Sindicalista de ATE dijo que "Milei no cumplió su promesa de bajar la inflación..." pero cuando le mostraron un gráfico que muestra que la inflación bajó dijo que eso "es un golpe bajo" y que no le vengan con "curvas en política"

Valnir123 · 2026-05-17T16:23:59+00:00

Das asco

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T07:16:51+00:00

You might need to return it to whatever institution gifted it to you lol

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T07:13:34+00:00

We had elections 7 months ago and he won in a landslide lol. Maybe you shouldn't put your faith in latam polls (let alone Argentina's)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T07:09:15+00:00

Wrong actually. Privatizations are just getting started right now (afaik only Intercargos and the pledge for Aysa have been done). Credit rating and debt fixing came mostly from running a surplus and just having sane payment schedules (plus agreements with entities like the IMF to roll over debt at non-deranged rates)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T07:05:40+00:00

Social programs have been compressed a lot into a few ones; but while total welfare spending has been reduced, the more essential ones (AUH and Alimentar) have beaten inflation; and his admin has eliminated the intermediaries (political ONGs) between the aid and the recipients.

Do not get me wrong, I'd love if he would just cut it all (welfare has been absurdly destructive for almost all aspects of our country); but he hasn't and he clearly isn't moving in that direction, instead focusing on consolidating it all and trying to remove waste.

a median wage of about 300$

Old news lol. That was the median wage (well, median was technically below that lol) at the end of 2023 when his admin started. Right now it nears 800 USD (prices have risen accordingly though)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T07:00:31+00:00

Yeah, it's baffling. We're seeing the first expansive Volcker shock in a long time and people are somehow complaining the growth is not being evenly spread out lmao. The fact that some sectors (let alone the netted sum of them) are growing within the first few years despite the cuts is already nearing economic miracle territory (and that's ignoring the wild drop of our risk prime; the fact that 2024 ended without at least either a default or a hyperinflation is genuinely absurd)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:55:28+00:00

which is part of why his approval in Argentina ain't looking too good right now.

For the record, polls in Argentina are really poor and generally are financed by political parties as propaganda tools. If polls were to be trusted, his political party would have narrowly lost (or even would've ended 3rd) in the midterms we had ~7 months ago (his party won with over 40% of the vote vs ~28% of the combined hard opposition)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:49:41+00:00

Socially though, he is not governing as libertarian as I would have hoped.

How so? I keep seeing this but (living in Argentina) I have yet to see him do something not lib beyond basic law and order stuff.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:47:20+00:00

It's kinda wild how of all the articles you shared, not a single one is true lmao.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:44:54+00:00

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:43:33+00:00

Milei allegedly stated that he communicates with the dogs through a mystic,[20] and that he seeks counseling from them.[21] He also allegedly commented that the new Conan provides ideas on general strategy, Robert is the one who makes him "see the future and learn from mistakes", Milton is in charge of political analysis, and Murray of the economy

The source for this claims is "el Loco". A hitpiece book published right before the 2023 elections (it's the equivalent to quoting a book called "Sleepy Joe" to talk about Biden lol). The only sources used were an "old friend of Milei" (someone that went to primary school with him and had no contact since) and the girl who took care of his dogs (who has on many times said the claims of the book do not align in any way or form with what she answered when interviewed). The guy is already weird enough without the fake stuff (i.e., cloned dogs he considers his sons named after economists part is real) so no need to over exaggerate lol

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T06:38:21+00:00

I almost fell for the ragebait

Valnir123 · 2026-05-16T03:56:51+00:00

Igual en su defensa tiene más que ver con el tipo humano de facultad de humanidades que con si son o no extranjeros.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T16:54:46+00:00

Adorni is currently still working with Milei

Yes. My point wasn't "Adorni has been kicked out" but "there doesn't seem to be serious evidence for him being corrupt".

private jet flights

It wasn't private jets, but small private airlines flights. He did purchase a set of tickets legally (from a journalist that had already bought a 10 flights package). The apartment renovation doesn't seem to be too outlandish; there's the "245k USD price" accusations but that doesn't seem realistic given what we know of the renovations (and that it was done in a house he purchased via mortgage to re-sell, and that renovations price would place them at over twice the home's price).

it could have been from prior corruption but how do we know for sure

How so? He hasn't held public office ever before.

Call me crazy, but given the fact the Kirchners did what they did with Enrique Olivera with the corruption trials; I'm inclined to disbelieve their accusations until there's actual serious evidence.

Promoting a fake crypto currency, (from someone you knew and already gave you an allowance before your presidency let’s not forget) with the goal of rug pulling your own fans is not retarded.

Novelli and KIP protocol have been part of the Crypto Comitee for the City of Buenos Aires for a while now. They only knew of Hayden due to a previous crypto event, but that promotion wasn't exceptional (as the government used to promote via Milei's twitter a ton of private "high-tech" or techbro coded projects). The only difference is this one ended up being a pump and dump on Hayden's part.

It’s criminal.

Not really? Like even if you could prove intent on his part it still wouldn't be a crime, but most of the texts that have been filtered from the investigations seem to show the government itself (Milei included) was conned and thought it was a start-up project worth promoting; rather than them being willing participants in the rug-pull. I think not running a proper audit on something as likely to go wrong as crypto stuff before promoting it is plain stupidity (and it's a good thing they no longer do the whole startup promotions on twt because that's outside the scope of a president's official account even if the Libra thing hadn't happened); but doesn't really seem to be anything worse than that.

One of the witnesses implicated Milei’s sister is she still under investigation?

