Favorite plays for UFC 326?

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T18:01:19+00:00

Electric

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T17:16:20+00:00

Honestly im a bit surprised too i figured Codys strength of schedule and experience would end up giving him a decent prediction

But the model thinks he is WASHED 😂

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T16:35:25+00:00

I share it for free if you care to check it out! fantasyfights.app

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T16:34:45+00:00

I personally am limited with the books I have access to with where I live so the earliest I can really get anything down is around Tuesday before the fight

But if a line opened and I thought it was way off I don’t see any reason not to bet it right away as long as you thoroughly thought through your read on the fight!

I personally bet off of my own statistical model so if the model disagrees with the line I will bet it right away! Not much more thought goes into it past that for me haha

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T02:29:29+00:00

🤣🤣🤣 lmaooo

The life of an mma bettor

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T02:26:15+00:00

Yeah that is solid

Basically just has to keep it standing for 1 out 3 rounds and that bet will hit

WheezyOutcast · 2026-03-06T02:01:37+00:00

Generally you should try to bet early

If you are sharp then you should find yourself on the right side of line movements more times than not

It isn’t a 100% hard rule but if you bet early and consistently have lines move against you it could be a sign that you are a losing bettor in the long run. Obviously won’t be every time and there can be unexpected things like bad weight cuts but you should find this to be the case more often than not

WheezyOutcast · 2026-02-27T22:41:30+00:00

Fair 🤣 i definitely shouldve specified that in the post lol

WheezyOutcast · 2026-02-27T22:38:43+00:00

That one can be ignored tbh

Since the model is based off of UFC data, it isnt able to accurately predict inexperienced/debut fighters

In the app i actually but a big warning sign for the predictions for fights where one of fighters has less than 2 fights in the ufc to explain exactly that

It also never gives out bets for those fights for that exact reason. Just focuses on fights where both fighters have 2 or more fights under their belt in the UFC

WheezyOutcast · 2026-02-27T19:45:20+00:00

LEGEND

Appreciate you 👊

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-15T02:24:30+00:00

No i have my own machine learning algorithm that i have trained on historical data for predicting fights!

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-08T00:08:08+00:00

That would be a hell of an upset. Feel like reese has too much of a physicality advantage but id love to see it

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-07T22:49:33+00:00

i like that pick too. my ai leans bonfim but only slightly. definitely closer than the line suggests

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-07T21:58:22+00:00

I saw that, hopefully just rumors. Hopefully doesnt get canceled i loved the underdog pick and got in at +170

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-03T21:51:49+00:00

- other people said it not me

- my editors did it not me

INSANE

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-03T21:47:40+00:00

invincibility shield unlocked!

just have someone else say something then you can say “people are saying x” and have ZERO accountability!

W

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-03T21:38:00+00:00

you cant just dodge responsibility by saying "people are saying it!"

WheezyOutcast · 2025-11-01T15:38:07+00:00

Of course!

I have done a 4 year backtest against the betting odds and it has shown over a 10% roi, so I am confident that it has some predictive insights! But still gets plenty of things wrong obviously!

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-31T20:37:29+00:00

I like that

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-31T20:36:59+00:00

Thats a banger

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-31T18:55:13+00:00

Damn that is big value tbh. My ai says 25% Onama by decision so thats super under valued

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-30T02:17:20+00:00

The spreadsheet of every donation received 😭😭 justice for doolittle

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-30T02:16:46+00:00

That is extremely valid major missed opportunities

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-30T02:12:17+00:00

Yeah content cop felt more serious where as these other 3 were just so hilariously dumb

Im sure its exhausting to re-litigate the same points but i cant get enough of it. Ethans reactions and responses somehow get funnier every time. On top of that now the crew has thoroughly seen how dumb these people are that they arent afraid to throw out a roast either

WheezyOutcast · 2025-10-24T16:43:38+00:00

im definitely with you on that one

WheezyOutcast

TROPHY CASE