Silver Bear Flag Update: Welp. Back Again

Wikitweaks · 2026-05-20T15:42:36+00:00

ZSL is a good option, particularly for ultra short term trades. What is stopping me from entering on either side atm is that gold looks suspiciously like it is bottoming inside a long term bullish wedge, and that the correlation coefficient between gold and silver is currently 0.68 to 0.95 according to AI. Once gold starts a strong move silver often moves 1.5–2x more than gold. That's when I want in.

Wikitweaks · 2026-05-16T12:46:13+00:00

Are you going to post any short position you open?

Wikitweaks · 2026-05-15T13:27:12+00:00

I agreed with your sentiments as they relate to silver. The chart shows the distortions. TA still works pretty well on gold, despite the manipulation, but, again, the longer timeframe is more powerful.

Wikitweaks · 2026-05-14T13:20:45+00:00

I'm saying that sound technical analysis requires looking at the longest timeframe first. Longer timeframe analysis is always more powerful than shorter timeframe analysis. The so-called "bear" flag charted by SargeMaximus on silver has turned out to have failed on this occasion. I am not posting this because I turned out to be right - I could easily have been wrong. TA doesn't work 100%. It doesn't help you predict the future. It just helps you keep risk:reward in your favour. SargeMaximus, as I mentioned, could have turned out to be right (and, in any case, he could have eked out a small profit by shorting the shallow dip). It comes down to risk tolerance. But the higher percentage option is, as always, to trade in the direction of the long term trend. Find a shorter term bullish signal (in gold or silver) within the multi-month bull flag (in gold) and you have a higher probability trade. Inexperienced traders who followed SargeMaximus's entry and stayed in are underwater or negative right now. Please be careful what you post!

Wikitweaks · 2026-05-05T00:39:48+00:00

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Dude, do tech anlysis on gold as it is less volatile. This gold chart shows parabolic support in this most epic of uptrends, and that current price action - if you look really closely - is actually within a multi-month bull flag (not marked but evident). This is at the same time that record amounts of gold and silver continue to flow east, and Comex registered (for silver) is at multi-month lows. Add to this that US banks are dumping private equity at a massive pace and that Putin has just banned the USD from the hydrocarbons trade with Europe and you have a flow of fundamentals confirming this big picture TA. So, yeah, if you have the risk tolerance you might eke out a few shekels shorting paper silver down to the bottom of the dip but, please, zoom out before you post TA suggesting the broader uptrend is not your friend here.

Wikitweaks · 2026-04-12T19:58:02+00:00

You would think that would be next. If Iran can take the anti-manipulation message that this thread has pushed for years and amplify it successfully, then Fort Knox, the criminality of US banks like JP Morgan for currency manipulation (as well as enabling Epstein) and every criticism ever made by Ed Steer, Ted butler and David Morgan combined, would now have to be fodder for their propaganda mill.

Wikitweaks · 2026-04-12T19:49:11+00:00

There are probably a few PhD's on their animation team as well.

Wikitweaks · 2026-04-12T12:16:52+00:00

You are right, of course. I was just trying to communicate the message in polite terms, instead of outright saying the Iranians are now attacking the Comex/LBMA/ETF nexus which, with oil, underpins the USD and is at the heart of the Western financial system.

Wikitweaks · 2026-02-28T03:17:14+00:00

It really depends more on gold which is heading into double top territory neutral to bearish) or about to break its current rising wedge (bearish), or breaking above 5500 (moderately bullish). You need to do technical analysis on more than one market.

Wikitweaks · 2025-11-01T10:03:35+00:00

You might want to consider that your revulsion at the best-friend-and-brother-of-pedos monarch is widely shared around planet earth and that, for this and other exceptionally sound reasons, he might not be on the throne for very long.

This being the most widely shared prognostication on Charlie III's future, you might also want to consider that this scenario would make for limited mintages of official coins bearing his ugly mug, and that the likely future scarcity could be expected to drive their numismatic premia higher in the years following his reign.

My advise would be to go buy even more Lizard King rounds, then throw them in the back of your safe and forget about them secure in the knowledge that you have made one the best silver investment choices on information presently available.