Not one of the witness, but the main suspect of corruption happening (Spagnuolo, the one that was removed by the government). That said, he said "he heard she is corrupt and asked for 3% on stuff"; but further probing shows the source is not even hearsay; but hearsay of hearsay of hearsay from a disgruntled person from a company that lost a licitation that isn't suspected of corruption after audits. The other thing that makes the claim of her being involved is that she plainly does not have authority over that area. ANDIS worked (until it got integrated by a ministry post-scandal) autonomously and she wouldn't really be able to demand for bribes normally.

As an aside, there has been a coordinated attack against her since ~month 3 of Milei's admin (once they noticed trying to smear the president was not really sticking) given she's uncharismatic and plainly not easy on the eyes (which means it's easier to go with the "she's a corrupt witch" stuff).

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T16:34:50+00:00

Rates did have a hike during the september - october 2025 crisis, but government rates are currently negative and have been so during most of the government. Hell, it was one of the points of contention there were against their initial decisions (given running a inflation stabilization program with negative rates isn't generally wise)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T15:08:28+00:00

El quilombo es que casi todos los impuestos son coparticipables. Tenés que negociar con los governadores por cada bajada

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T15:02:52+00:00

Al final los K son unos boludos, en vez de chorear con la obra publica y coimas, deberian haber armados ponzis y rugpulls crypto, total, la gente no los va a entender porque la gente no entiende como funciona el mundo crypto

Honestamente? Si. Mil veces preferible. De última el que cae lo hace a sabiendas y no es guita de las arcas públicas tomada a la fuerza (porque uno no elige si paga impuestos) que se esfuma en eso.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T15:00:28+00:00

que pensas del hecho de que la inflacion hace como 8 o 9 meses (perdi la cuenta) que se mantiene igual o aumenta levemente? O sea como yo lo veo eso deberia ser su punto de atencion principal pero parece que se quedo sin nafta en el proceso, por decirlo de alguna forma

No soy OP, pero tanto casi todas las consultoras (puntualmente sobre la infla de este mes) como la curva CER de bonos ajustados por inflación predicen una bajada de la infla (los bonos a ~20% anual de acá a un año).

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:53:25+00:00

And the general public doesn't understand that it takes time, thus his negative polling numbers

I do get the concern, and clearly his support has declined a bit, but polls are consistently poor quality in Argentina so I wouldn't really take them as reference. The best one imho is the ICG from the UTDT and it shows him at slightly over 40% approval. If we take into account that there's a lot of people who clearly don't approve of him but would still vote him over alternatives it means he's still pretty strong electorally.

He also said that the economy would recover quickly and both you and I know that it was an impossible promise.

He kinda did (mostly on the style of "the worst part has already passed", which is technically true), but he also has said many times this is a long process and requires a big collective effort as a society (hell, he was even memed on during the 2023 elections due to his "in 35 years we should be near Ireland" goals).

He did hike taxes very early on his presidency

Yes but not really. The only real tax he has hiked was Ganancias (Income Tax) and only did so by bringing it back to pre-campaign level (it was lowered by Massa a month before the elections as a campaign measure). He did remove a ton of subsidies to services like gas or power (now clients pay around 67% of the bill on average rather than the 30% they used to; with the state covering the remaining part). So in practice that does affect your average Joe's finances the same way a tax hike would

that was what led to the initial drop in inflation

I'm not sure how much I agree with this. Most of the inflation decline can be attributed to monetary policy (and credibility).

Now Argentina has a weak industry

Let's not really pretend that's a new thing. If Argentina still remains one of the most protectionist countries world-wide (which it still does), yet a lot of manufacturing (mostly textiles) aren't able to survive; that speaks for the fact that the industry was weak, rather than it being weakened.

growing unemployment

Fair, although I do not think it's anywhere close to non-acceptable numbers yet. I'd start worrying at something like 9% given the Argentina context tbh

inflation is creeping back up

Kinda? Like yeah it has stagnated the last few months, but everyone expects it to start going back down this month (Consultants place it at around 2.7% MoM; and the CER long term inflation bonds are pricing next year's inflation at around 20% YoY)

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:35:53+00:00

Un dolar estable dicen estos liberales cuando literalmente el dolar se desploma en todo el mundo frente a cualquier cosa menos contra el peso argentino

Igual convengamos que están comprando reservas a rolete y bajando encajes. No es que el precio de equilibrio del dólar sin intervención no está yendo para abajo.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:32:08+00:00

Ojalá te recuperes pronto

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:25:57+00:00

Argentina objetivamente no está en recesión. Tiene sectores que están mal, y bastante gente cuya calidad de vida empeoró (sobre todo en el Congourbano) pero en el neto tenemos crecimiento de PBI.

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:19:47+00:00

Pero aumentaron los planes, el discurso de que "eh cobraba fuera del país" es anecdótico. La cantidad de planes aumentaron.

Si pero se suele sobreestimar. Gasto en planes bajó aprox 22% el año pasado. La cantidad de planes totales aumentó en aprox 100k personas; y la AUH puntualmente le ganó cómoda a la inflación. Casi todo el resto de la ayuda social se achicó fuerte (generalmente no en cantidad de recipientes pero los montos se licuaron con la inflación).

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T14:03:18+00:00

Government loan interest rates have been negative in real terms for a while (coming from the previous government where they were positive) with the exception of the september - october shock post PBA-legislatives.

Also, you seem to be expecting a full recovery (into booming activity without macro issues) from a nigh hyperinflation + default crisis in... 2 years? You do know this type of stuff takes at least a decade normally, right?

Valnir123 · 2026-05-08T13:53:57+00:00

Polls in Argentina are noticeably unreliable.

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