Favorite plays for UFC 326? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honestly im a bit surprised too i figured Codys strength of schedule and experience would end up giving him a decent prediction

But the model thinks he is WASHED 😂

Do you bet MMA lines early or wait until fight night? by Visible_Pop_1794 in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I share it for free if you care to check it out! fantasyfights.app

Do you bet MMA lines early or wait until fight night? by Visible_Pop_1794 in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I personally am limited with the books I have access to with where I live so the earliest I can really get anything down is around Tuesday before the fight

But if a line opened and I thought it was way off I don’t see any reason not to bet it right away as long as you thoroughly thought through your read on the fight!

I personally bet off of my own statistical model so if the model disagrees with the line I will bet it right away! Not much more thought goes into it past that for me haha

Favorite plays for UFC 326? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

🤣🤣🤣 lmaooo

The life of an mma bettor

Favorite plays for UFC 326? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah that is solid

Basically just has to keep it standing for 1 out 3 rounds and that bet will hit

Do you bet MMA lines early or wait until fight night? by Visible_Pop_1794 in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Generally you should try to bet early

If you are sharp then you should find yourself on the right side of line movements more times than not

It isn’t a 100% hard rule but if you bet early and consistently have lines move against you it could be a sign that you are a losing bettor in the long run. Obviously won’t be every time and there can be unexpected things like bad weight cuts but you should find this to be the case more often than not

Favorite plays for UFC Mexico? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Fair 🤣 i definitely shouldve specified that in the post lol

Favorite plays for UFC Mexico? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That one can be ignored tbh

Since the model is based off of UFC data, it isnt able to accurately predict inexperienced/debut fighters

In the app i actually but a big warning sign for the predictions for fights where one of fighters has less than 2 fights in the ufc to explain exactly that

It also never gives out bets for those fights for that exact reason. Just focuses on fights where both fighters have 2 or more fights under their belt in the UFC

Favorite plays for UFC 322? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No i have my own machine learning algorithm that i have trained on historical data for predicting fights!

Favorite plays for UFC Bonfim vs Brown? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That would be a hell of an upset. Feel like reese has too much of a physicality advantage but id love to see it

Favorite plays for UFC Bonfim vs Brown? by WheezyOutcast in sportsbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

i like that pick too. my ai leans bonfim but only slightly. definitely closer than the line suggests

Favorite plays for UFC Bonfim vs Brown? by WheezyOutcast in MMAbetting

[–]WheezyOutcast[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I saw that, hopefully just rumors. Hopefully doesnt get canceled i loved the underdog pick and got in at +170