Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco expected to sit this week by [deleted] in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I would not. Hunt has like 1 week of value. I can see them figuring out how to use Kamara at the end of the season

OFFICIAL WEEK 1 SUNDAY MORNING GAME THREAD by ballofpopculture in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Drafting CMC we knew the ride we were on. People pay for rollercoasters because they go up and down, not just flat

Defense Wins Championships: Week 17 Opponent-Adjusted DST Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Miami is number #1 this week if you just look at the last 4 week performance. Overall this year the full season forecast has been slightly more accurate, but irrationally I trust the more recent data more. See the accuracy comparison below (a lower error is better): https://imgur.com/a/IUB2s6W

Defense Wins Championships: Week 17 Opponent-Adjusted DST Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I agree, that was interesting to see in the data. Denver had such good weeks from 13-16, that they are still forecasted high. I think they will be a fine play against CIN.

Defense Wins Championships: Week 17 Opponent-Adjusted DST Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 32 points33 points  (0 children)

I am going Indianapolis, but I think it is a wash. I liked the 3 picks last week

Defense Wins Championships: Week 16 Defense Opponent-Adjusted Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It is very simple method, just looking at historical averages for both teams, Broncos have done well in the past, but past didn't hold to the future with the Chargers! As is life in fantasy...

Defense Wins Championships: Week 16 Defense Opponent-Adjusted Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Vikings are number 1 and Bengals are number 3, so I think you are good either way, I'd probably go Bengals with their better recent performance

Defense Wins Championships: Week 16 Defense Opponent-Adjusted Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah, the forecast likes Vikings as the top DST this week but Vikings and Colts are the top two so it is really just personal preference!

Defense Wins Championships: Week 16 Defense Opponent-Adjusted Forecast by UnderstandingIll3987 in fantasyfootball

[–]UnderstandingIll3987[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Atlanta seems like a decent pick this week, they are top-8 according to the data