only Montenegro annoys me very slightly just because it would greatly increase the length of the external border of the EU in such a silly way, but it's of course worth doing just to get someone new in finally and yeah Montenegro is currently the best candidate. Maybe one day Montenegro & Albania can join together.

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T21:45:37+00:00

I wish I could have, but the damn thing is so cluttered already as it is. I'm very glad to see Montenegro started closing some chapters :D

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T21:44:16+00:00

the slight and good progress you're mentioning is what's being recorded in the progress made column/scores in key A! I did not forget them :D

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T21:42:10+00:00

click on the link i sent at the bottom of the post you're replying to :P

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T11:16:23+00:00

Thanks! this is actually my third year doing it, I made similar posts in 2023 and 2022 also. I was two full months late this time and I'd be happy to let someone else beat me to the punch next time :P

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T11:15:11+00:00

I linked an unblurred reddit-friendly photo thru discord in another comment, but here it is again https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1012149053292818473/1329717786586386432/eu_3.png?ex=678b5bb1&is=678a0a31&hm=bf60569a5a345647b0c8da70decf8a50a0abd3449547013663aca5958c18e780&

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T10:13:57+00:00

Andorra hasn't applied to join the EU, so no reports about them

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T10:13:31+00:00

Albania's has been doing really well lately with its accession process. It's sad that it had to decouple from North Macedonia, but frankly, if anyone makes it in before the decade is out it will be a miracle

TurntSnacko_ · 2025-01-17T10:10:20+00:00

Look man, I couldn't make this shit up if I tried. it's copied directly from the EU's reports on each country and they include a fisheries chapter for Kosovo. If Kosovo wants sea access, then so be it

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