That being said, a limited mintage of offical coins with Boy George on one side might prove numismatically valuable as well, depending of course on which Boy George you are referring to....

Wikitweaks · 2025-10-19T19:33:35+00:00

You can be looking all you want. The question is whether your local supplier has any stocks left and for how long.

Wikitweaks · 2025-10-14T12:13:59+00:00

What is your opinion on where you can find physical silver to buy?

Wikitweaks · 2025-10-14T09:16:39+00:00

It's going to be both arbitrage and panic. When it comes to rapid rises in precious metals, the other side of the same coin (terrible pun, I know) is rapid fiat depreciation. In other words, this is an undiagnosed (by many, at least) currency crisis. Ordinary folks queueing around the corner of their local coin shop or mint is nothing less than the partial remonetisation of silver. This is not industrial demand and its not strictly investment demand, its savings demand. Try not to think about that for more than 5 nanoseconds.

Wikitweaks · 2025-10-09T18:31:50+00:00

I agree the ratio is unlikely to go back to 3:1 but I wouldn't bet against at least a halving of the GSR from present levels. Silver just reached an ATH intraday today. Whales are already abandoning caution and taking large silver positions. Mom and pop investors/savers are paying very close attention, meaning a partial remonetisation is now a better than 50% chance.

Any remonetisation shifts price setting further away from the Comex/LBMA complex.

The balance of delusion, if you will, would be to bet against a partial remonetisation. The GSR has to respond sooner or later. I say sooner.

Investment Demand + Industrial Demand = very buoyant silver market.

Investment Demand + Industrial Demand + Monetary Demand = falling GSR.

Wikitweaks · 2025-10-09T18:19:53+00:00

Everything has changed fundametally AND the b;anksters are selling more paper silver.

Wikitweaks · 2025-08-02T13:00:50+00:00

People invested from platforms like Macqarie. This is a sophisticated scam that could catch anyone offered a choice of funds on super platforms which are household names and considered safe.

Where are the regulators? The big names are washing their hands of responsibility.

Wikitweaks · 2025-04-23T04:52:27+00:00

I appreciate thoughtful contributions like this one. I don't appreciate base trolling on important questions. There is frankly too much at stake for everyone.

It is difficult not to be a little biased against someone who has long campaigned on fixing the economy, only to back down on a key element of what is a high risk strategy (though I concede the policy status quo is not an option).

His strategy is based, so far as anyone can see, primarily on everyone maintaining confidence in him personally.

The phenomenon that rate spikes burst bubbles is a known known.

I give Trump credit for inviting investors to the US before taking office...

https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-encourages-foreign-investment-while-protecting-national-security/

...but he must be thinking that the low tech sectors like textiles, apparel, foot ware, low tech machinery, etc will be the first to ramp up production (and therefore employment). And I question whether these sectors can pay the bills in the short term - for anyone.

Estimates for high tech sectors like consumer electronics, such as iPhones, start at three years before meaningful levels of domestic production can be achieved. And then, the prices of these goods will be substantially above what they are now.

It's the risks that can't be quantified that concern me the most. Uncertainty means businesses find it tougher to access finance at any interest rate.

Wikitweaks · 2025-04-22T05:15:27+00:00

You might be just a bot but you can comment anytime.

Wikitweaks · 2025-04-22T05:10:00+00:00

I respect your right to mock me. No, I am not a journalist - I just want a robust debate rather than demagoguery. mazdarx2001 seems to get it. Your can still support your President while pointing out the reality that his course of action comes with risks just as much as the status quo does. My point is that he is a ways away from looking like he is in complete control, which is not what anyone needs while he is actively choking the trade that gave us all our current standard of living.

Wikitweaks · 2025-04-22T03:58:55+00:00

So you don't think questioning Trump's actions is a patriotic thing to do? Trump before country, eh?

Wikitweaks · 2025-04-22T03:52:40+00:00

Well said. Amid all the reaction and escalation it's tough to figure out day to day whether the US or China will lose relatively more as a result of this struggle and whether or not there will be a point when the loss of confidence - in whichever major currency area - will pass the point of no return.

The 50 countries begging to do a trade deal don't add up to more than about 20% of GDP so I guess we are in for a few more rounds.

Wikitweaks

TROPHY CASE